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what's up welcome back to our live tuesday night uh live stream here episode number 31

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this is bitcoin center brought to you by bite federal my name is cedric young woman i'm paul

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tarantino man uh it's been another week huh yeah dude all right uh yeah how was your week i was

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good busy i mean it's just non-stop stuff going on yeah i want to read this uh tweet thread here

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This is what I thought was interesting.

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Is Nicole Shanahan the most successful sexual entrepreneur in the world?

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She was engaged to be married to a guy in finance.

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This was answered by Simon Dixon, by the way.

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That's why I'm reading this.

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Shanahan then met and began an affair with Google co-founder Sergey Brin,

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one of the richest men in the world,

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a month before her wedding at her own bachelorette party.

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Her husband ends the marriage after finding out she then marries Brin.

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This causes all kinds of problems.

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at Google and causes Bryn to neglect his work and personal responsibilities.

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Larry Page, his co-founder, disapproves of the relationship, and this causes much turmoil

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at the company.

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Did you know this?

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No.

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Her marriage with Bryn falls apart when she sleeps with Elon Musk.

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Shut the fuck up.

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One of only a handful of men in the world richer than her husband.

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Musk publicly begs Bryn for forgiveness at a party.

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Bryn is so hurt he sells $336 million in Tesla stock.

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And his friends stop driving Teslas in solidarity.

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Bryn gives Shanahan a billion dollars in the divorce, I guess, according to this guy, to go away.

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Shanahan uses her money to run for vice president and spread anti-vax conspiracy theories.

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This is all verbatim.

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The RFK movement helps Trump reclaim the White House.

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just because of who she was able to sleep with this woman caused major turmoil at google destroyed

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the friendship of two of the richest men in the world implausibly determined the outcome of a

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presidential election just an amazing story and goes to show how the the maga movement is like a

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dream team of apex grifters uh it's such you have a reality tv star taking over a major political

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party the king of pseudoscience the biggest influence is able to give the brain rotted

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masses what they want and the woman who became a billionaire influential political operative just

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by sleeping away to the top.

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That's a little rough.

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But this is Simon Dixon responds.

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This is what the dollar is backed by.

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It's a proof of weapons network.

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Sex is now a weapon that impacts share prices

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more than earnings per share.

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This is what the late stage of an empire's debt cycle

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looks like.

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Anything to pump up stocks at the expense of the dollar.

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Wow.

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Yeah, I thought that was interesting nuance.

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That's wild.

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She's decentralizing the tech.

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Well, right now she's out sort of speaking for,

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uh i guess like tech wives or you know yeah yeah a lot of philanthropy she seems super smart

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um and she was really influential and i think rfk's run yeah so i don't know i don't know i

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had no idea i mean i didn't know the backstory generally agreed with everything she has said

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but i had no idea all this was behind all that no i had no idea either yeah so it's interesting

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Wow.

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Yeah.

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Well, it's not the worst thing in the world if two tech billionaires aren't buddies.

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No, I mean, that's kind of common.

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I mean, how many rock stars in a band stay friends over 30, 40 years?

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Rock stars in a band, baby.

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All right.

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Well, let's get into the show.

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This is Bitcoin Center brought to you by Bifederal.

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Go bank yourself.

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ATMs, wallets.

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Point of sale.

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Point of sale.

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Use Bitcoin as money.

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Do it.

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Let's be real, right?

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Praising Telegram for launching a Bitcoin wallet.

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I've always felt like, with Haley, Bitcoin, this digital currency that's out there that

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people say, oh, it might be the next big thing.

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What do you think?

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I think it's rat poison.

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Bitcoins.

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You never heard them a few weeks ago.

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Now everybody's talking about them.

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But is it a currency?

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I don't know.

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Or is it more like a stock?

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Or is it a tulip bowl?

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We're going to debate that.

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Stupid.

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To me, it smells like Ponzi scheme and the greater pool theory writing.

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You do like five minutes of freaking research.

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Well, thanks for coming to my set talk.

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Yes.

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Don't buy shit quits.

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Oh, man, I was getting that wrong.

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All right.

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Bitcoin's recent rally.

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Do you agree?

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Is crypto finally dead?

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Go to the next one.

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Matter of fact, they're kind of in the ethernet.

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What are they?

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Some rumors that it's a Japanese guy,

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I better say no, that he's a fake name.

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It was a pseudonym.

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I mean, you're literally putting real money

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onto a system that we don't even know who created it.

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It will come to a bad ending.

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Is this the most exciting bull run ever?

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Not for me.

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No, it's not.

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Welcome to Bitcoin Center,

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the fast-paced show where the debate is the story.

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Dude, I just realized you're going to have to change the intro from the flying RV to the chicken coop landing in the backyard.

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All right.

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Francis, get on it.

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We're going to take the intro there.

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All right.

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Let's get into it.

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The top story of the week.

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The world's largest corporate Bitcoin holder is now worth less than its Bitcoin.

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Strategy holds 650,000 Bitcoin worth 55.9 billion today.

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Its market cap is only 45 billion and change.

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does this officially signal the end of the bitcoin treasury company playbook no and why not or what

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are you thinking like uh as as mnav goes below one on yeah yeah the biggest pioneer in the space

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I think you you're seeing momentum pile on you're seeing um people trying to really understand these

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companies uh you I mean there's definitely going to be some train wrecks there's definitely going

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consolidation. There's definitely going to be changes to business models, but it's going to

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sort itself out. And at the end of the day, Bitcoin will go to all-time highs again, and the FOMO

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will start again, and MNAVs will expand. Will they go to five, seven times? Probably not, but

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I don't think it's going to stay here. You think we get above two?

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I don't think it's going to stay here. I think there's people that are probably looking at this

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right now saying, wait a minute, I can buy this at a discount.

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What about the potential delisting from indexes?

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Yeah, that's interesting.

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And do you think this is a concerted effort by the likes of JP?

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Yes, I do.

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I do think it's on purpose.

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I think they're going to be rolling out similar credit products.

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And they would like nothing more than to take some of that market away from

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sailor because he's been so successful with it so yeah i mean that's just you know i it's a war

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it's you know bitcoin is rattling the cages all right well yesterday uh so this is peter schiff

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chiming in today is the beginning of the end of mstr sailor was forced to sell stock not to buy

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bitcoin but to buy u.s dollars merely to fund mstr's interest and dividend obligations the stock

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is broken the business model is a fraud and sailor is the biggest comment on wall street

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those are those are those are rough words yeah um i don't know but what about the deeper question

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i think i think um right there's been pressure for from him to sell bitcoin if he needs to and

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now he's saying he would do that there's been pressure for him to uh have a cash reserve so

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that he could pay these dividends and now he's getting that so like he's figuring this thing out

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but no one's going to be happy no one's going to be happy but at the end of the day

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smart investors buy deep what do you think of them raising cash and sitting on cap i mean we

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went from you know 500 million dollar i think okay my only my only criticism of that is why

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where we were why weren't you raising cash when bitcoin was higher and buying dips right so

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So maybe that model will change over time, right?

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Maybe they thought that they could corner so much of the market,

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they could drive Bitcoin up forever.

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But obviously they can't.

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There's been a significant wall of selling over this last year,

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and it's hurt their performance.

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But I don't think it changes the long-term vision for what he's building.

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I think his vision is going to evolve.

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I think you put him under the pressure of an attack and I think you get pretty

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creative.

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Yeah.

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He seems to be a survivor,

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bobbing and weaving.

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I think they're going to bounce back strong strategy.

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This is a bit pure chart.

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Okay.

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I'm did strategies,

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new fiat reserve for dividend interest payments,

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checks a box for institutional credit due diligence and rating agencies,

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near-term coverage of fixed obligations.

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Long-term,

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this will likely attract more capital for the preferred preferreds,

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more business bitcoin accumulation and increasing amplification for the common

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at a lower cost of capital this would outweigh the opportunity cost of not holding marginally

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more bitcoin right so it looks like the strategy is evolving i think we're all learning here yep

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um the last one i want to bring up is uh dan hillary chimed in here and i thought this was

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interesting let me bring this one up so holding mstr is a call option on them lending out their

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bitcoin and creating exponential bitcoin yield into the future the reason mnav is not able to

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be sustainably high above 2x is because bitcoin yield based on current tactics is naturally

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diminishing if instead strategies bitcoin stack yielded four percent annually via some form of

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lending this would be an exponential bitcoin yield in a world of pe ratios there could be a high

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multiple in this exponential yield and could be a significant catalyst for sustained higher mnavs

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How do you get the MNAM higher?

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People think we are close.

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This is Fang Li talking.

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How do you get the MNAM higher?

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People think we are a close-ended fund, but we're an operating company.

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We should trade at some premium that represents our ability to grow our treasury reserves over time.

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Over the course of the next year, big real banks are going to offer services.

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We would consider lending with large banks.

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Have had a lot of productive conversations with large U.S. banks, and they're excited to partner with them.

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And that was in response to Fang Li, CEO of Strategy, going on Bloomberg TV today.

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and just referring to the 1.4 billion in US dollar reserves.

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So, you know, it's an interesting about that.

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You know, that would coincide with like,

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of course, JP Morgan would want to attack strategy

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if they're going to get into that business.

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Yeah, definitely.

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And a lot of other, I think, like-minded allies of theirs.

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So let's jump into the next one.

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Yeah, let's do it.

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All right.

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Topic number two, miners' pivot to AI infrastructure.

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Major miners are now partnering with AI firms.

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Microsoft's $9.7 billion deal with Iris Energy, Amazon's $5.5 billion deal with Cypher to repurpose high-power mining facilities for AI GPUs.

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Could this pose a risk to Bitcoin security?

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No, I don't think this poses a risk.

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I think this enhances Bitcoin's position in the infrastructure of the country and sort of power.

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I want to read more from this article.

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The future of power-integrated AI infrastructure.

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The convergence of Bitcoin mining and AI infrastructure is reshaping the global energy and tech landscape.

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By 2026, Bitcoin miners could control over 20 gigawatts of AI-ready power capacity, with companies like Iran and CleanSpark leading the charge.

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This shift is not merely about repurposing hardware.

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It's about redefining how digital infrastructure interacts with energy systems.

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So, and I think this is also in response to, you know,

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sort of hash rate going out of control at all time highs,

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Bitcoin's price plummeting.

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The commitments from these AI companies for this power usage,

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and that all essentially these companies are doing selling power is astronomical I a little suspect on whether going to deliver the actual revenue from all these contracts but I think this makes perfect sense and I think this integrates AI and Bitcoin uh a lot or as it should and I

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hopeful that Bitcoin will be the thing that kind of bends AI towards truth I mean I think it's good

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for energy production yeah at large which is going to be good for Bitcoin mining it's going

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good for the United States in general.

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I think it's going to lead towards nuclear.

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Yeah, I do.

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I agree.

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I agree.

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All right, let's move on to the next one here.

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All right, let's go talk about Elon some more.

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Some fundamental currencies, if you will, that are physics-based.

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So energy is the true currency.

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This is why I said Bitcoin is based on energy.

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You can't legislate energy.

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You can't just pass a law and suddenly have a lot of energy.

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It's very difficult to generate energy, especially to harness energy in a useful way to do useful work.

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So I think that probably we won't have money and probably we'll just have energy, power generation as the de facto currency.

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that was a little confounding when he says we're probably not going to have money i've actually

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heard this kind of theory before from others that eventually all money would go away and it would

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just be energy but it's hard what does that mean like how do you trade would you trade bitcoin

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if you're going to trade an energy token then you're going to be trading bitcoin right so

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So there's still tokens.

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00:14:04,559 --> 00:14:05,559
They're just I don't know what he says.

240
00:14:05,559 --> 00:14:07,159
There's not going to be money at first.

241
00:14:07,159 --> 00:14:10,559
I'm thinking that he's conflating that with fiat and saying currencies are going to go

242
00:14:10,559 --> 00:14:11,559
away.

243
00:14:11,559 --> 00:14:12,559
Maybe.

244
00:14:12,559 --> 00:14:17,339
And then he's saying something like Bitcoin's an energy backed token when that's just money.

245
00:14:17,339 --> 00:14:20,179
So it's still I'm still not blown away by anything he says.

246
00:14:20,179 --> 00:14:22,179
When he changes his mind, he's just going to apologize.

247
00:14:22,179 --> 00:14:23,179
Is that a new clip?

248
00:14:23,179 --> 00:14:24,679
I'm not positive that's a new clip.

249
00:14:24,679 --> 00:14:25,679
No, it's old.

250
00:14:25,679 --> 00:14:26,679
That's old.

251
00:14:26,679 --> 00:14:27,679
Okay.

252
00:14:27,679 --> 00:14:28,679
That's why it's not.

253
00:14:28,679 --> 00:14:29,679
It's just going around.

254
00:14:29,679 --> 00:14:30,679
No, it's pretty new, guys.

255
00:14:30,679 --> 00:14:31,679
That's pretty new.

256
00:14:31,679 --> 00:14:32,679
Sure.

257
00:14:32,679 --> 00:14:37,999
nose flash like anytime he's ever ever mentioned either things like doge or bitcoin right and i

258
00:14:37,999 --> 00:14:44,519
don't think it's making as big a noise as it used to um but i don't know uh it's interesting he still

259
00:14:44,519 --> 00:14:49,459
seems like a word salad to me well he's he's a complicated guy right i mean he goes all over the

260
00:14:49,459 --> 00:14:54,059
place he's like like he'll change his tune all the time like next week he could be talking about

261
00:14:54,059 --> 00:15:00,299
fucking ripple far we know yeah right but um i mean i think a lot of the times when he was talking

262
00:15:00,299 --> 00:15:06,459
when he was talking about doge that was on the back of all the repercussions he got from moving

263
00:15:06,459 --> 00:15:13,279
to bitcoin during the the green energy attack on bitcoin or you know that it was going to burn the

264
00:15:13,279 --> 00:15:21,439
world and it's it's like he he has a lot of masters to please in his world so you're excusing

265
00:15:21,439 --> 00:15:27,119
his flip-flopping i don't know what i'm saying i'm not excusing it i'm just saying like i think

266
00:15:27,119 --> 00:15:31,359
don't know he plays those games he speaks to different audiences for different things yeah

267
00:15:31,359 --> 00:15:37,999
exactly sure all right let's move on to the next one here all right revolutes lightning integration

268
00:15:38,559 --> 00:15:44,239
revolute announced lightning network support via light spark for its millions of users can

269
00:15:44,239 --> 00:15:50,399
this fintech giants move finally ignite consumer bitcoin payments no i don't think this is a big

270
00:15:50,399 --> 00:15:55,839
deal at all i don't think it's gonna like ignite lightning or consumer payments i think this could

271
00:15:55,839 --> 00:16:01,599
be some sort of uh big development and this is not guaranteed to actually happen uh but i think this

272
00:16:01,599 --> 00:16:06,079
is a real partnership from what i looked into yeah yeah uh these are big companies in terms of

273
00:16:06,079 --> 00:16:11,199
revolute they have about 55 million users across the world i think this is good um i think that's

274
00:16:11,199 --> 00:16:18,159
great i mean this is like any time a big fintech platform sure integrates lightning or in this

275
00:16:18,159 --> 00:16:25,279
case like spark yeah which spark is spark is cool and it actually moves it's actually moving legit

276
00:16:25,279 --> 00:16:26,619
Bitcoin. It's not

277
00:16:26,619 --> 00:16:29,259
plugging in. I think it's battle-tested over a Coinbase,

278
00:16:29,339 --> 00:16:31,019
I believe. I don't know about that.

279
00:16:31,019 --> 00:16:32,479
I think Coinbase is implemented.

280
00:16:32,919 --> 00:16:35,079
From what I read in this article. But I don't think this

281
00:16:35,079 --> 00:16:37,039
ignites consumer

282
00:16:37,039 --> 00:16:38,719
payments. It's not a... No, I don't think so.

283
00:16:38,719 --> 00:16:40,279
It doesn't flip the switch.

284
00:16:41,239 --> 00:16:43,119
And I think the real problem

285
00:16:43,119 --> 00:16:44,979
there is that they're dealing with

286
00:16:44,979 --> 00:16:46,939
European regulations. They're dealing with Mika

287
00:16:46,939 --> 00:16:49,019
or Mika, however they pronounce it.

288
00:16:49,119 --> 00:16:50,739
Yeah, which has shaped this company a lot.

289
00:16:50,859 --> 00:16:53,039
This company's only been around about 10 years, and they're already

290
00:16:53,039 --> 00:16:55,239
a $75 billion privately held

291
00:16:55,279 --> 00:17:00,939
company in europe yeah yeah uh but they are shaped a lot by the regulatory uh framework yeah yeah and

292
00:17:00,939 --> 00:17:07,059
that's in flux and in development and trying to you know so this isn't going to roll out quickly

293
00:17:07,059 --> 00:17:10,879
but the fact that they're committing to rolling this out and that they are going to make this

294
00:17:10,879 --> 00:17:16,399
happen that's like the cash app of europe right i mean yeah it's like the paypal of europe yeah

295
00:17:16,399 --> 00:17:20,459
they're competing with these major companies so that's that's great they've announced this deal

296
00:17:20,459 --> 00:17:24,919
in may they touched upon it recently in november we we don't know when it's going to come out it

297
00:17:24,919 --> 00:17:27,359
could be a test case or trial run here in December,

298
00:17:27,359 --> 00:17:28,759
or it could be sometime in Q1.

299
00:17:29,379 --> 00:17:30,659
But it would be great to see.

300
00:17:30,799 --> 00:17:32,159
I don't think it's a game changer.

301
00:17:32,159 --> 00:17:36,899
It is a end run to the end zone before the EU kills.

302
00:17:37,799 --> 00:17:40,419
Well, I also don't think this is not all about Bitcoin.

303
00:17:40,679 --> 00:17:41,039
There's a lot.

304
00:17:41,119 --> 00:17:41,799
No, I understand.

305
00:17:41,819 --> 00:17:43,199
It's about crypto and stable coins.

306
00:17:43,259 --> 00:17:43,719
Yeah, yeah, yeah.

307
00:17:43,739 --> 00:17:45,239
All right, let's move on to the next one here.

308
00:17:51,059 --> 00:17:54,279
I think we have a clip from Farida Nambarima.

309
00:17:54,919 --> 00:18:03,739
where is uh okay the african bitcoin conference kicks off the fourth edition in uh africa as

310
00:18:03,739 --> 00:18:10,499
africa's bitcoin community gathers in africa i can't see december 3rd to 5th under the leadership

311
00:18:10,499 --> 00:18:16,259
of togo activist farida nabarima many attendees are calling it one of the highest signal events

312
00:18:16,259 --> 00:18:20,719
on the global bitcoin calendar how might this summit shape the narrative around financial

313
00:18:20,719 --> 00:18:26,399
sovereignty and decentralized infrastructure across the continent well i mean if this oh

314
00:18:26,399 --> 00:18:34,719
we're gonna play a clip no okay if this summit just reflects what's happening in africa then it

315
00:18:35,359 --> 00:18:40,319
it says a lot about sovereignty and bitcoin adoption i just had a conversation last week

316
00:18:40,319 --> 00:18:48,079
it'll be on our by federal podcast here uh coming coming shortly with stafford mossy from africa

317
00:18:48,079 --> 00:18:52,479
Bitcoin Corporation, which is the first Bitcoin treasury company that's really developing in Africa.

318
00:18:52,479 --> 00:19:02,639
And when you hear the stories he tells about the adoption, the amount of real life commerce that's

319
00:19:02,639 --> 00:19:10,919
taking place with sats, it's so exciting. Africa has just said, you know what? Bitcoin volatility

320
00:19:10,919 --> 00:19:14,479
is nothing compared to 3% daily inflation.

321
00:19:15,019 --> 00:19:18,099
Like 20% drop in bicker, we don't care.

322
00:19:18,519 --> 00:19:19,839
We're going to use Sats.

323
00:19:20,359 --> 00:19:22,319
And they come from a culture where,

324
00:19:22,659 --> 00:19:26,159
I guess a very large percentage of their economy,

325
00:19:26,559 --> 00:19:28,679
like larger than the,

326
00:19:29,219 --> 00:19:32,659
I guess the cash economy is like much, much bigger

327
00:19:32,659 --> 00:19:35,659
than the so-called banked or legitimate economy.

328
00:19:36,099 --> 00:19:38,519
So they come from a culture of banking themselves

329
00:19:38,519 --> 00:19:45,399
where you had somebody in your community that was the human ATM, that was the human bank account,

330
00:19:45,519 --> 00:19:53,839
that was your lender. And so they very much have that trust and peer-to-peer system built.

331
00:19:53,979 --> 00:20:01,759
And now they have a digital format that goes straight to your phone. And they're adopting it

332
00:20:01,759 --> 00:20:08,239
at a massive pace. I mean, it's so exciting. I think what's happening in Africa.

333
00:20:08,239 --> 00:20:16,459
What do you think is going to have a bigger impact on Africa than sort of the storing of value and whatever sats they're able to acquire and keep?

334
00:20:16,679 --> 00:20:24,599
Or is it going to be more using Bitcoin as payment rails and not so much the fees that are saved, but connecting Africans with the rest of the world as entrepreneurs?

335
00:20:25,219 --> 00:20:26,159
It's all the above.

336
00:20:26,359 --> 00:20:29,399
But it's starting in this part of the world, right?

337
00:20:29,419 --> 00:20:31,159
It's starting as medium of exchange.

338
00:20:31,159 --> 00:20:39,979
But that medium exchange, because it's not devaluing, because it's not inflating away to dust, now they have savings.

339
00:20:40,759 --> 00:20:52,979
Now they're able to fund future growth and future projections and grow their businesses, pursue passions, start things that they never fathomed that they could start.

340
00:20:52,979 --> 00:21:00,799
So starting there with MOE and moving to store value, we're obviously in the West where we have a banking system that works.

341
00:21:00,799 --> 00:21:06,079
We have payments and credit cards and everything that works is starting a store of value and moving to MOE.

342
00:21:06,899 --> 00:21:08,439
But it's, I don't know, man.

343
00:21:08,499 --> 00:21:12,039
What's happening in Africa when you start hearing these stories is really cool.

344
00:21:12,359 --> 00:21:12,639
Awesome.

345
00:21:12,939 --> 00:21:13,219
All right.

346
00:21:13,359 --> 00:21:13,759
I'm stoked.

347
00:21:14,479 --> 00:21:15,459
Hit like and subscribe.

348
00:21:15,859 --> 00:21:17,999
This is Bitcoin Center brought to you by Byte Federal.

349
00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:18,859
Go bank yourself.

350
00:21:18,999 --> 00:21:20,159
Let's head over to the lightning round.

351
00:21:20,159 --> 00:21:20,759
All right.

352
00:21:20,759 --> 00:21:34,719
so this is a cool little battle going on here stock exchanges versus crypto tokenization

353
00:21:34,719 --> 00:21:41,819
global stock exchanges nyse nasdaq etc have warned regulators not to let crypto platforms

354
00:21:41,819 --> 00:21:49,099
bypass regulatory principles by tokenizing stocks is this pushback a savvy defense of investor

355
00:21:49,099 --> 00:21:55,619
protection or entrenched finance resisting legitimate blockchain innovation inequities?

356
00:21:56,199 --> 00:22:01,839
I think it's actually a legitimate pushback. I mean, if these regulations are needed,

357
00:22:02,659 --> 00:22:10,079
I think, you know, I don't see what's needed. Every tokenized stock has already registered with

358
00:22:10,079 --> 00:22:16,979
the SEC, gone through all the proper filings to register their stock on a stock exchange.

359
00:22:16,979 --> 00:22:20,039
So they're already legitimate reporting corporations.

360
00:22:20,619 --> 00:22:21,679
So everything just...

361
00:22:21,679 --> 00:22:23,479
So now it's just the SEC.

362
00:22:24,179 --> 00:22:26,259
Because if it's just lift and shift, I'm with you then.

363
00:22:26,319 --> 00:22:27,419
Then this is just bullshit.

364
00:22:28,159 --> 00:22:29,599
Well, it's lift and shift.

365
00:22:29,799 --> 00:22:32,739
And the global stock exchanges are pissed off.

366
00:22:33,079 --> 00:22:36,079
They're pissed off because there's other entities.

367
00:22:36,079 --> 00:22:37,639
Other custodians and there's other players now.

368
00:22:37,819 --> 00:22:39,319
There's no custodian because it's blockchain.

369
00:22:39,339 --> 00:22:40,099
That's what I'm saying.

370
00:22:40,319 --> 00:22:41,199
So how...

371
00:22:41,199 --> 00:22:41,479
Right?

372
00:22:41,579 --> 00:22:42,299
This is awesome.

373
00:22:42,799 --> 00:22:43,939
You think this is awesome?

374
00:22:43,999 --> 00:22:44,639
I think this is great.

375
00:22:44,639 --> 00:22:45,419
I think it's inevitable.

376
00:22:45,419 --> 00:22:52,859
I don't see how anyone's going to be, how consumers are going to be safe in this environment.

377
00:22:53,099 --> 00:22:55,859
You've got the SEC, and then you've got broker-dealers.

378
00:22:56,479 --> 00:22:57,419
You've got the...

379
00:22:58,019 --> 00:22:59,659
And this is all trust me, bro, though.

380
00:22:59,859 --> 00:23:01,939
Like, hey, we have the stocks that we have on a token.

381
00:23:02,659 --> 00:23:05,959
You cannot register security without going through the SEC.

382
00:23:07,919 --> 00:23:10,679
I was on the assumption this would be like existing securities.

383
00:23:10,819 --> 00:23:10,979
Right.

384
00:23:11,299 --> 00:23:12,019
That's what I'm saying.

385
00:23:12,019 --> 00:23:12,659
That's what I'm saying.

386
00:23:12,779 --> 00:23:13,859
So they're already...

387
00:23:13,859 --> 00:23:15,119
All these individual stocks.

388
00:23:15,119 --> 00:23:18,759
talking about more the custodianship the sort of like that all goes away that's why they're

389
00:23:18,759 --> 00:23:23,939
panicking that's why they're pissed off yeah okay you and you think that there's there's gonna be

390
00:23:23,939 --> 00:23:32,139
no sort of rehypothecation or like um illegal like like we just because it's if it's a tokenized

391
00:23:32,139 --> 00:23:38,879
security and you can take self-custody changes you're gonna allow self-custody i have no idea

392
00:23:38,879 --> 00:23:44,399
but this is a crypt this is a token that you could i mean i have no idea that doesn't mean

393
00:23:44,399 --> 00:23:48,559
you get to have custody of it just because it's okay sure i don't know what the sec laws are going

394
00:23:48,559 --> 00:23:55,199
to be i don't know what they're they're uh going to approve right right but if they approve pure

395
00:23:55,199 --> 00:24:00,719
security tokenization if they get the green light because the securities the actual stocks are

396
00:24:00,719 --> 00:24:04,959
already registered with them they're already meeting all the criteria so 500 million micro

397
00:24:04,959 --> 00:24:10,479
strategy shares have been issued yeah okay and we tokenize some of those and we stick them at coin

398
00:24:10,479 --> 00:24:15,039
base and how do we know we don't have that into your we don't end up with 900 million shares when

399
00:24:15,999 --> 00:24:20,159
well they these mount like who's auditing across all the different platforms

400
00:24:21,519 --> 00:24:24,879
if you have some tokenized someone they would have to take some of their float and they'd have

401
00:24:24,879 --> 00:24:30,079
to tokenize it right but if you're going to question that if you're going to if you're going

402
00:24:30,079 --> 00:24:44,519
to measure not lead to dark pools and hold on a second if you going to measure the actual number of securities that are out in the world it much easier to measure those on a blockchain Wouldn they have to all be on the blockchain

403
00:24:45,359 --> 00:24:45,999
Well, that's what I mean.

404
00:24:46,119 --> 00:24:48,899
But all the fraudulent activity is happening off the blockchain.

405
00:24:49,499 --> 00:24:53,499
The blockchain is actually the better source of clarity because it can be audited.

406
00:24:54,219 --> 00:24:58,079
What's happening at the DTCC, what's happening with...

407
00:24:59,459 --> 00:25:02,359
Sort of like GameStop, you're saying, and sort of like the short selling.

408
00:25:02,359 --> 00:25:06,499
naked short selling, et cetera. These are all the creation of paper securities

409
00:25:06,499 --> 00:25:10,539
that don't really exist. That all happens because

410
00:25:10,539 --> 00:25:14,299
it's off-chain. So you move that to tokenization

411
00:25:14,299 --> 00:25:18,459
and of course these guys are going to panic because that's where they're making

412
00:25:18,459 --> 00:25:21,819
a bunch of money, is lending securities that don't exist.

413
00:25:22,199 --> 00:25:25,719
But I still think that we have to make sure that we don't issue

414
00:25:25,719 --> 00:25:28,439
more tokens than there are securities and more.

415
00:25:28,439 --> 00:25:32,379
Right. So that's up to the SEC, right?

416
00:25:33,419 --> 00:25:35,779
Well, I think that's where the exchanges are begging them to say,

417
00:25:35,839 --> 00:25:38,779
can you take a look at this and make sure they don't go run wild here?

418
00:25:39,259 --> 00:25:42,939
Well, the SEC hasn't done a real great job in the traditional markets.

419
00:25:43,359 --> 00:25:45,439
Yeah, no, they're not great at doing their job.

420
00:25:45,679 --> 00:25:47,339
So, I mean, you know, I mean,

421
00:25:47,419 --> 00:25:49,779
I think the legacy claims are saying at least do it.

422
00:25:49,779 --> 00:25:53,779
When I was working at Payne Weber in the first major financial crash that I went through,

423
00:25:54,259 --> 00:25:56,599
and Dole went through a bankruptcy, and they're like,

424
00:25:56,599 --> 00:25:59,179
oh, there's 30% more Dole shares in existence

425
00:25:59,179 --> 00:25:59,919
than we knew about.

426
00:26:00,819 --> 00:26:04,959
So at least if it's tokenized and on a blockchain,

427
00:26:05,099 --> 00:26:05,739
we can audit it.

428
00:26:05,839 --> 00:26:06,859
Oh, after 9-11,

429
00:26:07,239 --> 00:26:11,279
I was in Bank of New York disaster recovery site.

430
00:26:11,839 --> 00:26:14,379
We had stacks, I think from the DTCC

431
00:26:14,379 --> 00:26:17,759
and then stacks from like the banks that made the trades.

432
00:26:18,219 --> 00:26:22,319
And we were just trying to match by hand piles.

433
00:26:22,319 --> 00:26:23,319
I mean, rooms full.

434
00:26:24,019 --> 00:26:24,959
Oh my God.

435
00:26:24,959 --> 00:26:26,659
of books.

436
00:26:26,759 --> 00:26:27,599
And we were just doing it by hand.

437
00:26:27,659 --> 00:26:29,439
30 shares here, 30 shares here.

438
00:26:29,599 --> 00:26:29,919
Okay.

439
00:26:30,479 --> 00:26:30,779
Yeah.

440
00:26:30,939 --> 00:26:31,219
Yeah.

441
00:26:31,439 --> 00:26:31,819
Wow.

442
00:26:31,899 --> 00:26:35,239
To reconcile after 9-11 and all the sort of pausing in the tape.

443
00:26:35,359 --> 00:26:35,479
Yeah.

444
00:26:35,519 --> 00:26:35,719
All right.

445
00:26:35,739 --> 00:26:36,719
Let's move on to the next one.

446
00:26:36,919 --> 00:26:37,359
It's going to be interesting.

447
00:26:38,079 --> 00:26:38,319
Okay.

448
00:26:38,439 --> 00:26:40,319
Cash apps lightning yield.

449
00:26:41,399 --> 00:26:45,319
Block disclosed that its lightning node operations are earning 9.7%.

450
00:26:45,319 --> 00:26:48,499
If corporate Bitcoin services are yielding high returns,

451
00:26:48,499 --> 00:26:52,179
is this a breakthrough sign or one off from optimized routing that won't last?

452
00:26:52,659 --> 00:26:54,079
No, I think this is really cool.

453
00:26:54,079 --> 00:26:57,799
And I mean, yes, it is related to optimized routing.

454
00:26:58,019 --> 00:26:58,179
Sure.

455
00:26:58,299 --> 00:27:02,219
It is related to the fact that they have giant nodes and they're running huge volume.

456
00:27:03,059 --> 00:27:07,779
But there are other companies out there getting high yields as well.

457
00:27:08,919 --> 00:27:13,179
Now, what, like, does this last is going to be interesting, right?

458
00:27:13,219 --> 00:27:15,899
How much does LightSpark, how much does Spark take over?

459
00:27:16,339 --> 00:27:19,339
How much of this starts to move to liquid?

460
00:27:19,699 --> 00:27:22,419
Like, you know, there's different, there's different.

461
00:27:22,419 --> 00:27:27,179
so I guess what I'm saying is I don't think these high of yields last.

462
00:27:27,399 --> 00:27:27,599
Yeah.

463
00:27:27,859 --> 00:27:28,919
But there will be a yield.

464
00:27:28,919 --> 00:27:29,599
Yeah, I agree.

465
00:27:29,599 --> 00:27:31,939
And will that be considered the risk-free rate?

466
00:27:32,599 --> 00:27:37,758
I mean, that's what we, as Bitcoiners, kind of anticipate that this is where this is going.

467
00:27:38,779 --> 00:27:42,939
But, I mean, it's a payment routing network, right?

468
00:27:43,639 --> 00:27:44,959
In this environment.

469
00:27:45,479 --> 00:27:47,159
It doesn't become a risk-free rate.

470
00:27:47,719 --> 00:27:47,919
Okay.

471
00:27:47,919 --> 00:27:51,159
What do you think the risk-free rate would be in this environment?

472
00:27:52,339 --> 00:27:53,419
In TRIFI, you mean?

473
00:27:53,819 --> 00:27:54,039
No.

474
00:27:54,519 --> 00:27:58,039
Let's say lightning usage just blossomed.

475
00:27:58,199 --> 00:27:58,459
Yeah.

476
00:27:59,159 --> 00:28:04,139
And there was enough liquidity to like, this is the new risk-free rate.

477
00:28:04,299 --> 00:28:05,959
Do you think it would be 7%, 8%?

478
00:28:06,079 --> 00:28:07,479
Anything would go down to like 2%, 3%.

479
00:28:07,479 --> 00:28:09,939
I have no idea where it's going to go down, but I know it would go down.

480
00:28:10,019 --> 00:28:10,459
It would go down.

481
00:28:10,479 --> 00:28:14,859
Because that high of a yield, if it's replicatable over time, will be pursued.

482
00:28:15,119 --> 00:28:17,859
But we are in a high interest rate environment.

483
00:28:17,919 --> 00:28:23,719
Yeah, but the interest rate, the SOFA rates, Fed rates have nothing to do with this.

484
00:28:23,959 --> 00:28:24,039
Right.

485
00:28:24,839 --> 00:28:27,439
Well, do you think they would be related at some point?

486
00:28:27,999 --> 00:28:31,639
Meaning like this would always come in lower or higher at some point?

487
00:28:31,758 --> 00:28:35,839
What would be the relationship over a long period of time at full?

488
00:28:36,099 --> 00:28:38,079
This is a pure volume game.

489
00:28:38,379 --> 00:28:39,639
These fees are super low.

490
00:28:40,919 --> 00:28:46,239
Like if I was Visa or MasterCard, I'd be going, oh, shit.

491
00:28:46,339 --> 00:28:47,039
Yeah, that's interesting.

492
00:28:47,039 --> 00:28:47,879
That's interesting.

493
00:28:47,919 --> 00:28:52,339
Right. So I don't know if this, you know, becomes the, the, you know,

494
00:28:52,419 --> 00:28:56,479
the love, the no risk rate or the, the, whatever you want to call it,

495
00:28:56,479 --> 00:29:00,139
but it is a really interesting business model. People,

496
00:29:00,319 --> 00:29:04,758
other companies will pursue that. And I think the fees will compress.

497
00:29:06,139 --> 00:29:10,679
And then once, you know, the world wakes up to payments over lightning,

498
00:29:10,679 --> 00:29:19,779
light spark and other l2s and the benefit and the low cost of that relative to visa mastercard i

499
00:29:19,779 --> 00:29:25,659
think they should be thinking about this all right let's move on to the next one here all right this

500
00:29:25,659 --> 00:29:32,379
is interesting the smp downgraded tether the smp cut tether's transparency score to five which is

501
00:29:32,379 --> 00:29:38,419
their weakest right they go one is the best five is the worst over lack of reserve disclosure what

502
00:29:38,419 --> 00:29:43,939
you think i think this is part of the sort of the coordinated attack i mean this is absurd i mean

503
00:29:43,939 --> 00:29:51,939
if anything tether loaded up on bitcoin and gold and u.s treasuries uh so i yeah i i think this is

504
00:29:51,939 --> 00:29:57,379
just sort of more of the battle between the traditional system and tether yeah um so so

505
00:29:57,379 --> 00:30:05,779
look at there's there's an administration and a treasury that's saying we want stable coins to go

506
00:30:05,779 --> 00:30:16,899
global we want to sell treasuries via stable coins globally that means that the banks are going uh

507
00:30:16,899 --> 00:30:23,619
what's our purpose now right uh s p you should maybe do something about this yeah jp morgan

508
00:30:24,179 --> 00:30:29,619
and step in i mean we've seen this before right where we like when they downgrade the u.s debt

509
00:30:29,619 --> 00:30:33,679
that we've seen how off these rating agencies can be, right?

510
00:30:33,779 --> 00:30:38,499
Like you don't get downgraded until you're at the bottom of the great financial crisis, right?

511
00:30:38,919 --> 00:30:46,819
Like there's, it doesn't take too much time in TradFi to figure out that the rating agencies are a part of the game.

512
00:30:47,619 --> 00:30:48,099
Sure.

513
00:30:48,379 --> 00:30:51,999
So I just kind of chuckle at this.

514
00:30:52,399 --> 00:30:55,119
Yeah, I think it's a nothing burger, but I mean, Tether's trying to fight back.

515
00:30:55,179 --> 00:30:57,039
I wonder how much it actually affects their business.

516
00:30:57,039 --> 00:31:02,079
i would venture to say at this point not much but it's not how they're yourselves how much of their

517
00:31:02,079 --> 00:31:07,199
their standards offshore yeah do you think anybody offshore buying tether cares what the

518
00:31:07,199 --> 00:31:14,079
s p thinks no no yeah but i think institutionally this is not this is just like like you know don't

519
00:31:14,079 --> 00:31:19,199
worry b of a jp morgan you guys are going to be okay i got your back yeah i think it's a bunch of

520
00:31:19,199 --> 00:31:22,719
that yeah yeah we saw that in a great financial crisis all right let's go through this next one

521
00:31:22,719 --> 00:31:28,399
Bitcoin treasury stocks slump shares of companies hoarding Bitcoin.

522
00:31:29,099 --> 00:31:32,479
You know, for example, MSTR or Marathon have tumbled on the market dip.

523
00:31:33,019 --> 00:31:38,879
Is this a healthy de-risking of aggressive balance sheets or will we start seeing the big fish eating the small fish soon?

524
00:31:39,299 --> 00:31:41,199
Yeah, I do think we're going to see mergers.

525
00:31:41,699 --> 00:31:42,999
I think we're going to see acquisitions.

526
00:31:43,699 --> 00:31:52,319
But I think this is just the market sorting itself out and finding what's going to work and what's not going to work.

527
00:31:52,719 --> 00:31:57,639
finding out, you know, who's when the tide goes out, who's got shorts on and who doesn't. Right.

528
00:31:58,099 --> 00:32:03,039
So I think this is part of the process. Equities markets go through this all the time. Whenever

529
00:32:03,039 --> 00:32:09,679
you get a trend, something that really takes off and everybody chases it, you're going to get a

530
00:32:09,679 --> 00:32:14,799
consultant. We're going to see the same thing in AI, right? The AI, the AI boom and the, like,

531
00:32:14,799 --> 00:32:18,559
it's going to be trillions and trillions of dollars of AI transactions. Like they're not,

532
00:32:18,559 --> 00:32:20,839
Like that tide's going to go out on that too.

533
00:32:21,319 --> 00:32:23,319
And everyone's going to be like poo-pooing AI.

534
00:32:23,899 --> 00:32:26,819
And then two years after that, it'll be back.

535
00:32:27,419 --> 00:32:33,379
This is just the nature of markets where people can see the future faster than they can build the future.

536
00:32:33,999 --> 00:32:36,419
So yeah, we saw a future.

537
00:32:36,799 --> 00:32:37,939
It got extended.

538
00:32:38,258 --> 00:32:40,559
It's being sold and it'll get built again.

539
00:32:40,879 --> 00:32:44,319
So yeah, it's a more volatile asset than Bitcoin.

540
00:32:44,559 --> 00:32:45,179
Imagine that.

541
00:32:45,179 --> 00:32:54,559
Do you think that Bitcoin treasury companies were sort of diluting and causing a bear market this year by taking $10 for every $1 was bought?

542
00:32:54,758 --> 00:32:59,599
Or were they the support all year long propping up the price this year?

543
00:32:59,619 --> 00:33:00,059
That's a good point.

544
00:33:00,159 --> 00:33:07,719
How much money that flowed into treasury companies would have instead flowed directly into Bitcoin?

545
00:33:07,899 --> 00:33:08,039
Yeah.

546
00:33:09,119 --> 00:33:13,758
I mean, I don't know the answer to that, but I think it's a great question.

547
00:33:13,758 --> 00:33:17,159
because you go stick $100,000 in Bitcoin,

548
00:33:17,319 --> 00:33:20,019
it's directly impacting the price.

549
00:33:20,099 --> 00:33:22,139
You go stick $100,000 in strategy

550
00:33:22,139 --> 00:33:24,199
and you're getting a fraction of that Bitcoin.

551
00:33:24,699 --> 00:33:24,819
Yep.

552
00:33:25,238 --> 00:33:26,439
So that's a great point.

553
00:33:26,599 --> 00:33:28,299
Yeah, especially with the smaller companies

554
00:33:28,299 --> 00:33:31,159
if you're buying at 5, 10, 15, 20 MNAV.

555
00:33:31,479 --> 00:33:31,738
Right.

556
00:33:31,998 --> 00:33:33,519
And yeah, I mean,

557
00:33:33,579 --> 00:33:35,199
I think a lot of Bitcoin has got burned that way.

558
00:33:35,199 --> 00:33:37,039
Yeah, MetaPlanet burned a ton of capital

559
00:33:37,039 --> 00:33:38,659
that could have gone straight into Bitcoin.

560
00:33:38,998 --> 00:33:39,179
Yeah.

561
00:33:39,519 --> 00:33:40,379
Yeah, that's a good point.

562
00:33:40,579 --> 00:33:41,899
All right, moving on.

563
00:33:43,758 --> 00:33:51,599
coin shares pulls shitcoin etfs coin shares abruptly canceled its planned xrp soul and

564
00:33:51,599 --> 00:33:58,019
litecoin etfs on nasdaq does this retreat signal a pivot no they're not going to bitcoin only

565
00:33:58,019 --> 00:34:02,758
they're still going to come out with some wild stuff and some interesting hybrids uh some bitcoin

566
00:34:02,758 --> 00:34:07,899
and sort of like traditional uh assets merged together probably in etfs they got a whole slew

567
00:34:07,899 --> 00:34:12,939
of things coming for the next uh year yeah i think this was just a reaction to a lack of demand

568
00:34:12,939 --> 00:34:15,159
Yeah, they thought altcoin season was coming,

569
00:34:15,319 --> 00:34:18,119
and they were going to milk it and capitalize on it,

570
00:34:18,199 --> 00:34:21,258
and it was here for like a month and then evaporated.

571
00:34:21,919 --> 00:34:23,519
So they're going to pull it.

572
00:34:23,679 --> 00:34:25,619
They'll reintroduce it if they see an opportunity.

573
00:34:25,959 --> 00:34:27,959
Yeah, and I think there's a lot of risk there for them.

574
00:34:28,319 --> 00:34:29,499
Shitcoin are going to shitcoin.

575
00:34:29,758 --> 00:34:30,439
There we go.

576
00:34:31,079 --> 00:34:34,579
All right, so Venezuela crypto payments.

577
00:34:34,819 --> 00:34:37,359
Venezuela's retail sector predicts crypto will account

578
00:34:37,359 --> 00:34:41,339
for 10% of gross repurchases by 2026 amid hyperinflation.

579
00:34:41,339 --> 00:34:47,839
what does this mean for the future of bitcoin in venezuela i think that's a low estimate

580
00:34:47,839 --> 00:34:53,359
especially especially if the administration i think this is all stable them out yeah sure

581
00:34:53,359 --> 00:34:58,939
it's all stable i mean the vast majority is stable coins yeah but um i think if our administration

582
00:34:58,939 --> 00:35:03,379
has anything to say about it it'll probably be more like 50 of the grocery bill it just seems

583
00:35:03,379 --> 00:35:09,779
like we're seeding latin america in stable coins oh 100 yeah i mean this is where this is the new

584
00:35:09,779 --> 00:35:13,679
trading corridor for the United States,

585
00:35:14,258 --> 00:35:15,119
you're going to reshore.

586
00:35:15,599 --> 00:35:18,659
You're going to reshore to the Americas,

587
00:35:19,279 --> 00:35:20,619
not just America.

588
00:35:21,299 --> 00:35:23,699
And you're going to get their people

589
00:35:23,699 --> 00:35:26,059
to adopt the currency, which is happening,

590
00:35:26,258 --> 00:35:27,758
whether the government's like it or not.

591
00:35:28,079 --> 00:35:30,619
You're either going to be like the district manager

592
00:35:30,619 --> 00:35:34,479
of the US dollar stable coin in XYZ,

593
00:35:34,879 --> 00:35:36,359
Central South America,

594
00:35:36,359 --> 00:35:39,499
or you're going to be up for a battle.

595
00:35:39,779 --> 00:35:40,859
like we're seeing in Venezuela.

596
00:35:41,399 --> 00:35:41,599
Yeah.

597
00:35:41,859 --> 00:35:43,439
All right, let's go to Latin America here.

598
00:35:45,579 --> 00:35:46,599
This is a similar,

599
00:35:46,799 --> 00:35:48,959
but Latin America digital asset boom chain analysis

600
00:35:48,959 --> 00:35:52,679
found Latin America saw nearly 1.5 trillion

601
00:35:52,679 --> 00:35:58,159
in crypto volume July 22 through July 25,

602
00:35:59,379 --> 00:36:01,639
June 2025, sorry.

603
00:36:02,159 --> 00:36:04,659
Is Latin America quietly becoming Bitcoin's

604
00:36:04,659 --> 00:36:07,879
proven ground for parallel financial infrastructure?

605
00:36:07,879 --> 00:36:15,219
I think this is still all about stable coins, remittances, and dealing with inflation.

606
00:36:15,679 --> 00:36:16,619
I mean, what's interesting, right?

607
00:36:16,679 --> 00:36:21,359
Brazil, 90% of their crypto volume is stable coins.

608
00:36:21,359 --> 00:36:21,939
It's stable coins.

609
00:36:21,939 --> 00:36:23,719
So it's selling fiat.

610
00:36:23,719 --> 00:36:24,919
And over that period of time.

611
00:36:25,258 --> 00:36:27,699
It's selling their fiat to get a USDT.

612
00:36:28,199 --> 00:36:33,719
And over that period of time, out of the 1.5 trillion was 300 billion by Brazil.

613
00:36:33,819 --> 00:36:35,619
And 80%, 90% of that was stable coins.

614
00:36:35,619 --> 00:36:35,919
Yeah.

615
00:36:35,919 --> 00:36:43,639
and only like three and a half billion was right Salvador right so if you're

616
00:36:43,639 --> 00:36:48,339
going to be I mean if this is this is gonna be the new trading corridor the

617
00:36:48,339 --> 00:37:05,658
America corridor right we got we buying basic materials and and whatever the Argentina yeah from argentina so deal yeah we doing that we we we got el salvador housing our our tether criminals that we

618
00:37:05,658 --> 00:37:10,898
exporting we're trying to get venezuela to clean up their act so it looks to me like

619
00:37:10,898 --> 00:37:20,118
the administration is attacking the deep state through attacking cartels this is my tinfoil hat

620
00:37:20,118 --> 00:37:23,438
if you're sitting there in the world saying,

621
00:37:23,698 --> 00:37:25,618
how's the deep state getting all their money

622
00:37:25,618 --> 00:37:29,058
and there's a big chunk of it that's against America?

623
00:37:30,738 --> 00:37:32,438
Well, what are they doing?

624
00:37:32,518 --> 00:37:33,778
They're bringing in illegal immigrants.

625
00:37:33,878 --> 00:37:34,818
They're bringing in drugs.

626
00:37:34,998 --> 00:37:36,538
They're killing people with fentanyl.

627
00:37:36,538 --> 00:37:37,918
On and on and on.

628
00:37:38,618 --> 00:37:40,698
Let's take out the cartel,

629
00:37:40,798 --> 00:37:44,118
which is generating the revenue for the deep state.

630
00:37:45,038 --> 00:37:47,078
And by clearing that away,

631
00:37:47,078 --> 00:37:53,938
we can legitimize trade with the rest of right we're shifting from let's oppress

632
00:37:53,938 --> 00:37:59,618
latin america right to let's build up latin america and clean it up so that we can do business

633
00:37:59,618 --> 00:38:05,318
together because we can no longer do business with china and uh you know europe is dying so

634
00:38:05,318 --> 00:38:12,718
what are we going to do right yeah this is this seems to be the move that's interesting yeah and

635
00:38:12,718 --> 00:38:18,918
tether is based in el salvador yeah yeah so all right we'll see which is our first u.s dollar

636
00:38:18,918 --> 00:38:29,718
general manager right i agree all right uh rsi is this a capitulation or a trap

637
00:38:29,718 --> 00:38:37,998
bitcoin's rsi has plunged to 33 a multi-year low is this a textbook bear market uh bottom

638
00:38:37,998 --> 00:38:49,878
signal or another cunning bull trap uh i so price can still drop while the rsi strength while you're

639
00:38:49,878 --> 00:38:55,578
talking right it's it's diver it's called divergence right so when a momentum indicator

640
00:38:55,578 --> 00:39:03,018
like the rsi signals a very bearish trigger hits a very bearish trigger that puts a lot of people

641
00:39:03,018 --> 00:39:05,358
in a position where they're going to sell rallies.

642
00:39:06,658 --> 00:39:09,258
And so the price could still continue down

643
00:39:09,258 --> 00:39:11,078
while the RSI strengthened.

644
00:39:11,238 --> 00:39:14,418
So this isn't, I tend, I mean, is it the bottom?

645
00:39:14,538 --> 00:39:18,138
Could be, but my tendency would be to say no.

646
00:39:19,018 --> 00:39:21,098
More than likely, we're going to rally out of this

647
00:39:21,098 --> 00:39:23,018
and we're going to go test those bottoms again.

648
00:39:24,078 --> 00:39:26,318
But I don't see this as,

649
00:39:27,018 --> 00:39:28,258
and guys take this with a grain of salt

650
00:39:28,258 --> 00:39:31,018
because I'm a horrible trader, a horrible trader.

651
00:39:31,018 --> 00:39:38,278
so everything i'm saying here is a bunch of bs but i tend to feel like this is not going to be

652
00:39:38,278 --> 00:39:42,998
your normal bear market and i the reason i say that is because i think it's going to be based

653
00:39:42,998 --> 00:39:50,938
on how fast is liquidity re-injected into the system like you remember covid how fast liquidity

654
00:39:50,938 --> 00:39:56,958
hit the system and how we were all like whoa like we're in a bull market now when the world shut down

655
00:39:56,958 --> 00:40:04,258
it like that showed you that liquidity can change asset prices very very quickly and so

656
00:40:04,258 --> 00:40:12,038
when i look out into 2026 i see how much debt has to be refinanced i see the conflicts and wars that

657
00:40:12,038 --> 00:40:19,798
are building liquidity is going to be mad like it's going to be necessary for the trump administration

658
00:40:19,798 --> 00:40:25,258
to make it through the midterms yeah so i think like if you could tell me how fast liquidity was

659
00:40:25,258 --> 00:40:31,178
coming then i would be like able to tell you what i think the bear market's going to be over but i

660
00:40:31,178 --> 00:40:37,578
i don't see it being like a normal four-year cycle bear market no i i one i i don't really

661
00:40:37,578 --> 00:40:43,258
believe in cycles yeah i think it's been correlation but uh i i don't think we're in a bear market

662
00:40:43,258 --> 00:40:47,098
actually i mean i think we as much as we've been in a bear market i don't think that this is

663
00:40:47,098 --> 00:40:53,978
the beginning of a longer sort of uh crypto freeze here but ben workman wrote long leverage gets

664
00:40:53,978 --> 00:41:01,658
flushed from the binance exploit bitcoin is a 30 drawdown mstr fud amplifies banks banks start

665
00:41:01,658 --> 00:41:07,978
marketing structured bitcoin notes vanguard opens bitcoin etf access qtns qtns now i don't know if

666
00:41:07,978 --> 00:41:13,578
you believe in coincidence or not but wow what timing trade fi has yeah i mean on the day uh

667
00:41:13,578 --> 00:41:18,938
vanguard opened up sort of the etfs eight percent up right this is after sort of the jp morgan attack

668
00:41:18,938 --> 00:41:26,938
the s p attack on tether uh on on mstr uh on and on so yeah yeah all right let's move on to the next

669
00:41:26,938 --> 00:41:36,618
one the texas bitcoin reserve purchase texas made its first allocation from the new texas

670
00:41:36,618 --> 00:41:43,498
bitcoin reserve spending five million on black rocks ibit so i mean it's just bitcoin price

671
00:41:43,498 --> 00:41:48,698
exposure yeah it's not right i know there's no sovereignty here for texas in this it's a start

672
00:41:48,938 --> 00:41:53,778
I mean, I don't know how a state would hold Bitcoin in a sovereign manner, but this is not.

673
00:41:53,778 --> 00:42:00,578
How fast will these states turn if somebody's Bitcoin reserve gets confiscated through Ibit?

674
00:42:00,798 --> 00:42:01,138
Sure.

675
00:42:01,578 --> 00:42:02,438
I mean, I don't know.

676
00:42:02,678 --> 00:42:16,078
Like, well, how hard is it for, I can't think they're just so afraid of self-custody or maybe they don't administratively have to change a bunch of their documentation around their governance.

677
00:42:16,078 --> 00:42:22,058
if they buy ibit versus if they buy a commodity they have to self-custody maybe that has more to

678
00:42:22,058 --> 00:42:29,698
do with it but you know it's a start and um it's better than nothing and uh i'm glad to see that

679
00:42:29,698 --> 00:42:34,438
they're pushing in that direction i have mixed feelings about it but it's probably a net positive

680
00:42:34,438 --> 00:42:39,438
but uh it's not real bitcoin yeah 100 all right bitcoin etfs breakout of outflow spiral

681
00:42:39,438 --> 00:42:45,538
after hemorrhaging over 4.3 billion in four weeks u.s spot bitcoin etf saw their first

682
00:42:45,538 --> 00:42:53,418
net positive inflows since october is december going to be green well what's your guess december

683
00:42:53,418 --> 00:43:03,618
i'm gonna give it 60 chance of being green all right i'd go with 90 chance all right

684
00:43:03,618 --> 00:43:07,478
but i'm just a bullseye where we go all right i want to read another on the bitcoin ai

685
00:43:07,478 --> 00:43:15,098
from uh maryland hodl here in the end bitcoin has already won it will be the tool that enables

686
00:43:15,098 --> 00:43:19,898
the rise of the sovereign individual that battle is still years away but it's coming i could see it

687
00:43:19,898 --> 00:43:26,138
clearly now ultimately governments will eventually become automated via blockchain and ai reflecting

688
00:43:26,138 --> 00:43:31,658
for the first time the true will of the people bitcoin and ai ai are not separate stories they

689
00:43:31,658 --> 00:43:36,538
are chapters of the same narrative their convergence is by design it was always inevitable

690
00:43:37,178 --> 00:43:42,938
bitcoin will reintroduce truth into the fabric of society becoming the force function that drives a

691
00:43:42,938 --> 00:43:50,058
moral and ethical realignment ai will serve as the productive and scientific miracle that demonetizes

692
00:43:50,058 --> 00:43:56,778
nearly all forms of monetary value together they form a unified arc bitcoin as the anchor of truth

693
00:43:56,778 --> 00:44:04,218
ai as the engine of abundance let fiat minds play fiat games my message stack sats into cold storage

694
00:44:04,218 --> 00:44:09,018
and heat up some popcorn because things are about to get very interesting very interesting

695
00:44:09,018 --> 00:44:12,138
i agree with everything there if ai is decentralized

696
00:44:12,938 --> 00:44:13,878
Do you think it will be?

697
00:44:14,118 --> 00:44:14,598
I don't know.

698
00:44:14,678 --> 00:44:19,178
If it's not, I think AI becomes the Vatican Library of Knowledge.

699
00:44:20,158 --> 00:44:20,858
What does that mean?

700
00:44:21,758 --> 00:44:24,738
The Vatican Library has all these ancient books and ancient knowledge

701
00:44:24,738 --> 00:44:26,318
that nobody's ever been able to read.

702
00:44:26,918 --> 00:44:29,858
So it becomes this, like, we collect all the information,

703
00:44:29,998 --> 00:44:33,678
we know everything, and then we only unlock what we want you to know.

704
00:44:34,698 --> 00:44:36,078
And you could see that today, right?

705
00:44:36,078 --> 00:44:39,358
If you know a lot about a specific topic,

706
00:44:39,358 --> 00:44:46,178
and you talk to chat gpt about that topic you'll instantly realize that this thing is just pandering

707
00:44:46,178 --> 00:44:52,118
to me and you have to keep going no you're wrong you're wrong this is this and they go oh yeah and

708
00:44:52,118 --> 00:44:59,418
you were right that's very intelligent of you cedric to to point that out to me like so like

709
00:44:59,418 --> 00:45:06,158
what do you think that's designed like uh by a human to talk to humans a certain way or it picked

710
00:45:06,158 --> 00:45:08,878
it's designed because I mean,

711
00:45:09,318 --> 00:45:11,058
it's designed not to give you what you're looking for.

712
00:45:11,258 --> 00:45:16,078
It's either it can't discern the difference between a lie and truth or it's

713
00:45:16,078 --> 00:45:16,258
built.

714
00:45:16,338 --> 00:45:17,138
Cause I've seen that on,

715
00:45:17,198 --> 00:45:18,498
on Twitter where someone's like,

716
00:45:18,558 --> 00:45:18,958
no grok,

717
00:45:19,018 --> 00:45:19,678
that's wrong.

718
00:45:19,818 --> 00:45:20,018
Yeah.

719
00:45:20,118 --> 00:45:21,178
Look at that picture again.

720
00:45:21,178 --> 00:45:21,598
And it's like,

721
00:45:21,598 --> 00:45:24,678
thanks for going to talk to it about anything that you're really knowledgeable

722
00:45:24,678 --> 00:45:24,998
about.

723
00:45:25,038 --> 00:45:28,018
You'll find out that it's dumb as a box of rocks until you point it out.

724
00:45:28,018 --> 00:45:28,338
And then it goes,

725
00:45:28,618 --> 00:45:28,738
Oh,

726
00:45:28,738 --> 00:45:29,338
you're right.

727
00:45:29,738 --> 00:45:31,258
I thought a little bit more about that.

728
00:45:31,258 --> 00:45:31,378
And,

729
00:45:31,458 --> 00:45:32,198
and then it,

730
00:45:32,278 --> 00:45:33,338
but it panders to you.

731
00:45:34,018 --> 00:45:35,298
So if you're,

732
00:45:36,158 --> 00:45:40,058
not smarter about the conversation that you're having with it,

733
00:45:40,798 --> 00:45:43,098
it's real easy to think that you're being told the truth,

734
00:45:43,138 --> 00:45:44,158
but you have to assume that you're not.

735
00:45:44,158 --> 00:45:46,818
I think the idea is most people are going to get dumbed down by it

736
00:45:46,818 --> 00:45:49,938
and not think for themselves and take it all as sort of like...

737
00:45:49,938 --> 00:45:52,078
Well, and if you can trap all the...

738
00:45:52,078 --> 00:45:53,738
If you can get people to rely on it

739
00:45:53,738 --> 00:45:59,338
and you can aggregate all valuable information that's truthful

740
00:45:59,338 --> 00:46:05,338
and only spit out what the end user is willing to accept...

741
00:46:05,338 --> 00:46:07,678
Yeah, that's fucked up.

742
00:46:08,098 --> 00:46:22,798
But if it's decentralized and really smart people are building specific agents around specific topics to make sure that it really knows the truth about a specific topic.

743
00:46:23,458 --> 00:46:26,018
And those agents get decentralized.

744
00:46:26,778 --> 00:46:29,078
And then those agents start communicating to each other.

745
00:46:29,618 --> 00:46:31,318
Then truth will be spread.

746
00:46:31,918 --> 00:46:33,258
And it will be aligned with Bitcoin.

747
00:46:33,258 --> 00:46:37,958
but right now i kind of see it like the vatican library do you think these ai things are alive

748
00:46:37,958 --> 00:46:44,338
no no no it's a large language model it's not alive all right no some people think yeah no

749
00:46:44,338 --> 00:46:51,038
they're delusional all right do you think do you think or i'm delusional do you think that could be

750
00:46:51,038 --> 00:46:56,858
true like a potential to be like the most negative force in sort of human existence no i don't think

751
00:46:56,858 --> 00:47:01,618
uh i don't think that's the way the world works when things get really negative a good counter

752
00:47:01,618 --> 00:47:11,538
like a good and powerful version arises that will offset it it's i think that's just human nature

753
00:47:11,538 --> 00:47:20,098
good and evil black and white yin and yang well it's like we need the threat of an ai overlord

754
00:47:20,098 --> 00:47:27,338
to do the right thing otherwise we just kind of passively go yeah this is great right you need

755
00:47:27,338 --> 00:47:34,858
the threat of uh of you mentioned it pander too a failed financial system a failed financial system

756
00:47:34,858 --> 00:47:40,838
like they couldn't get banking their currencies like it had to get so bad that they just rapidly

757
00:47:40,838 --> 00:47:45,158
adopt bitcoin like that's the way humanity works that's why i always say nothing gets fixed until

758
00:47:45,158 --> 00:47:52,938
it's broken because if you really view the way humanity reacts to things it takes eminent threat

759
00:47:52,938 --> 00:47:55,638
to create action to offset it.

760
00:47:57,078 --> 00:48:01,118
So I mean, maybe we are going to have like,

761
00:48:01,598 --> 00:48:04,358
you know, we'll start with the AI overlord

762
00:48:04,358 --> 00:48:06,878
and all the oppression that that creates.

763
00:48:07,058 --> 00:48:09,718
And then people will steal the, you know,

764
00:48:09,798 --> 00:48:12,978
open and open source it and start creating the alternative.

765
00:48:15,118 --> 00:48:17,298
So I think in the end, it's a win,

766
00:48:17,578 --> 00:48:20,438
but it depends on where you're at in the cycle, right?

767
00:48:20,778 --> 00:48:21,058
Yeah.

768
00:48:21,058 --> 00:48:22,098
But I don't see them.

769
00:48:22,358 --> 00:48:23,438
I don't see AI and Bitcoin.

770
00:48:24,058 --> 00:48:25,978
I think AI will use Bitcoin,

771
00:48:26,078 --> 00:48:27,698
but I don't see them aligned for truth.

772
00:48:28,678 --> 00:48:29,358
Bitcoin, definitely.

773
00:48:30,618 --> 00:48:30,918
Nice.

774
00:48:31,378 --> 00:48:31,818
I hear you.

775
00:48:33,058 --> 00:48:33,398
All right.

776
00:48:33,698 --> 00:48:37,178
Well, Francis, do we have any comments or questions?

777
00:48:38,798 --> 00:48:39,818
Nothing tonight, boys.

778
00:48:40,618 --> 00:48:41,038
All right.

779
00:48:41,118 --> 00:48:41,558
Sounds good.

780
00:48:41,698 --> 00:48:42,878
Well, if you guys are enjoying the show,

781
00:48:42,918 --> 00:48:43,738
hit like and subscribe.

782
00:48:43,958 --> 00:48:45,858
We'll see you every Tuesday at 8 p.m. Eastern.

783
00:48:46,938 --> 00:48:49,458
This is Bitcoin Center brought to you by Byte Federal.

784
00:48:49,578 --> 00:48:50,298
Go bank yourself.

785
00:48:50,298 --> 00:48:54,038
if you got the point of sale hopefully what like the price of bitcoin goes back up so we can get

786
00:48:54,038 --> 00:48:59,858
the rv back or no we're staying in here all right i'm gonna do it up and uh stay in the swamp shed

787
00:48:59,858 --> 00:49:05,518
here the chicken coop all right thanks guys all right peace
