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Okay, so without further ado, I'd like to invite Steve, Max, and DK to come to the front of the room to do a little live PBJ session on the topic of, and this is going to help kind of give us kind of thrust into the rest of the day, on the topic of why is Silicon Valley currently missing Bitcoin?

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And then we can talk about and spend some time, you know, actually inserting Bitcoin into the conversation.

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So take it away, guys.

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Yo, yo.

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Hey, so same seats, huh?

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So this topic of Silicon Valley and Bitcoin, I think, you know, there's a question that we're often discussing kind of offline and I think is a popular topic among Bitcoiners, which is why doesn't Silicon Valley understand Bitcoin?

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What are they missing? How do we convince them?

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And I kind of sort of challenge the question to just kind of open it up. Is Silicon Valley missing Bitcoin or should a new type of thing that's not so Silicon Valley be the place where the Bitcoin building emerges? Just sort of open that up as a question.

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i like that question should we set some context maybe with a little bit of history

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um like in 20 yeah sure and then i think we can answer your question better but like um

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the first wave of silicon valley hype and bitcoin i think was in the 2013 era because like pre-2013

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it was a very small set of ogs who discovered bitcoin and bought some or transacted with it

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ran a node, mined.

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And there were a lot of them in that era.

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It wasn't like this covert thing.

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It was basically every venture firm knew about it

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and was buying Bitcoin.

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But like in the 2010 to 12 era,

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I think it was more like a global phenomenon

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within a niche group of people.

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Drug dealers and rural-

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There was definitely like,

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Wences got a lot of people,

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one of the funders of this space,

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Wences Casares,

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got a lot of people in Silicon Valley

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taught them about Bitcoin.

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I was at Google at the time, as was Matt.

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I think you maybe left, but yeah, you had already left, David.

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And it was definitely going through Google as well.

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But the 2013 era, that's when VCs, I think their conception,

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entrepreneurs and VCs were trying to make payments happen.

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But I think they viewed it as more like, oh, this is going to replace PayPal or Visa.

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But I get the sense that Silicon Valley at the time thought it was like a payment layer replacement and not this revolutionary new money that's like replacing the dollar.

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Which if you view Bitcoin in that lens, you realize it doesn't happen overnight.

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It's not like you just build a Silicon Valley startup and that happens.

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You have to shake up institutions.

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And since it's not fiat, not declared by a government, it has to be grassroots and come from people.

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And that takes a long time.

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So there were a bunch of whiffs in 2013 wave of venture capital funded Bitcoin startups because it wasn't ready yet for that use case.

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And I think there was a misconception.

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And then ever since then, there's always a better Bitcoin and those get funded. And I would call it a lot of distractions. But I think that, I mean, do you guys agree with that history and that context?

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Yeah, I do. And I mean, I think I said this kind of jokingly, but in that early era, the people that really grokked Bitcoin were the weirdos. And again, there's a really interesting paper I've quoted many times. If you haven't read it, who here has read why the yuppie elite dismissed Bitcoin? This is basically the best anthropological piece ever written about Bitcoin. If you haven't read it, just read it.

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But the gist of it is very, very, very simple.

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And to really grok Bitcoin, there's a lot going on.

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Some of it is complex.

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And so you need to be, quote unquote, smart or do the work, right?

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So he has two axes.

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And one axe he uses is like, how smart are you?

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How much work have you done if you want to put it in there?

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The other axis, though, is how much do you trust the system?

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And that's a very, very different axis, right?

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so the people that historically and i've seen this in my own circles like i went to a much more

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sort of like insider school my friends there still don't get it they're smart they're super

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smart they still do not get it to this day at yale jail you you you you were much more likely

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to grog bitcoin in jail somebody so embarrassed to say they went to yale seriously actually

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quick funny aside, I have a theory.

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Highest expected value

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job of the last 25 years outside

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of super hot startups at Google.

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Highest expected value job.

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Vibe Coder.

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I'm going to go with

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volunteer on the Ron

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Paul campaign.

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Not even kidding. Because you bought the

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Coder earlier. Yeah, all those fuckers bought

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because they were young, they got it.

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But how many people took Bitcoin seriously?

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Sorry, how many people even understood

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what the Federal Reserve is or what money is?

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The people that were out there, I guess it was 2008,

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like Ron Paul Reichen, these people,

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by most of society's standards, were nuts

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and are still nuts.

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It's like you had everyone else.

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Think about your daily, you're talking about this stuff

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and everyone's like, well, should we fund this thing

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or should we fund that thing, the economy?

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And then you've got this one old guy

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who's literally just shaking his umbrella into the air,

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being like, we need to go back to the gold standard.

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And you're like, oh man, these people are not.

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And then you've got Warren Buffett.

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Everyone loves Daddy Warren.

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They got Warren Buffett, baby.

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It's Shilohmunger.

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And they're always sitting there, gold.

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Gold doesn't throw off any cash, flows, returns.

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Anyways, and we did a whole show about that last week.

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I won't rehash it.

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You should watch it on PBJ.

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But anyways, the gist of it is,

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unless you, for some reason,

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have been outside of the system,

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Maybe you grew up, you know, in a country where there's hyperinflation.

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Why was he the one guy in Silicon Valley that got it?

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Because he's seen his, you know, savings hyperinflate many times.

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Maybe, you know, you're whatever, just grew up outside the system, very poor.

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Like, anyways, but if you grew up on the inside, the insides work pretty well for you.

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If you're from the banking class, done well in Silicon Valley, it's like, you don't even

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think to question, like, is the water that we're in working or is it not?

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So that's why I think Silicon Valley, you know, didn't get it at first.

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And to be clear, some did, right?

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Like some people bought a lot of Bitcoin.

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I understand about a lot. Peter Thiel, he has the capability to zoom out and see the guys that short

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the system, like hedge fund dudes, they understood what was happening. But anyways, and then I think

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to your point, Steve, you're absolutely right. Then Silicon Valley tried to pin on it what they

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knew, which is payments. And it's like, it will happen. I fundamentally believe that. We all

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fundamentally believe that. We get to zoom out. And to your point, protocols over companies,

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this is a cathedral. This is a century, multi-century long project, at least multi-decade

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long project. And if you don't come in with that view, you know, and you don't come in with a view

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of the history of the internet, how long that took, then you're going to miss. So I think Silicon

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Valley just wasn't prepared. And then those that were have done very well. And then they keep trying

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to fit the payments narrative on top. And then you see people that make so much money. Like you see

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the multi-coin fund returning like socket numbers. You're like, wow, I want some of that without

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questioning. Well, you know, is this really what I want to dedicate to my life to dumping on grandma?

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Just like options on Intel.

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Yeah.

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Anyways.

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So that's my more cynical view.

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I think it's changing.

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And the last thing I'll say on that, though, is like, I do think Silicon Valley has a very important role to play in all of this.

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And I think that it's events like this to show people, OK, we're finally at a point where the things you want payments already and how you can fund those companies.

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So let's get back to the original question, David.

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Let me make sure I remember it.

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is

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is

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Silicon Valley missing

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Bitcoin or will

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Bitcoin just grow and thrive

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it doesn't have to grow and thrive

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through Silicon Valley but elsewhere in the world

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yeah or maybe

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I'll add a little more color with the

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context is I might

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make the claim that Silicon Valley has not

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missed Bitcoin but Silicon Valley

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has a very different set of incentives

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that are not necessarily

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compatible with Bitcoin we just think oh

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technology it must be silicon valley and i think there's some things that silicon valley has gotten

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right about bitcoin like probably a dozen venture firms loaded up on bitcoin the asset with their

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discretionary liquid 20 of the fund but they didn't invest in a lot of companies and i think

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outside of the ones that they did invest like coinbase there there are a lot of

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certain successes to show monetarily in the venture capital style of investing.

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So I think historically, that's kind of inarguable.

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I mean, how you frame it there is correct historically.

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So I think the interesting discussion and question is moving forward,

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will something change?

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And I think things will change.

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So I think you're correct that historically,

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buying Bitcoin and holding it,

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that's been the use case and where you can thrive.

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There's not been a lot of great startups to fund the past 10 years, especially ones that are focused on Bitcoin.

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If you're like minting your own tokens and you get those to VCs, that's been incredible returns.

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I don't think it's super ethical, but certainly a good VC return.

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But moving forward, what's transpired?

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Well, one, Bitcoin as an asset has obviously been tremendously successful the past 10 plus years.

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There's no doubting that.

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and everything appears

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it's going to just continue on that trend.

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Secondly, the

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tools to build on Bitcoin

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are dramatically better today

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than they have been in the past.

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And we all

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like we've seen that firsthand.

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Like historically, it's taken

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several talented developers

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over a year to build

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a quality Bitcoin application.

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Now, people

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in this room are vibe coding with

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one-shot vibe coding

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and like nine minutes later,

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they have a working Bitcoin application

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or a working application

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that integrates Bitcoin payments.

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Matt is not the only one who's done that.

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He showed a lot of people how to do it,

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but he's not the only one.

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He gave me the one-shot

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and then I one-shotted and then it worked.

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And if you want to one-shot something,

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talk to Matt.

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So I think that's transformative.

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So the next three years

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are going to be very different

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than the last 10 years

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and that everyone in this room

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and millions and millions of people

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around the world

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have the ability to create an application,

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integrate Bitcoin payments into it,

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and you don't have to be a superstar engineer to do that.

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So I think we're going to see

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hundreds of thousands, if not millions of people building

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millions of applications.

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A lot of them are going to be toys or junk or learning experiments.

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That's totally fine.

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When you have that big of numbers,

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you only need a small percentage to actually be hits.

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and even if i've coding today has its its limits that's totally fine you can get to you can get to

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an amazing proof of concept you can even get into production and allow hundreds of thousands hundreds

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or thousands of people to use it so you can even get the product market fit today single person

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with with a five-coder product and then if if there is a fit great then you can hire good

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engineers to make sure it scales and is secure and and things like that um so i think that's

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transformative and the ability to add Bitcoin payments we going to see a lot more of that And something David always harped on over time is like Bitcoiners tend to build Bitcoin centric applications and then like no one using it But I think when you open it up to everyone a lot of people including Silicon Valley and big tech who wouldn identify as Bitcoiners they build applications that are compelling for other people And those applications just happen to have Bitcoin integrated into it

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No one would call it a Bitcoin-centric application.

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And once we have that, we're going to have growth, popularity, and then VCs are going to be chopping into debt to invest.

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The only maybe thing I would push back a little bit, I agree on all of that, is on both you guys.

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I think you're right so far with this idea that there haven't been good companies to invest in Bitcoin.

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Obviously, I'm talking my own book here.

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Except for the ones you've invested in.

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Yeah, exactly.

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But I will...

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He won't say he's a VC.

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but i will say that the way i think about it is like we've had years now five years

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startups but he's like block that have built a lot of the open source community a lot of people

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in this room that have built a tremendous amount of extremely important infrastructure a lot of

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that's open source um and you've had companies like lightning labs like light spark uh that have

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built this really really critical breeze albie you name it all these companies that built all

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this infrastructure that the vibe coding stuff wouldn't work with if you didn't have a lot of

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various Lexis in the room or they were in the room yesterday. So all of these companies,

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like they've been doing like the super heavy lifting in the shadows. It's kind of like,

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I remember the old sort of like a book before everyone hated him, the John Morant commercials

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where it was always him in the shadow doing the work before you see him going out there

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and posterize people. That's the way I see what's happened the last several years. Bitcoin,

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that infrastructure had to exist before the application. And I think now we're about to

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enter with Vibe Coding, all the new tools, the application layer.

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Yeah, there's going to be tons of those.

233
00:13:45,818 --> 00:13:46,918
That's when Silicon Valley's going to get in.

234
00:13:47,138 --> 00:13:50,478
But I still think that all of those companies have been building in the dark,

235
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also stacking Bitcoin, so it'll be around forever,

236
00:13:53,998 --> 00:13:57,438
that you're going to see some incredible success stories

237
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from the infrastructure companies.

238
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It just hasn't happened yet.

239
00:14:01,698 --> 00:14:08,038
Yeah, and I was going to say, I think that we have a lot of focus

240
00:14:08,038 --> 00:14:10,918
in our discussions offline and sort of in the Bitcoin community

241
00:14:10,918 --> 00:14:16,478
wondering when is Microsoft going to adopt Bitcoin or when is Google going to adopt Bitcoin?

242
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And I kind of think like that'd be fine if they do, but I don't think that's really worth a lot

243
00:14:22,498 --> 00:14:28,758
of our focus. And one of the questions I was asking Matt earlier was, what do you think is

244
00:14:28,758 --> 00:14:34,878
the non-Mag7 that's going to be a credible number two to Block? So don't tell me Microsoft or Google,

245
00:14:35,038 --> 00:14:40,738
but tell me like, I think Block has done a great job at moving, it's a technology company fund in

246
00:14:40,918 --> 00:14:43,118
originally in VC, in Silicon Valley.

247
00:14:43,858 --> 00:14:47,398
But what is a credible number two to carry?

248
00:14:47,598 --> 00:14:48,578
That could be.

249
00:14:49,738 --> 00:14:49,878
Yeah.

250
00:14:50,018 --> 00:14:50,458
That's my answer.

251
00:14:50,458 --> 00:14:50,878
That's your answer.

252
00:14:51,138 --> 00:14:52,398
Okay, and Amjad's a huge Bitcoiner.

253
00:14:52,838 --> 00:14:53,718
I'm not sure I understand.

254
00:14:53,878 --> 00:14:55,478
What's the number two Silicon Valley company

255
00:14:55,478 --> 00:14:56,178
that's going to embrace Bitcoin?

256
00:14:56,178 --> 00:14:58,498
So Block has done a great job

257
00:14:58,498 --> 00:15:00,458
at being both a Silicon Valley company

258
00:15:00,458 --> 00:15:03,218
and being a Bitcoin company, right?

259
00:15:03,638 --> 00:15:06,318
With the funding spiral and all the grantees

260
00:15:06,318 --> 00:15:08,638
and everything, and, you know, Cash App.

261
00:15:08,638 --> 00:15:13,678
just block cares about Bitcoin in a way that Silicon Valley mostly doesn't.

262
00:15:14,498 --> 00:15:18,598
And so what is going to be the second company and how do you reach out to them,

263
00:15:18,778 --> 00:15:21,538
meet them, support them in doing that,

264
00:15:21,538 --> 00:15:24,438
as well as all the thousands of startups and the vibe voters and everything.

265
00:15:24,858 --> 00:15:27,298
But instead of saying, go higher,

266
00:15:28,298 --> 00:15:32,298
pick the number two and three and four and 10 that are sort of in the mini block.

267
00:15:32,658 --> 00:15:33,658
I'm going to go, that's a good answer.

268
00:15:34,058 --> 00:15:36,038
I agree with that, but I'm also going to go with Elon.

269
00:15:36,038 --> 00:15:39,318
Tesla X

270
00:15:39,318 --> 00:15:40,558
Elon will undersees

271
00:15:40,558 --> 00:15:41,738
he's going to get over his

272
00:15:41,738 --> 00:15:43,318
Dogecoin fascination

273
00:15:43,318 --> 00:15:43,718
he will

274
00:15:43,718 --> 00:15:45,218
when is that happening?

275
00:15:46,138 --> 00:15:46,818
well I mean

276
00:15:46,818 --> 00:15:47,358
I tried

277
00:15:47,358 --> 00:15:48,178
I

278
00:15:48,178 --> 00:15:50,078
we're

279
00:15:50,078 --> 00:15:51,498
hopefully we'll have a second shot

280
00:15:51,498 --> 00:15:52,278
here in a couple weeks

281
00:15:52,278 --> 00:15:53,398
if you guys haven't heard

282
00:15:53,398 --> 00:15:54,318
TuneIn Type 1 Summit

283
00:15:54,318 --> 00:15:54,778
coming up

284
00:15:54,778 --> 00:15:58,278
the way I think about it is

285
00:15:58,278 --> 00:15:58,998
it's a process

286
00:15:58,998 --> 00:15:59,958
you don't get there overnight

287
00:15:59,958 --> 00:16:00,298
right

288
00:16:00,298 --> 00:16:00,858
and so

289
00:16:00,858 --> 00:16:02,118
you know

290
00:16:02,118 --> 00:16:04,558
before you got

291
00:16:04,558 --> 00:16:05,618
and this is probably true for you two

292
00:16:05,618 --> 00:16:05,998
and I'm

293
00:16:06,038 --> 00:16:10,698
curious, most people in the audience, before you were like a zealot and fully in the Bitcoin cult,

294
00:16:11,098 --> 00:16:15,018
probably bought some Bitcoin, probably bought some shit coins. Over time, you probably realize,

295
00:16:15,158 --> 00:16:19,178
hey, what's this thing that keeps going up forever that everyone says is tulips,

296
00:16:19,178 --> 00:16:24,538
and then it's always going up forever? Maybe I should investigate. Oh, all my shit coins,

297
00:16:24,678 --> 00:16:31,458
that was all went to zero. Elon bought Bitcoin for Tesla, SpaceX, and personally,

298
00:16:31,458 --> 00:16:32,938
from my understanding in 2020.

299
00:16:34,398 --> 00:16:35,378
Seeing what happened.

300
00:16:36,038 --> 00:16:36,658
Smart guy.

301
00:16:36,998 --> 00:16:37,978
He understands thermodynamics,

302
00:16:38,138 --> 00:16:39,638
understands Bitcoin has energy back to money.

303
00:16:40,218 --> 00:16:43,378
If I had to bet on who's going to really bring it mainstream,

304
00:16:43,998 --> 00:16:45,198
I'm going to guess it's probably going to be an X.

305
00:16:46,618 --> 00:16:47,258
I like that.

306
00:16:47,678 --> 00:16:51,038
By the way, when we do this show every Friday,

307
00:16:51,238 --> 00:16:55,658
it's a live show and we always solicit engagement

308
00:16:55,658 --> 00:16:58,778
and that's with us sitting in the studio behind us

309
00:16:58,778 --> 00:17:01,438
and people text chatting with us.

310
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We love that. But now we have a live audience in front of us.

311
00:17:03,518 --> 00:17:10,858
So please, at any point, if you guys have a question or an opinion, feel free to raise your hand and speak up.

312
00:17:12,078 --> 00:17:12,558
Yes.

313
00:17:19,338 --> 00:17:20,338
Nice move, man.

314
00:17:21,278 --> 00:17:23,958
So, yeah, okay.

315
00:17:25,358 --> 00:17:27,258
So with Block, right?

316
00:17:27,398 --> 00:17:31,238
I mean, I've appreciated what Dorsey's been trying to do.

317
00:17:31,458 --> 00:17:37,778
keeping an eye on Bitcoin and all the innovation that he's been trying to put in place around it.

318
00:17:38,558 --> 00:17:41,358
Really appreciate that sort of ideology.

319
00:17:42,238 --> 00:17:49,638
But what I've seen generally, and this is like when I say the market is seeing it, is the stock price, right?

320
00:17:49,758 --> 00:17:54,258
And it's not reflecting in what's happening there.

321
00:17:54,258 --> 00:18:04,458
So part of what excites people when it comes to like innovation on Bitcoin, whether it's DeFi, TradFi, whatever, like I'm personally, I'm agnostic.

322
00:18:04,638 --> 00:18:06,258
I don't care like what these labels are.

323
00:18:06,418 --> 00:18:10,498
Like if there is innovation on Bitcoin and I'm interested, at least I keep an eye on it.

324
00:18:11,538 --> 00:18:13,518
And, you know, it hasn't transpired.

325
00:18:13,638 --> 00:18:14,498
It hasn't paid off.

326
00:18:14,758 --> 00:18:24,118
So I'm just curious or thoughts on, you know, we can take Block as an example or any sort of broader thoughts on what could have been done better.

327
00:18:24,258 --> 00:18:26,958
in that space, right, to attract sort of additional capital.

328
00:18:27,078 --> 00:18:30,298
Because everybody wants, as much as, you know,

329
00:18:30,358 --> 00:18:33,178
a lot of people here believe that, you know,

330
00:18:33,218 --> 00:18:36,058
even though Bitcoin's at $100,000, $115,000,

331
00:18:36,658 --> 00:18:38,218
we're still early, right?

332
00:18:38,438 --> 00:18:40,318
But there's others who are saying,

333
00:18:40,458 --> 00:18:42,098
well, it used to be like a thousand bucks

334
00:18:42,098 --> 00:18:43,998
or a few hundred bucks only 10 years ago.

335
00:18:44,078 --> 00:18:46,258
Now it's 100,000 too late, right?

336
00:18:46,298 --> 00:18:47,498
And they're looking for the next.

337
00:18:48,338 --> 00:18:49,718
And that's kind of where like shitcoins

338
00:18:49,718 --> 00:18:51,198
kind of find their market.

339
00:18:51,378 --> 00:18:53,098
I'm just trying to kind of like get some thoughts

340
00:18:53,098 --> 00:18:54,918
from you guys on, you know,

341
00:18:55,278 --> 00:18:56,318
what could Block do better?

342
00:18:56,438 --> 00:18:58,438
What could some of these other companies do better

343
00:18:58,438 --> 00:19:00,838
where they're like adding value to Bitcoin

344
00:19:00,838 --> 00:19:02,878
but not become shitcoins in the process?

345
00:19:03,038 --> 00:19:05,618
Yeah, I think that's a really good question.

346
00:19:06,038 --> 00:19:09,178
And it also, yeah, I mean,

347
00:19:09,538 --> 00:19:11,378
it shows a very different strategy

348
00:19:11,378 --> 00:19:13,398
for Block and other companies.

349
00:19:13,938 --> 00:19:15,958
I think it boils down to like short-term

350
00:19:15,958 --> 00:19:18,778
versus long-term view and strategy.

351
00:19:18,778 --> 00:19:21,238
with, I think

352
00:19:21,238 --> 00:19:23,178
the people that work out of Presidia

353
00:19:23,178 --> 00:19:24,418
Bitcoin on Bitcoin

354
00:19:24,418 --> 00:19:27,158
as well as Block have a longer term view

355
00:19:27,158 --> 00:19:29,178
and think

356
00:19:29,178 --> 00:19:31,478
that Bitcoin is a bedrock, a foundation

357
00:19:31,478 --> 00:19:33,278
that everything's going to be built

358
00:19:33,278 --> 00:19:34,558
on, but it takes time

359
00:19:34,558 --> 00:19:36,998
and that that might not

360
00:19:36,998 --> 00:19:38,958
show up in short term

361
00:19:38,958 --> 00:19:40,698
financial results

362
00:19:40,698 --> 00:19:43,538
and there remains a lot of skepticism

363
00:19:43,538 --> 00:19:45,338
within Silicon Valley about that

364
00:19:45,338 --> 00:19:47,158
future on Bitcoin, I think

365
00:19:47,158 --> 00:19:51,198
So, and apparently investors as well.

366
00:19:51,378 --> 00:19:59,878
Although, I mean, I would say for Block specifically, while Block does a lot of good for Bitcoin, it's still primarily Square and Cash App with two businesses and it's UF dollars.

367
00:20:00,618 --> 00:20:06,078
I mean, the lion's share, I think Bitcoin is something like three to four percent of the gross profit of the company.

368
00:20:06,718 --> 00:20:12,618
So from a Wall Street analyst perspective, it's almost a rounding error still.

369
00:20:12,618 --> 00:20:15,458
so an investor in block

370
00:20:15,458 --> 00:20:18,998
if someone's investing in block for bitcoin

371
00:20:18,998 --> 00:20:21,398
you have to be someone who would

372
00:20:21,398 --> 00:20:22,598
work out a procedure of bitcoin

373
00:20:22,598 --> 00:20:24,518
who really believes in bitcoin

374
00:20:24,518 --> 00:20:26,898
but I think it's a short term versus a long term

375
00:20:26,898 --> 00:20:29,758
and my kind of disdain

376
00:20:29,758 --> 00:20:32,378
for pre-mine tokens

377
00:20:32,378 --> 00:20:33,438
and shit coins

378
00:20:33,438 --> 00:20:36,198
is that it's indisputable

379
00:20:36,198 --> 00:20:37,538
that it's been highly profitable

380
00:20:37,538 --> 00:20:39,398
for VCs and founders

381
00:20:39,398 --> 00:20:40,738
who create those coins

382
00:20:40,738 --> 00:20:43,118
but none of them have any lasting value.

383
00:20:43,598 --> 00:20:45,798
Every single one of them has lost value to Bitcoin

384
00:20:45,798 --> 00:20:47,098
and retail gets dumped on.

385
00:20:47,238 --> 00:20:48,278
I find it unethical.

386
00:20:49,658 --> 00:20:52,978
So that's, but I understand the rationale

387
00:20:52,978 --> 00:20:56,798
for why VCs haven't or have done that

388
00:20:56,798 --> 00:20:58,558
and not invested in Bitcoin yet.

389
00:20:58,558 --> 00:21:01,358
Yeah, I think people are generally pretty rational

390
00:21:01,358 --> 00:21:03,858
about things and it really comes down

391
00:21:03,858 --> 00:21:04,778
to what is your timeframe.

392
00:21:05,338 --> 00:21:07,598
So if your timeframe is like

393
00:21:07,598 --> 00:21:08,618
you're a public markets trader,

394
00:21:08,618 --> 00:21:13,138
maybe your time frame is, you know, hours or days or weeks.

395
00:21:13,818 --> 00:21:14,298
Could be.

396
00:21:14,698 --> 00:21:17,878
If you're a venture capitalist, your time frame is about 7 to 10 years.

397
00:21:18,158 --> 00:21:19,918
And you have to get that window right.

398
00:21:20,418 --> 00:21:23,378
And if your time frame, if you think it's going to play out over 20 years,

399
00:21:23,918 --> 00:21:25,018
it's just a no-ply zone.

400
00:21:25,138 --> 00:21:26,038
Don't touch it, right?

401
00:21:26,658 --> 00:21:29,898
And it doesn't mean that Bitcoin's going to take another 20 years from now.

402
00:21:29,898 --> 00:21:34,578
But maybe if you'd started in 2013 and you're 12 years in,

403
00:21:34,678 --> 00:21:36,698
you're feeling a little burnt, right?

404
00:21:36,698 --> 00:21:49,978
You're like, we know people who stuck their neck out at their firm and they made a bunch of investments and they're going okay, but then their partners are doing these unethical things and they're getting all the returns.

405
00:21:50,118 --> 00:21:51,758
Why are we taking all this dead weight along?

406
00:21:51,978 --> 00:21:54,598
So the incentives and the timeframes really matter.

407
00:21:55,218 --> 00:22:04,518
But I also think the timeframes are specific to what the market is doing and you can't fight gravity.

408
00:22:04,518 --> 00:22:20,638
I think the one thing that I just keep getting beat over the head with in technology is like, no matter how much you want something, the world has to kind of conspire to provide the opportunities for the things to exist.

409
00:22:20,738 --> 00:22:22,738
You can't just brute force it.

410
00:22:23,458 --> 00:22:24,658
The world has to assemble it.

411
00:22:24,718 --> 00:22:29,798
Now, you can do a bunch of brute forcing behind the scenes and then the world figures it out and then it's takeoff.

412
00:22:30,078 --> 00:22:32,398
That's kind of how most great things end up working.

413
00:22:32,398 --> 00:22:37,238
but you also have to recognize that like you're signing up for that brute forcing thing now i

414
00:22:37,238 --> 00:22:43,458
think we have lived through like what has happened in technology like you know 10 years ago 15 years

415
00:22:43,458 --> 00:22:47,998
ago like that was sort of tail end of the mobile wave there's a lot of like vertical sass and

416
00:22:47,998 --> 00:22:52,538
sass companies and like that was a lot of what bc was excited about like sass companies okay well

417
00:22:52,538 --> 00:22:55,658
they don't really have a need for bitcoin and that's where all the growth is they grow revenue

418
00:22:55,658 --> 00:23:01,058
and they grow share price and so the incentives over the last call it 10 years have been mostly

419
00:23:01,058 --> 00:23:07,878
directed at increasing share price through, you know, vertical SaaS revenue growth. And that's,

420
00:23:08,158 --> 00:23:12,958
like, Bitcoin doesn't really have a role in that. I think the exciting thing about this moment

421
00:23:12,958 --> 00:23:19,958
is that we have the new ingredients of AI, and it's going to fundamentally rewire everything.

422
00:23:20,418 --> 00:23:25,118
Like, there's nobody who's really, like, sate from AI unless they're already investing in AI.

423
00:23:25,458 --> 00:23:30,518
So that goes all the way from, like, the smallest startup to Mag7. If you're a small startup with a

424
00:23:30,518 --> 00:23:32,858
bunch of good revenue today, but you're not AI, you almost can't get funded.

425
00:23:33,338 --> 00:23:35,078
It's like, sounds bizarre, but that's actually true.

426
00:23:35,198 --> 00:23:37,978
You can't be like, oh, we have 5 million ARR, but we don't have any AI story.

427
00:23:38,018 --> 00:23:38,978
They're like, okay, next.

428
00:23:39,318 --> 00:23:40,278
They don't want to talk to you.

429
00:23:40,818 --> 00:23:57,656
So I think it important to focus on what the new ingredients are and how they can enable growth in the future And I think the new ingredients of AI mean that we can build things on our own our own hobbies with no venture capital

430
00:23:57,656 --> 00:24:04,116
and prove that something is exciting and valuable and needed and useful. And we can do it with

431
00:24:04,116 --> 00:24:11,236
Bitcoin if we want. And some people will figure out where Bitcoin is effective and we'll build AI,

432
00:24:11,236 --> 00:24:18,196
will build AIs with AI tools. And those AIs will need Bitcoin, not just like want Bitcoin or

433
00:24:18,196 --> 00:24:21,636
ideologically believe Bitcoin will be better in 20 years, but they'll actually need Bitcoin to

434
00:24:21,636 --> 00:24:27,536
receive payments. There's no other way to pay an AI except for the AI to hold Bitcoin, right? So

435
00:24:27,536 --> 00:24:33,236
because of KYC, all that. And I think that's a pretty profound shift. So in a sense, maybe we've

436
00:24:33,236 --> 00:24:37,716
been fighting gravity. We've been saying Bitcoin, Bitcoin, Bitcoin, it should be there. Why do people

437
00:24:37,716 --> 00:24:44,116
listen. But really what we need is we need the world to kind of inspire in a way that now it's

438
00:24:44,116 --> 00:24:48,536
just obvious because it's the only credible solution for the thing that we're trying to do.

439
00:24:49,116 --> 00:24:53,596
Yeah. I would add a couple of things to that. I mean, you know, I a hundred percent agree with

440
00:24:53,596 --> 00:24:58,336
your point. Don't fight gravity, right? Like at the end of the day, one of my heroes, Buckminster

441
00:24:58,336 --> 00:25:04,116
Fuller, one of his great quotes is don't fight forces, use them, right? And so I would say there

442
00:25:04,116 --> 00:25:08,576
are many dimensions to this question. And it's also a good reminder that capital, it's not,

443
00:25:08,916 --> 00:25:13,056
you know, there's no homo economicus, you know, like there are different pools of capital,

444
00:25:13,516 --> 00:25:18,316
different mandates, different people controlling them, different visions for what that can do for

445
00:25:18,316 --> 00:25:23,056
the world, frankly, different goals for that capital, right? And I think in general, people

446
00:25:23,056 --> 00:25:28,796
with capital want to make more capital for sure. But at the same time, you know, I also agree with

447
00:25:28,796 --> 00:25:33,016
Steve's point, like there are people with different ethical standards, right? Like this whole like

448
00:25:33,016 --> 00:25:38,356
shitcoin thing to me is extremely nihilistic and also probably should be illegal, but that's

449
00:25:38,356 --> 00:25:43,316
a separate question. I'm not going to get into that, but you can probably guess my views.

450
00:25:43,936 --> 00:25:48,876
And so, and I do think that, you know, yeah, there's different pools of capital or maybe it's

451
00:25:48,876 --> 00:25:52,896
like, hey man, already a billionaire, want to squeeze a few more out by like doing some payday

452
00:25:52,896 --> 00:25:58,076
lending. Like, I mean, that's your game, you know, so be it. It's not my game. There's a lot of

453
00:25:58,076 --> 00:26:03,776
capital debts are not their game either. But at the same time, it'd be easy to sit here and be like,

454
00:26:03,836 --> 00:26:07,256
why doesn't the world understand what we're working on? They're so dumb. And they're not

455
00:26:07,256 --> 00:26:12,756
dumb. I agree with DK's point. People are very rational. And I would say it comes down to

456
00:26:12,756 --> 00:26:19,396
strategy and timeline, right? So on the timeline question, you're asking me who am I bullish on

457
00:26:19,396 --> 00:26:26,096
in 20 years, Stripe or Block? All this is not financial advice. Block. Why? Stripe, they're

458
00:26:26,096 --> 00:26:30,556
hotter in Silicon Valley. They've got all the sexy hires and this and that. They're going to

459
00:26:30,556 --> 00:26:35,116
make a lot of money on their tempo thing, which by the way, when Facebook did that,

460
00:26:35,116 --> 00:26:41,356
we blocked those sexy hires. Yeah. Yeah. But you know what I mean? Block's great.

461
00:26:43,096 --> 00:26:47,996
So do I think short term, let's say it comes down to traders versus investors in timeline.

462
00:26:48,596 --> 00:26:51,876
If I'm going to put money in the short run, do I think Stripe's going to go in there and just

463
00:26:51,876 --> 00:26:57,056
absolutely raid the cupboard, make a whole lot of money, just like the shitcoiners did the next

464
00:26:57,056 --> 00:27:03,176
five years, totally. I think it's a great investment. But there's trade-offs. And that's

465
00:27:03,176 --> 00:27:06,696
the thing that everyone has to understand. By doing that, they're focusing on, they're going

466
00:27:06,696 --> 00:27:12,156
to raid the cupboard, make a lot of money in the short run. But when the Bitcoin payment network,

467
00:27:12,216 --> 00:27:15,676
and my thesis has always been Bitcoin is internet of value. It scales vertically,

468
00:27:15,876 --> 00:27:21,056
TCP, IP, HTTP. We're building HTTP or SNTP on top of Lightning and all the edge use cases.

469
00:27:21,056 --> 00:27:26,676
when that time comes, and they've been raiding, playing fiat games and winning fiat prizes,

470
00:27:27,176 --> 00:27:31,196
in five to 10 years when everyone realizes Bitcoin is the internet, it's not the information

471
00:27:31,196 --> 00:27:35,096
superhighway. You got it wrong. It was the internet. Who do you think is going to be way

472
00:27:35,096 --> 00:27:39,836
farther ahead, be able to attract the best talent, know who the best talent is, have all the

473
00:27:39,836 --> 00:27:43,456
infrastructure ready to rock and roll? Is it going to be, yes, they're good engineers, but they've

474
00:27:43,456 --> 00:27:49,436
devoted 95% of their time building this thing that's going to die. If you just think about it

475
00:27:49,436 --> 00:27:53,296
for a minute, like all the tempos that we talked about this on PBJ. Think about it. They're

476
00:27:53,296 --> 00:27:56,576
building a database, just a database. It's a little bit of theater around it, but it's a

477
00:27:56,576 --> 00:28:01,576
database. Do you think Audion's going to use their database? Absolutely not. When Google

478
00:28:01,576 --> 00:28:04,356
launched one, is Facebook going to use their database? Absolutely not. And then you're going

479
00:28:04,356 --> 00:28:07,376
to go through the wars of like, they're going to go through all the things we've gone through as

480
00:28:07,376 --> 00:28:10,376
Bitcoiners many times. They said, well, who's going to market make between them? Man, wouldn't

481
00:28:10,376 --> 00:28:14,116
it be cool if we were in some interoperable network, which is how Visa emerged and that's

482
00:28:14,116 --> 00:28:18,076
what Bitcoin is, the internet. So anyways, so in that time present, I'm betting on Block all day,

483
00:28:18,076 --> 00:28:23,456
every day because, first of all, I know who's finding the best talent in the world, and they're

484
00:28:23,456 --> 00:28:26,396
just so far ahead of the competition, it's going to be impossible, especially in this mind you.

485
00:28:26,516 --> 00:28:32,556
But that's a time horizon, right? The other thing I would say is you also, as an investor or a

486
00:28:32,556 --> 00:28:36,556
founder, we can be very ideological, and we're very lucky that many people in this space are.

487
00:28:36,636 --> 00:28:39,416
That's going to change. Just like the early internet, there was a lot of ideologues.

488
00:28:39,656 --> 00:28:44,396
Back when it was the well, it was better. But eventually, companies come in, this and that.

489
00:28:44,396 --> 00:28:49,176
but you also have to earn the right, in my opinion, to be an ideal law. You can't just die. You can't

490
00:28:49,176 --> 00:28:54,916
just like, oh, we need the sort of largesse of the billionaires to help us out. And we're grateful

491
00:28:54,916 --> 00:28:59,776
that we have that, but that comes and goes. And so from that perspective, if I just put on my,

492
00:28:59,896 --> 00:29:04,776
I want to make money out of the public markets, again, not financial advice, but micro strategies

493
00:29:04,776 --> 00:29:08,596
where it's at, because you look at how things are going step by step. It's like, first you just buy

494
00:29:08,596 --> 00:29:12,556
Bitcoin and HODL. Then you realize, oh, we can speculative attack the dollar by taking infinite

495
00:29:12,556 --> 00:29:14,456
monopoly money, buying up the scarce asset.

496
00:29:14,616 --> 00:29:14,776
Hmm.

497
00:29:14,856 --> 00:29:17,556
Wonder who's going to do really well in that 10 year horizon.

498
00:29:18,016 --> 00:29:20,996
Micro strategy is like, in my opinion, the perfect money making strategy.

499
00:29:21,116 --> 00:29:22,496
I'm skeptical of all the other companies.

500
00:29:23,916 --> 00:29:29,636
But, you know, the more you use that strategy of where we are with the forces of nature,

501
00:29:29,776 --> 00:29:32,976
which is accumulate the Bitcoin, you more you earn the right to do the cool things.

502
00:29:33,416 --> 00:29:36,236
And so I mentioned like all the infrastructure companies that I invested.

503
00:29:36,356 --> 00:29:40,196
I think one of the most underreported stories walks in this case to Tesla's in this case

504
00:29:40,196 --> 00:29:41,676
is they all buy Bitcoin.

505
00:29:41,676 --> 00:29:41,796
Yeah.

506
00:29:42,556 --> 00:29:44,636
and because their ID logs, they're never going to quit.

507
00:29:44,856 --> 00:29:47,416
And so they're earning that right by doing really well

508
00:29:47,416 --> 00:29:50,556
just by like, as Bitcoin goes up, right?

509
00:29:50,636 --> 00:29:51,476
Like we're crazy.

510
00:29:51,556 --> 00:29:52,996
We think it's going to $10 million a coin.

511
00:29:53,656 --> 00:29:55,276
They may not ever need to raise again.

512
00:29:55,556 --> 00:29:58,516
And in that world, they've earned the right to do the right thing

513
00:29:58,516 --> 00:30:00,236
and to be there when the internet catches on.

514
00:30:00,436 --> 00:30:01,016
That's the way I do it.

515
00:30:01,576 --> 00:30:04,456
DJ, I just wanted to circle back to the point that you made

516
00:30:04,456 --> 00:30:08,096
about the intersection between Bitcoin and the AI,

517
00:30:08,296 --> 00:30:09,796
just to call you the degree of inspectors,

518
00:30:09,876 --> 00:30:11,256
we're moving into the brainstorming outside.

519
00:30:11,256 --> 00:30:18,216
so in terms of use cases or product ideas or anything that's come to you and feel comfortable

520
00:30:18,216 --> 00:30:22,856
to share what you feel comfortable sharing what are some of the ideas and the intersections

521
00:30:22,856 --> 00:30:30,656
where bitcoin meets ai that you think might be needed right now in the future and that question

522
00:30:30,656 --> 00:30:39,316
calls my guess but i could imagine you know like right now i'm i'm working on a new idea that i

523
00:30:39,316 --> 00:30:46,696
just started this week and it helps people with video generation and video generation has a cost

524
00:30:46,696 --> 00:30:54,356
to it so to use the underlying atis like gemini you know seed dance seed dream um cling those are

525
00:30:54,356 --> 00:30:59,956
some of the popular ones you have to actually pay to use those atis but if i want to present that to

526
00:30:59,956 --> 00:31:07,236
a user to be able to interact with on the web i need to collect some money for that just some idea

527
00:31:07,236 --> 00:31:11,976
I can help with. I started making this thing. How am I going to collect NamUs? Well, if they're in

528
00:31:11,976 --> 00:31:16,636
the US and they have credit cards, great. I don't care if they want to use Apple Pay or Stripe or

529
00:31:16,636 --> 00:31:20,956
whatever. I don't have that card built, but I could imagine that some people will want that.

530
00:31:21,456 --> 00:31:25,636
But I could imagine there's people in the world who might want to use this kind of service who

531
00:31:25,636 --> 00:31:33,496
don't have the ability to use the Stripe Braille or aren't on the credit card networks. So that's

532
00:31:33,496 --> 00:31:38,396
just like a very concrete example where i want to provide this service to people i don't know

533
00:31:38,396 --> 00:31:43,396
if they can all pay me in the traditional way so i would like to also accept bitcoin as a way to pay

534
00:31:43,396 --> 00:31:48,236
and then they can self-select for whatever way they want to pay like in a sense i like to try to

535
00:31:48,236 --> 00:31:53,576
be non-ideological about it just with my own just my own interest is like hey if it's helpful use it

536
00:31:53,576 --> 00:31:58,356
and i i hope to discover places where it could be helpful and inspire places where it could be

537
00:31:58,356 --> 00:32:04,096
helpful but i don't want to tell you go build you know team your bitcoin does i said so because

538
00:32:04,096 --> 00:32:07,796
otherwise then what's going to happen is somebody else will build a competitive service and just

539
00:32:07,796 --> 00:32:13,756
accept it over visa network right so i want to like in a sense create moments to discover what

540
00:32:13,756 --> 00:32:20,596
the uh what what where where bitcoin really shines for being first required in a sense or where the

541
00:32:20,596 --> 00:32:25,376
customers choose to use it compared to the alternatives um and i think you know that's

542
00:32:25,376 --> 00:32:29,176
just like a simple example because there's a cost and you can charge for it so you can sort of reach

543
00:32:29,176 --> 00:32:34,116
that and because it's on the web so it's not in an app store so you can do that um but i think

544
00:32:34,116 --> 00:32:39,156
there's like you know there's all kinds of examples i mean i've said before i think like the adult

545
00:32:39,156 --> 00:32:44,876
stuff and the gaming stuff are areas that like that's basically how the internet got a lot of

546
00:32:44,876 --> 00:32:52,316
product market fit steve's about to hear this from dk a lot bitcoin core v30 it optimizes for the

547
00:32:52,316 --> 00:33:00,496
foreign but i mean it does it does drive a lot of innovation because it's like follow the twitter

548
00:33:00,496 --> 00:33:06,596
debate what does that mean it's part of the knots versus core debate the knots crowd and saying that

549
00:33:06,596 --> 00:33:13,836
bitcoin core is optimizing for or um i learned something new today like like like gambling and

550
00:33:13,836 --> 00:33:19,356
gaming drove a lot of early internet i don't know if you remember it it steve and i met when we

551
00:33:19,356 --> 00:33:21,176
worked on the mobile team at Google, kind of

552
00:33:21,176 --> 00:33:23,316
pre-Android. It was very early. And I remember

553
00:33:23,316 --> 00:33:24,576
that back in those early days,

554
00:33:25,676 --> 00:33:27,456
60% of the

555
00:33:27,456 --> 00:33:29,356
mobile search queries were

556
00:33:29,356 --> 00:33:31,396
for adult content at Google.

557
00:33:31,816 --> 00:33:33,436
And you don't think of Google as

558
00:33:33,436 --> 00:33:34,916
some adult type of

559
00:33:34,916 --> 00:33:37,376
service. You're just like, it's just Google

560
00:33:37,376 --> 00:33:39,136
search, right? You think Google Maps

561
00:33:39,136 --> 00:33:39,696
queries?

562
00:33:41,396 --> 00:33:42,876
Are you serious? Damn.

563
00:33:44,216 --> 00:33:45,436
Not that high, but

564
00:33:45,436 --> 00:33:47,356
there was a material amount of

565
00:33:47,356 --> 00:33:49,276
adult queries. But I'm

566
00:33:49,356 --> 00:33:52,996
I'm not advocating for that as a type of service.

567
00:33:53,156 --> 00:33:55,476
I'm saying that that is just revealed preference.

568
00:33:55,676 --> 00:33:57,556
That's what people choose to do.

569
00:33:57,636 --> 00:33:59,996
If you put up a box, people choose to do that.

570
00:34:00,696 --> 00:34:04,176
And so, and I think that Bitcoin can support,

571
00:34:04,316 --> 00:34:05,336
Bitcoin and Bitcoin payments,

572
00:34:05,536 --> 00:34:07,056
privacy you get, lightning payments,

573
00:34:07,316 --> 00:34:10,296
is probably one of the like,

574
00:34:10,516 --> 00:34:11,876
it's not just a nice to have,

575
00:34:11,876 --> 00:34:14,336
there's more of a need to have in some of those situations.

576
00:34:14,816 --> 00:34:16,036
But I mean, we're just talking,

577
00:34:16,456 --> 00:34:18,436
you can have, you know,

578
00:34:18,436 --> 00:34:19,796
there's infinite creativity in the world.

579
00:34:19,916 --> 00:34:22,196
We're not going to design all the best ideas,

580
00:34:22,396 --> 00:34:24,576
but when you sort of open up the toolkit

581
00:34:24,576 --> 00:34:26,396
of anybody with an idea,

582
00:34:26,696 --> 00:34:28,536
even with no technical knowledge,

583
00:34:28,816 --> 00:34:29,916
just basically have an idea,

584
00:34:30,016 --> 00:34:30,856
you can now make it.

585
00:34:31,416 --> 00:34:31,976
And you can say,

586
00:34:32,556 --> 00:34:34,796
you know, copy this stuff from Matt's GitHub

587
00:34:34,796 --> 00:34:37,456
and now you can actually accept Bitcoin payments,

588
00:34:38,016 --> 00:34:39,116
even if you don't really know anything

589
00:34:39,116 --> 00:34:40,536
about Bitcoin or Lightning

590
00:34:40,536 --> 00:34:42,256
and you just like just don't accept payments.

591
00:34:42,696 --> 00:34:43,516
You can do that now.

592
00:34:43,776 --> 00:34:45,936
And that's a massive innovation.

593
00:34:46,096 --> 00:34:47,476
That's a massive change in the world.

594
00:34:47,476 --> 00:34:52,056
that's like you're no longer fighting gravity gravity's you know you're just chasing off the

595
00:34:52,056 --> 00:34:58,016
building ledge you know you're sort of falling and it's like yeah the tailwind now oh sorry i

596
00:34:58,016 --> 00:35:02,436
wanted to add one thing that so i agree with dk on the sort of gray areas of the internet that's

597
00:35:02,436 --> 00:35:07,336
always that's so great that's how bitcoin got big in the first place and i think that um i'm

598
00:35:07,336 --> 00:35:12,456
surprised being some more like like i wanna that's like an area they get they only do cash and expect

599
00:35:12,456 --> 00:35:17,416
some more of that happening um torrents and some device torrents that's very i'm very interested in

600
00:35:17,416 --> 00:35:20,476
But in terms of the more palatable things, two things I want to highlight.

601
00:35:20,936 --> 00:35:25,156
Number one, we've talked a lot about this digital life in the future.

602
00:35:25,276 --> 00:35:27,596
If you really want to have autonomous digital life, Bitcoin's going to answer.

603
00:35:28,136 --> 00:35:37,896
So I think DK, Matt have a surprise I won't tell them about, but they have a brilliant idea that allows you to maybe fund some AI.

604
00:35:38,036 --> 00:35:48,194
So that really cool So second thing I say is I think people that just want to vibe code but for whatever reason can touch the traditional rails

605
00:35:48,314 --> 00:35:51,974
That could be because you live in the wrong country, like India, or it's something that

606
00:35:51,974 --> 00:35:53,734
I actually am getting increasingly convicted on.

607
00:35:54,274 --> 00:35:56,454
I was put in touch by a friend.

608
00:35:56,574 --> 00:35:58,834
There's like this whole substack world I wasn't even aware of.

609
00:35:59,294 --> 00:36:01,774
And I read he put me in touch with someone from an energy substack.

610
00:36:02,494 --> 00:36:03,214
Extremely brilliant.

611
00:36:04,034 --> 00:36:04,854
I talked to the kid.

612
00:36:04,934 --> 00:36:07,514
I'm like, who the fuck is this that knows all of this about energy markets?

613
00:36:07,514 --> 00:36:09,114
is so incredibly intelligent.

614
00:36:09,654 --> 00:36:11,934
And the kid looks like 25 max.

615
00:36:13,414 --> 00:36:13,774
Max.

616
00:36:14,474 --> 00:36:15,094
Like for all I know,

617
00:36:15,134 --> 00:36:16,014
this kid's like 16.

618
00:36:16,674 --> 00:36:17,454
And I'm thinking to myself,

619
00:36:17,534 --> 00:36:18,094
that's right though.

620
00:36:18,294 --> 00:36:18,834
Like the smart,

621
00:36:18,934 --> 00:36:19,634
like think about this.

622
00:36:19,894 --> 00:36:21,054
Many of you guys in the audience,

623
00:36:21,134 --> 00:36:22,114
many people you knew when you were kids,

624
00:36:22,174 --> 00:36:23,134
like the smartest people.

625
00:36:23,814 --> 00:36:24,194
I mean,

626
00:36:24,314 --> 00:36:25,974
you were smart when you were 16 in high school.

627
00:36:25,974 --> 00:36:26,714
As you get older,

628
00:36:26,874 --> 00:36:28,234
everyone looks really young.

629
00:36:30,554 --> 00:36:30,954
Well,

630
00:36:31,214 --> 00:36:33,194
I felt old in this conversation.

631
00:36:33,774 --> 00:36:34,614
Kind of sucks.

632
00:36:34,774 --> 00:36:35,154
But anyways,

633
00:36:36,494 --> 00:36:36,994
such a light.

634
00:36:36,994 --> 00:36:40,954
But increasingly, I'm like, well, think about you double that up.

635
00:36:40,974 --> 00:36:42,374
There's a kid in India who's 16.

636
00:36:42,594 --> 00:36:44,234
Why can't they build the biggest business in the world?

637
00:36:44,274 --> 00:36:44,834
They probably will.

638
00:36:45,674 --> 00:36:46,274
Can they use Strip?

639
00:36:46,354 --> 00:36:47,374
No, they don't even have an ID.

640
00:36:48,114 --> 00:36:49,214
They're not legal.

641
00:36:49,634 --> 00:36:53,794
So I'm also very bullish on these sort of like NIMS that are probably like the genius kids.

642
00:36:54,094 --> 00:36:55,774
That's probably what's going to pop.

643
00:36:56,634 --> 00:36:57,854
You got a question or a comment?

644
00:36:58,514 --> 00:36:58,754
Here.

645
00:37:00,834 --> 00:37:01,754
I think there was a...

646
00:37:02,394 --> 00:37:06,974
Also, if I worked at Microsoft, a lot of search and query on things.

647
00:37:06,994 --> 00:37:07,974
those all certain ones.

648
00:37:09,894 --> 00:37:12,894
One of the things I've been thinking about

649
00:37:12,894 --> 00:37:14,754
is using

650
00:37:14,754 --> 00:37:16,934
Bitcoin as a payment method and accepting

651
00:37:16,934 --> 00:37:19,074
Bitcoin as payment, especially for

652
00:37:19,074 --> 00:37:21,114
folks maybe who don't have access to things

653
00:37:21,114 --> 00:37:21,594
like Stripe.

654
00:37:23,254 --> 00:37:24,814
And I was talking to somebody else about this

655
00:37:24,814 --> 00:37:27,154
this week also. The fact

656
00:37:27,154 --> 00:37:29,014
that the Bitcoin asset value

657
00:37:29,014 --> 00:37:30,674
is so high and continues to

658
00:37:30,674 --> 00:37:32,954
go up, I think for normies like

659
00:37:32,954 --> 00:37:33,854
myself and others,

660
00:37:34,754 --> 00:37:35,614
it feels

661
00:37:35,614 --> 00:37:41,154
like it feels disaccentivizing to use it as a payment method you know like us all are losing

662
00:37:41,154 --> 00:37:49,874
value every day and incentivize to spend them but with bitcoin i've usually seen my value of bitcoin

663
00:37:49,874 --> 00:37:53,574
go up over the years and i'm like i don't want to spend this i don't want to send this to anybody

664
00:37:53,574 --> 00:37:57,734
because it's and i i know that it seems like a time horizon thing also right like eventually

665
00:37:57,734 --> 00:38:00,754
bitcoin's going to be the thing that we use and it's not going to be dollars and it's going to

666
00:38:00,754 --> 00:38:02,794
flood about its head. But to get there,

667
00:38:03,194 --> 00:38:04,794
I've, you know, sort of when I

668
00:38:04,794 --> 00:38:06,814
talk to people I know who have Bitcoin, none of them are

669
00:38:06,814 --> 00:38:08,754
interested in, and they're not part of

670
00:38:08,754 --> 00:38:10,954
this type of community. We're not Bitcoiners

671
00:38:10,954 --> 00:38:12,814
at all. Don't want to

672
00:38:12,814 --> 00:38:14,654
spend it because they're like, well, I'm using money.

673
00:38:14,734 --> 00:38:16,874
Why would I spend this thing that continues to appreciate value?

674
00:38:17,034 --> 00:38:18,694
How do we, how does that change

675
00:38:18,694 --> 00:38:20,814
for the average person? I love this

676
00:38:20,814 --> 00:38:21,114
topic.

677
00:38:23,854 --> 00:38:24,254
So

678
00:38:24,254 --> 00:38:26,674
I both kind of agree with it and disagree with it.

679
00:38:26,734 --> 00:38:28,754
I mean, I'd say

680
00:38:28,754 --> 00:38:30,734
that the number one reason people aren't spending

681
00:38:30,734 --> 00:38:32,774
their Bitcoin is because there's not really good reasons

682
00:38:32,774 --> 00:38:33,054
to.

683
00:38:35,634 --> 00:38:36,654
Let's say you wanted

684
00:38:36,654 --> 00:38:38,774
VPN access or some

685
00:38:38,774 --> 00:38:40,454
kind of great market. You want to gamble

686
00:38:40,454 --> 00:38:42,794
and that's really important to you.

687
00:38:42,854 --> 00:38:44,214
The only way you could do it

688
00:38:44,214 --> 00:38:45,894
is with Bitcoin.

689
00:38:46,554 --> 00:38:48,634
Even if you believe

690
00:38:48,634 --> 00:38:50,714
the number is going to go up and you think

691
00:38:50,714 --> 00:38:51,974
US dollars is going to go down,

692
00:38:53,274 --> 00:38:54,214
let's say you have

693
00:38:54,214 --> 00:38:56,334
$20,000 or $50,000

694
00:38:56,334 --> 00:38:58,914
of Bitcoin in savings. Great. Don't touch that.

695
00:38:58,914 --> 00:39:06,514
Just take a portion of your paycheck, $50 worth, turn it into Bitcoin so you can gamble your $50 for your entertainment value.

696
00:39:06,814 --> 00:39:09,214
So it's not like you have to choose between the two.

697
00:39:10,574 --> 00:39:17,154
So I think the number one reason people aren't spending their Bitcoin is there's not yet great reasons to spend your Bitcoin.

698
00:39:18,394 --> 00:39:26,474
And then also I agree with everything you said about longer term volatility goes down and it just basically can replace the dollar.

699
00:39:26,474 --> 00:39:53,334
But think about, I mean, you can always, I think, kind of to dovetail on that, you can always spend and replace. If you want to spend something that requires Bitcoin, you can always replace the Bitcoin with whatever else. But this is not a problem that's unique to Bitcoin anyway. You could, you know, there's other assets in the world that you're like, well, I don't want to, you know, I don't want to sell my house because I think it's going to go up. I don't want to sell my Mag7 stuff because I think it's going to go up. There's all kinds of things that are probably going to go up because of how bad the dollar is.

700
00:39:53,334 --> 00:39:58,674
so so the only thing you want i mean bitcoin's probably the best thing to hold but everything

701
00:39:58,674 --> 00:40:04,554
is a trade-off versus you know what else you could do with it so just like take the whole sum of

702
00:40:04,554 --> 00:40:10,114
everything that you could do and hold almost no cash i mean i was literally having this discussion

703
00:40:10,114 --> 00:40:13,894
with my wife this morning it's like i'd never want to hold any cash it's like if we have a bill

704
00:40:13,894 --> 00:40:18,334
let's convert it in cash just to pay the bill otherwise you don't want to hold any cash that's

705
00:40:18,334 --> 00:40:23,414
actually the that that framing i've heard other people say it and i think it's a good intellectual

706
00:40:23,414 --> 00:40:27,974
exercise which is if you believe that you don't want to sell your bit you don't want to spend your

707
00:40:27,974 --> 00:40:31,954
bitcoin because you think it's going to go up then why do you have any dollars at all you should be

708
00:40:31,954 --> 00:40:36,534
all in on bitcoin get on zero and then when you need to pay a bill you convert it to dollars now

709
00:40:36,534 --> 00:40:41,794
that i would not advise people actually do that because while i'm a huge believer in the long-term

710
00:40:41,794 --> 00:40:47,494
appreciation of bitcoin when you need to pay a bill in a week or a month um you know like

711
00:40:47,494 --> 00:40:52,894
holding the dollar is more, or whatever your liability is in, is more substantive.

712
00:40:53,334 --> 00:40:57,554
I want to add just two quick things in that. I think it's worth mentioning. We've talked about

713
00:40:57,554 --> 00:41:01,174
this a lot on the show, so you can go maybe find some of the old episodes of this, but there's

714
00:41:01,174 --> 00:41:05,434
Bitcoin, the network, Bitcoin, the asset too. I'm particularly bullish on using dollars that are

715
00:41:05,434 --> 00:41:08,994
interoperable with Bitcoin-like network. I don't think it's going to be the stable points. Those

716
00:41:08,994 --> 00:41:14,434
are intranets. Remember, Bitcoin is internet. And so to me, it could be Spark. I see a Spark

717
00:41:14,434 --> 00:41:15,454
had in the audience.

718
00:41:16,054 --> 00:41:17,214
That could be the way it happened.

719
00:41:17,634 --> 00:41:18,754
Could be cashewments.

720
00:41:19,214 --> 00:41:20,374
Could be a lot of different things.

721
00:41:20,434 --> 00:41:21,134
Maybe it's all of them,

722
00:41:21,374 --> 00:41:23,214
but all interoperate with Bitcoin and Lightning.

723
00:41:23,694 --> 00:41:25,634
Because I agree, it's kind of true.

724
00:41:25,774 --> 00:41:27,014
Why would you spend your Bitcoin?

725
00:41:27,374 --> 00:41:28,334
You probably shouldn't.

726
00:41:29,594 --> 00:41:30,774
Also, why would you hold cash

727
00:41:30,774 --> 00:41:32,374
unless you have a future liability?

728
00:41:32,614 --> 00:41:33,554
Well, I'll tell you,

729
00:41:33,574 --> 00:41:34,834
the only other reason to hold cash,

730
00:41:34,954 --> 00:41:36,054
and I think this is sadly,

731
00:41:36,154 --> 00:41:36,994
it's a political issue,

732
00:41:36,994 --> 00:41:38,114
is just the tax treatment.

733
00:41:38,674 --> 00:41:39,594
Giant pain in the ass.

734
00:41:39,714 --> 00:41:41,554
If there were no taxes,

735
00:41:42,094 --> 00:41:43,714
the world would be a very different place.

736
00:41:43,714 --> 00:41:49,134
But in that world, yeah, I mean, it's a pain.

737
00:41:49,274 --> 00:41:53,974
And there's companies like Strike that do help you, I guess, with some of that conversion stuff.

738
00:41:54,074 --> 00:41:58,814
But yeah, I mean, if you figure that piece out, I don't understand why you have a dollar sweet pepper.

739
00:42:01,234 --> 00:42:02,534
Yeah, I just have a quick question.

740
00:42:02,614 --> 00:42:06,514
I used to work in Silicon Valley and now a Bitcoiner.

741
00:42:06,514 --> 00:42:16,094
So I feel like I've gotten a lot of anecdotal evidence of like my basic thesis is that people in Silicon Valley realize they are the biggest beneficiaries observed.

742
00:42:17,814 --> 00:42:18,374
Truth.

743
00:42:18,934 --> 00:42:19,114
Yeah.

744
00:42:19,234 --> 00:42:22,234
Whether that's like through first principles or instinctually or something.

745
00:42:22,414 --> 00:42:28,894
So they're naturally resistant to Bitcoin, I think, to some degree, because they are the very beneficiaries.

746
00:42:29,234 --> 00:42:30,994
I agree with that.

747
00:42:31,174 --> 00:42:34,014
And I don't think it's not like intentional thinking.

748
00:42:34,014 --> 00:42:38,574
It's more just like if you work at Google or in Silicon Valley, like life is good.

749
00:42:38,754 --> 00:42:40,514
Things are working out well for you.

750
00:42:41,194 --> 00:42:44,014
Or if you're a venture capitalist or an entrepreneur or whatever, like here.

751
00:42:44,174 --> 00:42:45,734
That's literally close to the money printer.

752
00:42:46,174 --> 00:42:46,314
Yeah.

753
00:42:46,494 --> 00:42:52,674
So it's not like I don't think people in Silicon Valley are like being intentionally evil about that.

754
00:42:52,734 --> 00:42:53,734
It's just things are working out.

755
00:42:53,874 --> 00:42:54,294
They're smart.

756
00:42:54,434 --> 00:42:55,314
They're doing well.

757
00:42:55,774 --> 00:42:58,594
And so they don't really carve out much time.

758
00:42:58,894 --> 00:43:00,374
I think it's very typical.

759
00:43:00,554 --> 00:43:02,254
You're super busy doing your thing.

760
00:43:02,254 --> 00:43:06,994
you don't carve out time to consider bitcoin like my own personal story i learned a bit in

761
00:43:06,994 --> 00:43:13,214
2013 uh courtesy of matt and one other person i've worked with at google um so you know bought a

762
00:43:13,214 --> 00:43:18,634
little bit read the white paper but then in i i wasn't i was never negative on bitcoin but i

763
00:43:18,634 --> 00:43:22,594
definitely in 2013 i thought it was like this magic internet money and then it went up and down and

764
00:43:22,594 --> 00:43:26,674
you know i just moved on in my life kept working at google doing other stuff didn't even think

765
00:43:26,674 --> 00:43:28,394
about Bitcoin for four more years.

766
00:43:28,914 --> 00:43:30,654
And then I had left

767
00:43:30,654 --> 00:43:31,674
Google in 2015

768
00:43:31,674 --> 00:43:34,494
and in early 2017

769
00:43:34,494 --> 00:43:36,954
so I didn't have a job in early 2017

770
00:43:36,954 --> 00:43:38,034
and I was a professional.

771
00:43:38,334 --> 00:43:39,954
Yeah, I was a professional.

772
00:43:40,754 --> 00:43:45,094
But I had time on my hands.

773
00:43:45,934 --> 00:43:47,034
So that time on my hands

774
00:43:47,034 --> 00:43:48,634
allowed me to deeply

775
00:43:48,634 --> 00:43:50,914
study cryptocurrency at large

776
00:43:50,914 --> 00:43:52,854
and so 2017

777
00:43:52,854 --> 00:43:53,954
is when I really

778
00:43:53,954 --> 00:43:57,774
firmly grasped Bitcoin in a way that I hadn't in the past.

779
00:43:59,694 --> 00:44:01,334
And I've seen that.

780
00:44:01,494 --> 00:44:02,454
I don't think I'm unique.

781
00:44:02,714 --> 00:44:05,174
I've seen that pattern with people from Silicon Valley

782
00:44:05,174 --> 00:44:07,714
who end up having some time to think about this,

783
00:44:07,774 --> 00:44:10,654
learning about money, like a history of money,

784
00:44:11,054 --> 00:44:13,614
can be much more open to it

785
00:44:13,614 --> 00:44:15,834
versus if you're busy building

786
00:44:15,834 --> 00:44:18,614
or busy in the Google bubble or building a startup.

787
00:44:19,554 --> 00:44:21,334
Yeah, I actually had the exact same experience

788
00:44:21,334 --> 00:44:22,894
and that's around the time I met Steve.

789
00:44:22,894 --> 00:44:29,494
I also read about Bitcoin super early on 2011 did not buy any wish I had and it wasn't until

790
00:44:29,494 --> 00:44:34,474
basically I like you know took you know a year or two off because I was living in Mexico it was

791
00:44:34,474 --> 00:44:39,534
very cheap and that's when I just had infinite time on my hands and I just like read more and

792
00:44:39,534 --> 00:44:43,694
more to programming classes learned about like all the beauty realizes it was an Einstein Newton

793
00:44:43,694 --> 00:44:47,914
level breakthrough of like taking the mental realm connecting with the physical all these

794
00:44:47,914 --> 00:44:49,434
things, energy back to money, all this stuff.

795
00:44:49,834 --> 00:44:51,554
But I mean, I didn't have a job.

796
00:44:52,474 --> 00:44:54,654
And I guess that was extremely lucky, extremely fortunate.

797
00:44:54,874 --> 00:44:58,714
And I think for most people, I don't think I've ever met a single person, unless it's

798
00:44:58,714 --> 00:45:04,374
maybe like the chairman of the Federal Reserve or Warren Buffett, that has put 100 hours

799
00:45:04,374 --> 00:45:08,354
or even 10 hours into reading about Bitcoin that doesn't realize, oh man, this is big.

800
00:45:09,634 --> 00:45:10,594
What's the litmus test?

801
00:45:10,594 --> 00:45:16,494
Do you have sort of your own calibration of how you can assess if somebody has spent the

802
00:45:16,494 --> 00:45:16,954
time or not?

803
00:45:17,914 --> 00:45:26,234
just talk to them but like well i have a specific thing in mind that i can ask them okay tell us

804
00:45:26,234 --> 00:45:33,814
he's like do you know what the difficulty adjustment is i think that's sort of like

805
00:45:33,814 --> 00:45:38,754
once you come to that understanding which like a lot of people who hold bitcoin and believe in

806
00:45:38,754 --> 00:45:42,734
don't really understand i think if you've done that then i'm like okay you've probably done

807
00:45:42,734 --> 00:45:44,874
enough work that you

808
00:45:44,874 --> 00:45:47,134
can understand and explain enough about

809
00:45:47,134 --> 00:45:48,934
the specialness of this network.

810
00:45:49,294 --> 00:45:50,574
That's a good, that's a good

811
00:45:50,574 --> 00:45:52,134
test. I do think that's like

812
00:45:52,134 --> 00:45:55,014
on a short list of

813
00:45:55,014 --> 00:45:56,654
incredible inventions and

814
00:45:56,654 --> 00:45:58,214
uniqueness of Bitcoin. What's yours?

815
00:45:58,714 --> 00:46:00,494
This is a good question. I haven't thought of it.

816
00:46:00,634 --> 00:46:02,054
I think that's a very good one.

817
00:46:02,794 --> 00:46:04,734
For me, I come from a slightly

818
00:46:04,734 --> 00:46:06,794
different background. I was in energy and I

819
00:46:06,794 --> 00:46:08,954
still am. And so I appreciate

820
00:46:08,954 --> 00:46:10,414
when it's energy back to money.

821
00:46:10,414 --> 00:46:14,174
And so I sell blockchain as an enabling technology, but like not the thing.

822
00:46:14,714 --> 00:46:21,314
And so for my industry, and this is like people I talk to from solar or in Texas, it's a lot easier to explain that.

823
00:46:21,454 --> 00:46:22,434
And this is something I always tell people.

824
00:46:22,534 --> 00:46:24,714
There's only one currency at the known universe, and it's jewels.

825
00:46:25,274 --> 00:46:28,534
Everything we've ever used as a monetary good is a proxy on jewels, full stop.

826
00:46:28,614 --> 00:46:29,434
There's nothing else.

827
00:46:30,734 --> 00:46:33,334
And this is the purest proxy on jewels of all time.

828
00:46:33,394 --> 00:46:34,914
Then you see the greatest minds in the industry.

829
00:46:35,554 --> 00:46:38,794
Tesla, Edison have all seen that coming.

830
00:46:38,994 --> 00:46:39,914
That was a click for me.

831
00:46:39,914 --> 00:46:45,174
So for at least from people in that world, once they see it as energy money, then it's a different story.

832
00:46:46,074 --> 00:46:50,034
Guys, I think we could probably go all morning here, but maybe just two or three more minutes and then we'll wrap up.

833
00:46:50,094 --> 00:46:51,334
I want to be respectful of your time.

834
00:46:52,354 --> 00:46:54,114
So it sounds like being unemployed.

835
00:46:54,894 --> 00:46:55,654
Unemployed is huge.

836
00:46:55,954 --> 00:46:56,474
It's huge.

837
00:46:56,594 --> 00:46:57,994
It's the new Ron Paul fan.

838
00:46:58,314 --> 00:46:59,854
That's our guidance to Silicon Valley.

839
00:47:00,594 --> 00:47:01,374
Quit your jobs.

840
00:47:01,634 --> 00:47:02,534
Quit your AI job.

841
00:47:02,854 --> 00:47:03,154
Seriously.

842
00:47:03,294 --> 00:47:05,394
Quit your best invest Google job.

843
00:47:05,754 --> 00:47:07,094
That I actually would recommend.

844
00:47:07,094 --> 00:47:08,674
meant. If you're Google Resting investing,

845
00:47:09,574 --> 00:47:10,914
you've already got enough money.

846
00:47:11,194 --> 00:47:13,094
Quit. Study AI.

847
00:47:13,294 --> 00:47:14,934
Study Bitcoin. Study whatever you're interested in.

848
00:47:16,874 --> 00:47:19,014
So if indeed you need

849
00:47:19,014 --> 00:47:20,194
to be unemployed to get

850
00:47:20,194 --> 00:47:23,114
Bitcoin on a deep level, how do you expect

851
00:47:23,114 --> 00:47:24,934
that Elon Musk with his end company

852
00:47:24,934 --> 00:47:27,194
is going to get Bitcoin? Because he's way smarter than I.

853
00:47:31,034 --> 00:47:32,854
Okay, let's leave it there. Thank you, guys.

854
00:47:32,994 --> 00:47:33,414
That was awesome.

855
00:47:37,094 --> 00:48:07,074
Thank you.
