1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:06,540
Napoleon asked him, where is God in your system? Laplace answered, I had no need of that hypothesis.

2
00:00:07,420 --> 00:00:12,840
This was the man who completed Newton's work, founded probability theory, and imagined an

3
00:00:12,840 --> 00:00:18,620
intelligence that could predict the entire future of the universe. Pierre-Simon Laplace,

4
00:00:18,620 --> 00:00:25,360
the Newton of France. Last time we met Joseph Louis Lagrange, who transformed mechanics into

5
00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:30,740
pure algebra with his Lagrangian method. His work contained not a single figure,

6
00:00:31,240 --> 00:00:37,480
the triumph of analysis over geometry. Welcome back to Men of Mathematics.

7
00:00:38,340 --> 00:00:44,080
Today we meet the man who took mathematics further into the cosmos than anyone before,

8
00:00:44,720 --> 00:00:50,820
Pierre-Simon Laplace. He proved the solar system is stable, founded modern probability,

9
00:00:50,820 --> 00:00:55,420
and articulated the deterministic vision that defined classical physics.

10
00:00:56,440 --> 00:01:03,200
Pierre-Simon Laplace was born on March 23, 1749, to a farming family in Normandy.

11
00:01:03,880 --> 00:01:07,640
His mathematical abilities attracted patronage that sent him to Paris,

12
00:01:07,640 --> 00:01:12,480
where by age 24 he was presenting papers to the Academy of Sciences.

13
00:01:13,280 --> 00:01:16,880
D'Alembert recognized his genius and helped launch his career.

14
00:01:17,820 --> 00:01:22,760
Within a few years, Laplace was tackling the most difficult problems in celestial mechanics.

15
00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:28,840
Laplace navigated the French Revolution, Napoleon's Empire, and the Bourbon Restoration

16
00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:35,400
with remarkable political dexterity. He served Napoleon briefly as Minister of the Interior.

17
00:01:36,020 --> 00:01:41,720
Napoleon later said he brought the spirit of infinitesimals into government. Not a compliment.

18
00:01:41,720 --> 00:01:47,700
He was made a count under Napoleon, then a Marquis under the restored monarchy.

19
00:01:48,780 --> 00:01:55,280
Laplace's books are notorious for the phrase, il est-ezé avoir, it is easy to see, followed

20
00:01:55,280 --> 00:01:57,420
by pages of difficult derivations.

21
00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:11,259
When a student asked him to explain one such passage Laplace reportedly spent an hour working it out then confirmed yes it is easy to see Newton Principia explained planetary motion

22
00:02:11,719 --> 00:02:18,239
but left a crucial question open. Is the solar system stable? Small perturbations from planet

23
00:02:18,239 --> 00:02:23,599
to planet gravitational attraction might accumulate until planets collide or escape.

24
00:02:24,259 --> 00:02:29,399
Laplace proved the system is stable, irregularities are periodic, and bounded.

25
00:02:30,219 --> 00:02:35,759
His five-volume Mechanique Celeste, published between 1799 and 1825,

26
00:02:36,239 --> 00:02:39,339
systematized everything known about planetary motion.

27
00:02:40,459 --> 00:02:41,899
How did the solar system form?

28
00:02:42,779 --> 00:02:46,599
Laplace proposed that it condensed from a rotating cloud of gas,

29
00:02:46,599 --> 00:02:49,059
as a success on the next trial.

30
00:02:49,979 --> 00:02:55,619
Laplace-derived, the probability equals s plus 1 divided by n plus 2.

31
00:02:56,259 --> 00:02:58,619
This Bayesian approach smooths estimates.

32
00:02:59,199 --> 00:03:04,519
With zero successes and zero trials, it gives one-half, complete uncertainty.

33
00:03:05,439 --> 00:03:08,039
With many observations, it approaches the observed rate.

34
00:03:08,659 --> 00:03:09,979
Consider the sunrise problem.

35
00:03:09,979 --> 00:03:15,339
If the sun has risen every day for a million days, what's the probability it rises tomorrow?

36
00:03:16,219 --> 00:03:18,659
Naive answer, 100%.

37
00:03:18,659 --> 00:03:21,279
Laplace, 1000

38
00:04:01,478 --> 00:04:04,538
Million days, what's the probability it rises tomorrow?

39
00:04:05,438 --> 00:04:08,018
Naive answer, 100%.

40
00:04:08,018 --> 00:04:20,438
Laplace, 1,000, and 1, over 1,012, approximately 99.99999%.

41
00:04:20,438 --> 00:04:24,498
The plus 1 accounts for our residual uncertainty.

42
00:04:24,498 --> 00:04:30,678
In regions without sources, gravitational and electric potentials satisfy Laplace's equation.

43
00:04:30,678 --> 00:04:37,178
the second partial derivatives with respect to x, y, and z, summed together, equal zero.

44
00:04:38,158 --> 00:04:42,558
Solutions are harmonic functions with beautiful smoothness properties.

45
00:04:43,418 --> 00:04:49,038
This equation appears throughout physics, electrostatics, fluid flow, heat conduction.

46
00:04:50,118 --> 00:04:53,918
Laplace developed a powerful technique for solving differential equations.

47
00:04:53,918 --> 00:04:59,438
The Laplace transform converts differential equations into algebraic equations,

48
00:04:59,438 --> 00:05:04,418
making them much easier to solve. It's essential in engineering and physics.

49
00:05:05,558 --> 00:05:10,758
Laplace articulated the ultimate deterministic vision, an intelligence that knew the position

50
00:05:10,758 --> 00:05:17,198
and momentum of every particle could predict the entire future and reconstruct the entire past.

51
00:05:17,918 --> 00:05:23,598
In his famous passage, an intellect which at a certain moment would know all forces,

52
00:05:23,598 --> 00:05:29,758
and all positions of all items of which nature is composed.

53
00:05:30,618 --> 00:05:33,338
For such an intellect, nothing would be uncertain,

54
00:05:33,898 --> 00:05:38,278
and the future, just like the past, would be present before its eyes.

55
00:05:39,318 --> 00:05:43,178
This Laplace's demon represents classical determinism.

56
00:05:44,098 --> 00:05:46,078
Randomness is just ignorance.

57
00:05:47,318 --> 00:05:49,938
Twentieth century physics challenged this vision.

58
00:05:49,938 --> 00:05:56,298
Quantum mechanics, Heisenberg's uncertainty principle, limits what can be known simultaneously.

59
00:05:56,298 --> 00:06:01,938
Chaos theory, tiny uncertainties in initial conditions grow exponentially.

60
00:06:01,938 --> 00:06:18,478
Computational limits some systems are inherently unpredictable Laplace demon is dead but understanding why took two centuries Laplace calculated that a star 250 times the sun diameter but same density would trap its own

61
00:06:18,478 --> 00:06:25,418
light. These dark stars anticipated black holes, though the mechanism, general relativity, was

62
00:06:25,418 --> 00:06:31,738
unknown. Laplace developed the mathematics of functions on spheres, essential for geophysics,

63
00:06:31,738 --> 00:06:34,798
quantum mechanics, and modern computer graphics.

64
00:06:35,838 --> 00:06:39,818
Pierre-Simon Laplace completed Newton's program for celestial mechanics,

65
00:06:40,298 --> 00:06:42,118
founded modern probability theory,

66
00:06:42,538 --> 00:06:45,998
and articulated classical determinism in its purest form.

67
00:06:46,718 --> 00:06:51,258
His mathematics described the cosmos from nebulae to planetary orbits.

68
00:06:51,818 --> 00:06:56,378
His probability described everything from coin flips to scientific inference.

69
00:06:57,098 --> 00:06:59,498
I had no need of that hypothesis wasn't arrogance.

70
00:06:59,498 --> 00:07:01,458
It was a statement of method.

71
00:07:01,738 --> 00:07:08,218
Laplace's universe ran on mathematics alone. Bell notes Laplace often failed to credit others'

72
00:07:08,338 --> 00:07:14,318
work. He absorbed results and presented them as his own. Yet his achievement is undeniable,

73
00:07:14,758 --> 00:07:19,318
taking all mathematics and astronomy for his province and cultivating it royally.

74
00:07:20,038 --> 00:07:26,558
His final words, what we know is not much. What we do not know is immense.

75
00:07:26,558 --> 00:07:32,598
As E.T. Bell wrote, Laplace was the complete mathematical physicist.

76
00:07:33,538 --> 00:07:39,058
He took all mathematics and theoretical astronomy for his province and cultivated it royally.

77
00:07:39,878 --> 00:07:45,198
Next time on Men of Mathematics, we enter the revolutionary era with Gaspar Mange,

78
00:07:45,618 --> 00:07:51,058
the man who invented descriptive geometry and organized science for Napoleon's armies.

79
00:07:51,058 --> 00:07:55,058
From the siege of Mezières to the expedition to Egypt,

80
00:07:55,598 --> 00:07:59,258
Mange combined mathematical brilliance with practical engineering.

81
00:08:00,058 --> 00:08:03,238
Thank you for joining us on this journey through mathematical history.

82
00:08:03,918 --> 00:08:08,698
If you're fascinated by the Newton of France, subscribe and hit the notification bell.

83
00:08:09,238 --> 00:08:11,078
New episodes release every week.

84
00:08:11,578 --> 00:08:12,518
I'll see you next time.
