1
00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:21,200
Music.

2
00:00:21,041 --> 00:00:25,701
Welcome in to This Week in Bitcoin, Episode 9. I know it.

3
00:00:26,041 --> 00:00:31,201
It's been a crazy week. I've gotten several notes from you, and I have to say I agree.

4
00:00:32,141 --> 00:00:35,901
There's more going on in the last seven days than I've seen in a long time.

5
00:00:36,121 --> 00:00:41,721
And I think I've isolated it down to seven major events that have landed in

6
00:00:41,721 --> 00:00:45,001
just the last seven days or so that are putting downward pressure,

7
00:00:45,101 --> 00:00:49,301
I should say aggressive downward pressure as we record, court on Bitcoin's short-term

8
00:00:49,301 --> 00:00:55,201
price and adding long-term risk to the quote-unquote Bitcoin industry and the

9
00:00:55,201 --> 00:00:58,821
potential legal precedent that could be getting set very soon and,

10
00:00:59,861 --> 00:01:01,421
signals coming from the federal government.

11
00:01:01,561 --> 00:01:05,561
So I'll break these seven events down as we get into this week's episode to

12
00:01:05,561 --> 00:01:08,781
try to help put some context around all of this for you, for me,

13
00:01:08,841 --> 00:01:11,921
and just for those of us that want to look back at some point in the future

14
00:01:11,921 --> 00:01:15,861
and try to figure out what was going on during this critical moment of Bitcoin's adoption.

15
00:01:15,861 --> 00:01:20,781
And while I don't know if I would say this is the biggest, we're going to start

16
00:01:20,781 --> 00:01:25,841
with number one, which is certainly the context and a factor that sets the stage

17
00:01:25,841 --> 00:01:28,201
for what we see going on right now.

18
00:01:28,361 --> 00:01:31,681
And I have to tip my hat to the chart sniffers.

19
00:01:32,361 --> 00:01:36,761
They were right. They looked at the bars and they said, actually,

20
00:01:37,141 --> 00:01:40,841
guys, historically, Bitcoin slides for as long as, you know,

21
00:01:40,861 --> 00:01:43,201
nine months after the happening.

22
00:01:44,735 --> 00:01:48,815
OK, I doubt we're going to see it slide for that long, but there is a legitimate

23
00:01:48,815 --> 00:01:52,275
market adjustment that has to take place after the block reward is halved.

24
00:01:52,295 --> 00:01:54,835
I mean, for the miners, the revenue is cut in half.

25
00:01:55,195 --> 00:01:58,975
That has to get sorted out. There may have to be market consolidation or adjustments

26
00:01:58,975 --> 00:02:02,075
or changes, business strategy, strategy adjustments.

27
00:02:02,795 --> 00:02:05,775
So history doesn't always repeat when it comes to these things.

28
00:02:05,795 --> 00:02:10,595
But once again, Bitcoin does seem to be repeating history in this particular pattern.

29
00:02:10,595 --> 00:02:14,755
So, what we're about to get into means we're already primed for it,

30
00:02:14,775 --> 00:02:19,455
and that means that when the number two thing that just really begun to pick

31
00:02:19,455 --> 00:02:22,975
up steam this last week landed, things just started to slide,

32
00:02:23,095 --> 00:02:25,375
and that is the yen is in trouble.

33
00:02:26,135 --> 00:02:30,855
And big money's freaked out about this. The third largest fiat currency in the

34
00:02:30,855 --> 00:02:35,535
world is having problems that will impact every market, including the U.S.

35
00:02:35,535 --> 00:02:40,635
Treasury market, which just about impacts everything else. And if you go look

36
00:02:40,635 --> 00:02:45,715
at the price chart, the yen looks like a dog coin having a crash.

37
00:02:46,215 --> 00:02:50,675
Well, it was. The yen popping yesterday after a suspected intervention from

38
00:02:50,675 --> 00:02:51,575
the Japanese government.

39
00:02:51,695 --> 00:02:56,955
This comes as the currency saw its weakest levels against the dollar since all the way back to 1990.

40
00:02:57,715 --> 00:03:01,495
Not good. Going back to the 90s, now that pop that she talks about,

41
00:03:01,515 --> 00:03:05,175
it's funny how the traditional market press covered this.

42
00:03:05,275 --> 00:03:08,195
The yen sees a surge. The yen sees a pop.

43
00:03:08,895 --> 00:03:15,135
Well, that surge and pop is the Ministry of Finance injecting $35 billion into

44
00:03:15,135 --> 00:03:18,695
the system to keep things going for just a couple of days.

45
00:03:19,075 --> 00:03:23,035
Just a couple of days because they have no fix for the systemic issue.

46
00:03:23,395 --> 00:03:28,215
Japan is trying to slow the weakening yen trend, but I think they know full

47
00:03:28,215 --> 00:03:31,515
well they can't turn the trend. This is Rebecca Patterson.

48
00:03:32,105 --> 00:03:35,045
She's a former Bridgewater Associates chief investment strategist,

49
00:03:35,065 --> 00:03:36,585
so she seems to know her stuff.

50
00:03:37,005 --> 00:03:40,425
Just by intervening. They can spend a lot of money to try to slow it down,

51
00:03:40,485 --> 00:03:41,305
but that's all they're going to get.

52
00:03:41,365 --> 00:03:45,165
To have a real turn in a currency, you need coordinated intervention.

53
00:03:45,485 --> 00:03:48,985
So you have to have several countries working together, ideally including the

54
00:03:48,985 --> 00:03:50,405
U.S. That sends a big signal.

55
00:03:50,765 --> 00:03:54,145
And you want policy moving in the same direction as the intervention.

56
00:03:54,385 --> 00:03:57,965
So in this case, if they want a stronger yen, they would need to be raising

57
00:03:57,965 --> 00:04:01,645
interest rates by a lot more than what's currently expected in the market.

58
00:04:01,645 --> 00:04:04,825
What's so important here is a multidimensionality of it.

59
00:04:04,845 --> 00:04:07,325
The simplistic media approach is what about the Fed?

60
00:04:07,725 --> 00:04:11,165
Forget about that. They have to worry about the entire Pacific Rim.

61
00:04:11,585 --> 00:04:14,645
They're getting a free lunch right now with enhanced exports.

62
00:04:15,065 --> 00:04:18,385
Are you going there this summer, Paul? Everybody else is. Going where?

63
00:04:18,585 --> 00:04:21,625
Japan's the new destination. Oh, I know. Warren Buffett told me about it. I know.

64
00:04:22,125 --> 00:04:26,025
Tourism's a huge, huge. You can get a lot of sushi right now with your dollars.

65
00:04:26,925 --> 00:04:30,585
Yeah, a lot of sushi right now. But it's a problem.

66
00:04:30,585 --> 00:04:35,685
The yen is in trouble, and that is going to cause pressure all over the place,

67
00:04:35,805 --> 00:04:40,645
which brings us to our number three macro situation that some would argue is

68
00:04:40,645 --> 00:04:44,485
really the biggest deal of them all, and that is U.S. Treasury concerns.

69
00:04:45,665 --> 00:04:50,425
Now, it also kind of all mixes in. You see, if Japan has to raise rates,

70
00:04:50,565 --> 00:04:53,685
well, that's going to accelerate Japanese investors dumping U.S.

71
00:04:53,725 --> 00:04:58,545
Treasuries to kind of make up that. So that means we're going to have more sellers

72
00:04:58,545 --> 00:05:02,865
than buyers for treasuries, which is already a problem that seems to be facing

73
00:05:02,865 --> 00:05:03,845
the U.S. Treasury market.

74
00:05:04,005 --> 00:05:11,185
That's not my opinion. That's the former Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher. No relation.

75
00:05:11,465 --> 00:05:14,545
The biggest problem right now, Joe, are the treasury auctions.

76
00:05:15,305 --> 00:05:16,445
Everything's been front loaded.

77
00:05:17,905 --> 00:05:21,145
Obviously, assuming rates might come down, if that's what Yellen was assuming.

78
00:05:22,257 --> 00:05:25,617
And here we are, you know, in the fives. That's expensive money.

79
00:05:25,717 --> 00:05:29,417
A year ago, a year and a half ago, it was 2%, 2%.

80
00:05:30,077 --> 00:05:33,377
The cost of carry has gone up big time. That's an excellent point.

81
00:05:33,437 --> 00:05:36,357
We don't talk enough about that. Thank you, Becky. Hmm.

82
00:05:37,377 --> 00:05:41,037
I wonder, Becky, who could do something about that, Becky?

83
00:05:41,677 --> 00:05:45,277
Yeah, it is a big problem. It is a big problem. It's not getting very attractive

84
00:05:45,277 --> 00:05:46,377
and they're looking for buyers.

85
00:05:46,637 --> 00:05:54,197
So on May 1st, the long-awaited Treasury buyback program was announced.

86
00:05:54,497 --> 00:06:01,177
The Treasury is going to begin the long-teased buyback program on May 29th.

87
00:06:01,217 --> 00:06:08,297
Weekly liquidity support buybacks will be held of up to $2 billion in coupons,

88
00:06:08,317 --> 00:06:14,277
and buybacks will begin under a cap of 20 separate CUSIPs, 20 separate bond issues,

89
00:06:14,477 --> 00:06:16,937
and that cap will eventually be lifted.

90
00:06:17,197 --> 00:06:22,517
So buybacks are going to begin with off-the-run treasuries starting May 29th.

91
00:06:22,517 --> 00:06:26,557
And what this is signaling, besides the fact that the treasury market's in serious

92
00:06:26,557 --> 00:06:30,997
trouble, is that, hey, starting on May 29th, so in less than a month from now,

93
00:06:31,577 --> 00:06:36,457
a whale's going to show up every single week and buy $2 billion worth of product.

94
00:06:37,077 --> 00:06:41,137
Right? And how do they do that? by issuing debt, of course.

95
00:06:41,297 --> 00:06:45,397
And so what do we have happening? One hand, the Federal Reserve is tightening,

96
00:06:45,457 --> 00:06:49,317
and the other hand, the Treasury is spending and injecting liquidity.

97
00:06:49,657 --> 00:06:52,697
So while the Federal Reserve is trying to reduce liquidity, the Treasury is

98
00:06:52,697 --> 00:06:56,917
trying to increase liquidity because they need the dollar to remain deep and liquid.

99
00:06:56,957 --> 00:07:00,037
Otherwise, people will use other fiats in the dollar.

100
00:07:00,237 --> 00:07:05,517
Now, they write in the announcement, quote, this initiative aims to ensure the

101
00:07:05,517 --> 00:07:08,517
Treasury market remains the deepest and most liquid in the world,

102
00:07:08,517 --> 00:07:12,037
addressing concerns about market functions and resilience.

103
00:07:12,637 --> 00:07:16,877
That's what it all comes down to. But this will also probably lead to the dollar

104
00:07:16,877 --> 00:07:20,997
value going lower to relieve pressure for the yen, which probably is going to

105
00:07:20,997 --> 00:07:22,737
be good for Bitcoin long term.

106
00:07:23,217 --> 00:07:28,537
And as Lynn Alden noted, quote, the fact that the Treasury has to provide liquidity

107
00:07:28,537 --> 00:07:32,157
for what is supposed to be the most deep and liquid market in the world,

108
00:07:32,237 --> 00:07:37,197
and that serves as the world's reserve asset, is notable.

109
00:07:37,197 --> 00:07:40,537
Yeah, I'd say it's notable. I'd say it's actually historical.

110
00:07:40,877 --> 00:07:45,537
This is something that we have seen them teasing for more than seven months.

111
00:07:46,017 --> 00:07:50,457
And when they first announced it, it was a sign of a truly sick system.

112
00:07:51,177 --> 00:07:54,617
Rich investors are watching this carefully and staying cautious.

113
00:07:55,808 --> 00:08:00,508
The number four headwind this week, we talked about it last week as it broke

114
00:08:00,508 --> 00:08:01,868
the Samurai indictment.

115
00:08:02,048 --> 00:08:05,788
On April 23rd, the co-founders of the Samurai wallet, a non-custodial Bitcoin

116
00:08:05,788 --> 00:08:12,868
wallet known for its privacy features like everybody loved and what got them in trouble.

117
00:08:13,328 --> 00:08:16,368
They were indicted by the Southern District of New York for opening a,

118
00:08:16,408 --> 00:08:19,988
quote, unlicensed money services business, which they refer to as an MSB,

119
00:08:20,068 --> 00:08:23,248
and for, quote, conspiring to commit money laundering.

120
00:08:24,148 --> 00:08:27,648
This case marks a significant moment in the ongoing debate over financial privacy,

121
00:08:27,868 --> 00:08:29,948
and this is something everyone is watching.

122
00:08:30,368 --> 00:08:34,368
And it's also sort of a significant case just in the regulation of digital currencies.

123
00:08:34,748 --> 00:08:39,408
The legal classification of Samurai Wallet as an MSB, a money services business,

124
00:08:39,788 --> 00:08:45,768
sets a precedent for how similar non-custodial privacy tools might be viewed in the U.S. law.

125
00:08:46,688 --> 00:08:51,448
So the outcome of this could affect future cases and set precedents.

126
00:08:51,448 --> 00:08:56,428
And the key thing here being is that Samurai Wallet didn't take control of user funds.

127
00:08:57,668 --> 00:09:01,568
They were more like the USB cable that transfers data or a PAM that transfers

128
00:09:01,568 --> 00:09:03,208
heat, as the U.S. government argues.

129
00:09:03,988 --> 00:09:10,368
This also goes against and counter to 2019 FinCEN guidance, which specifies

130
00:09:10,368 --> 00:09:14,028
that people exchanging money infrequently and not for profit are,

131
00:09:14,048 --> 00:09:16,408
quote, not regulated MSBs.

132
00:09:18,168 --> 00:09:21,508
So it seems to be there's a change perhaps because they feel like this is their

133
00:09:21,508 --> 00:09:25,728
moment to set precedent and then if they can execute this now they'll have something

134
00:09:25,728 --> 00:09:29,988
they can build on for years but what's happening is a chilling effect is rolling

135
00:09:29,988 --> 00:09:31,548
across the bitcoin industry,

136
00:09:32,608 --> 00:09:36,148
phoenix wallet which i think is one of the great wallets is out of the u.s,

137
00:09:37,525 --> 00:09:43,565
Earlier, WasabiWallet is out. TallyCoin retired. Untold number of plans for

138
00:09:43,565 --> 00:09:48,265
building things or wallets or re-architecting wallets have been put on hold.

139
00:09:49,265 --> 00:09:52,365
The only good news in the Samurai Wallet stuff is the co-founder,

140
00:09:52,505 --> 00:09:55,505
Rodriguez, has pled not guilty and released on a $1 million bond,

141
00:09:55,885 --> 00:09:58,345
which he'll be able to stay out of jail for a while.

142
00:09:59,065 --> 00:10:04,645
So this case that we briefly touched on as it broke last week continues to have

143
00:10:04,645 --> 00:10:08,645
people reflect on the ramifications, which is chilling the market.

144
00:10:09,285 --> 00:10:13,265
Unfortunately, that's probably exactly what the feds wanted.

145
00:10:14,345 --> 00:10:19,905
Number five, the DOJ responds to Roman Storm's motion to dismiss the tornado

146
00:10:19,905 --> 00:10:22,345
cash charges. Yes, this happened this week.

147
00:10:22,525 --> 00:10:28,425
The DOJ's response freaked out many in the community. Now, you remember Tornado

148
00:10:28,425 --> 00:10:32,525
Cash, a smart contract for Ethereum privacy users, still running today.

149
00:10:33,205 --> 00:10:36,325
Well, Roman Storm tried to have the entire thing thrown out.

150
00:10:36,385 --> 00:10:38,805
He had some good support behind it, some good reasoning.

151
00:10:39,365 --> 00:10:45,305
And government prosecutors now responded with a 111-page motion to the Tornado

152
00:10:45,305 --> 00:10:48,325
Cash co-founder, I should say, with his request.

153
00:10:48,965 --> 00:10:54,905
They say they're not having it. They charge Storm alongside his co-founder,

154
00:10:55,065 --> 00:10:58,925
who remains at large, with one count of conspiracy to commit money laundering

155
00:10:58,925 --> 00:11:05,385
and one count of conspiracy to violate the International Economic Emergency Powers Act,

156
00:11:05,685 --> 00:11:10,085
which carries a maximum sentence of 20 years in prison.

157
00:11:10,085 --> 00:11:14,665
Alongside a charge of conspiracy to operate, you guessed it,

158
00:11:14,725 --> 00:11:19,585
an unlicensed money-transmitting business, one of those MSBs,

159
00:11:19,605 --> 00:11:24,465
which also carries a maximum of five years in prison.

160
00:11:25,750 --> 00:11:29,970
So 25, 45 years in prison here. So Storm files a motion to dismiss.

161
00:11:30,170 --> 00:11:31,630
He has some good technical arguments.

162
00:11:31,950 --> 00:11:35,670
They don't facilitate it. They don't hold the funds. They're not a money transmitter.

163
00:11:35,770 --> 00:11:37,290
The smart contract's still running today.

164
00:11:39,050 --> 00:11:43,590
But the government prosecution, led by U.S. attorney for the Southern District

165
00:11:43,590 --> 00:11:47,190
of New York, Damian Williams, wrote that 111-page response.

166
00:11:48,190 --> 00:11:51,470
He contests the characterization that Storm uses.

167
00:11:51,470 --> 00:11:58,570
And prosecutors argue that Tornado Cash, this is a quote, services caused all

168
00:11:58,570 --> 00:12:03,510
of these actions to take place behind the scenes without any further action by the customer.

169
00:12:03,850 --> 00:12:07,890
Under the ordinary meaning of the term, the Tornado Cash service was transferring

170
00:12:07,890 --> 00:12:13,090
funds when it executed customer deposits and withdraws in this way.

171
00:12:13,870 --> 00:12:19,590
So what we have here are two cases, one directly related to Bitcoin and one

172
00:12:19,590 --> 00:12:23,270
tangentially related to Bitcoin. and it's in the cryptocurrency community.

173
00:12:24,090 --> 00:12:26,790
And in these cases, the government is saying that these developers,

174
00:12:26,890 --> 00:12:30,710
by creating this code that enabled this action, became money transmitter businesses.

175
00:12:31,030 --> 00:12:34,470
They standed up these services. They wrote that code.

176
00:12:35,270 --> 00:12:40,370
Now, the community is digesting that and seeing a wide range of responses to

177
00:12:40,370 --> 00:12:43,790
that, most of which I have to say are panic, especially that on social media.

178
00:12:44,650 --> 00:12:48,210
But if you read through the actual DOJ's response, which I have,

179
00:12:48,970 --> 00:12:53,370
In both cases, they don't really seem to be arguing that they are.

180
00:12:53,370 --> 00:12:56,670
They're going close to it, but they're slightly, in my opinion,

181
00:12:56,690 --> 00:13:01,290
narrowing the focus and specifically saying, look at the way they advertised

182
00:13:01,290 --> 00:13:02,730
it or look what the things they said.

183
00:13:03,210 --> 00:13:07,870
They're backing it up with quotes or DMS or whatever it might be that they have from these people.

184
00:13:09,807 --> 00:13:12,807
I do agree with those that are saying we need to stay vigilant and we don't

185
00:13:12,807 --> 00:13:17,227
want a court precedent that does imply that writing this type of software creates

186
00:13:17,227 --> 00:13:18,247
a money-transmitting business.

187
00:13:18,607 --> 00:13:20,187
It would be very chilling for

188
00:13:20,187 --> 00:13:23,867
not just Bitcoin innovation, but just for financial innovation in general.

189
00:13:25,107 --> 00:13:32,027
Number six, the FBI released a PSA about not using KYC services that freaked

190
00:13:32,027 --> 00:13:35,807
out a bunch of services and wallet developers.

191
00:13:35,807 --> 00:13:41,747
On April 25th, 2024, even though no one was asking and nothing came up,

192
00:13:41,887 --> 00:13:45,047
the FBI happened to release a public service announcement titled,

193
00:13:45,207 --> 00:13:49,547
quote, Alert on Cryptocurrency Money Services Businesses.

194
00:13:50,027 --> 00:13:55,967
And here's what the first paragraph reads in this public service announcement by the FBI.

195
00:13:56,067 --> 00:14:00,327
Aren't you don't you just feel like relieved that the FBI has your back and

196
00:14:00,327 --> 00:14:01,627
that they're making sure the more, you know.

197
00:14:03,947 --> 00:14:07,847
Quote, the FBI warns Americans against using cryptocurrency money transmitting

198
00:14:07,847 --> 00:14:10,767
services that are not registered as money services businesses.

199
00:14:11,187 --> 00:14:14,547
Again, MSBs, according to the United States federal law.

200
00:14:14,707 --> 00:14:18,627
So anything that the U.S. federal law says is an MSB, you should,

201
00:14:18,727 --> 00:14:22,487
if they are acting like it, you should not use them. Does that make sense?

202
00:14:22,587 --> 00:14:26,707
So if the law says they should be an MSB, but they're not an MSB, then don't use them.

203
00:14:26,727 --> 00:14:32,607
And somehow you're supposed to know that. But the FBI has a shortcut for you.

204
00:14:32,627 --> 00:14:37,347
Since that's so confusing, they can't even honestly tell themselves if they're an MSB or not.

205
00:14:37,767 --> 00:14:45,607
They say, we recommend that you just avoid any services that don't do full KYC.

206
00:14:45,607 --> 00:14:49,867
Quote, avoid cryptocurrency money transmitting services that do not collect

207
00:14:49,867 --> 00:14:53,267
know your customer information for customers when required.

208
00:14:53,867 --> 00:15:00,327
And then later in this PSA, they've got a line that implies you might lose your funds.

209
00:15:00,487 --> 00:15:03,887
They might have to steal your bag off of a service. You know,

210
00:15:03,907 --> 00:15:07,007
if you got coins on there, they might just have to take them during their legal

211
00:15:07,007 --> 00:15:08,787
actions. And that's just the way it is.

212
00:15:09,027 --> 00:15:13,667
Quote, people who use unlicensed cryptocurrency money transmitting services.

213
00:15:13,667 --> 00:15:18,287
Services, is this a new category, may encounter financial disruptions during

214
00:15:18,287 --> 00:15:22,947
law enforcement actions, especially if their cryptocurrency is intermingled

215
00:15:22,947 --> 00:15:25,227
with funds obtained through illegal means.

216
00:15:26,427 --> 00:15:29,747
Well, you better trace where every single coin you've ever got came from,

217
00:15:29,767 --> 00:15:31,727
because who knows if it's been intermingled?

218
00:15:31,847 --> 00:15:35,787
You know, do you know if every dollar that you spend has been intermingled or

219
00:15:35,787 --> 00:15:36,907
every coin? Do you know that?

220
00:15:37,647 --> 00:15:41,467
How would you know that? No one knows that. And no one spends the time to look that up.

221
00:15:42,666 --> 00:15:48,766
These are ridiculous standards, and it does pose serious business risks to,

222
00:15:48,846 --> 00:15:52,346
I would say, operations that help facilitate lightning transactions.

223
00:15:52,766 --> 00:15:56,206
And it's something that's causing a lot of heartburn right now,

224
00:15:56,326 --> 00:15:58,426
like I said, in the quote-unquote industry.

225
00:15:58,886 --> 00:16:01,966
Number seven, won't someone think of the children?

226
00:16:01,966 --> 00:16:06,606
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren and Bill Cassidy have called for the Department

227
00:16:06,606 --> 00:16:11,566
of Justice and the Department of Homeland Security to redouble their efforts

228
00:16:11,566 --> 00:16:16,626
to stop the use of cryptocurrency to pay for child sexual abuse material online,

229
00:16:16,886 --> 00:16:19,806
a problem they claim has worsened.

230
00:16:20,306 --> 00:16:25,206
Although I don't believe anything Elizabeth Warren says, but nonetheless came

231
00:16:25,206 --> 00:16:27,606
out in the last week. And a bonus round.

232
00:16:28,386 --> 00:16:33,246
The Fed is not cutting rates. So this is technically number eight. I'm throwing it in here.

233
00:16:33,566 --> 00:16:38,186
But no doubt some whales have been buying up Bitcoin, not because of its fundamental utility,

234
00:16:38,466 --> 00:16:43,046
not because it's the best asset, not because there's no second best,

235
00:16:43,146 --> 00:16:49,026
but because they expect the money printer to turn back on and simply pump their bags.

236
00:16:49,026 --> 00:16:54,906
Well, the federal funds rate has stayed at the same level since July of 2023.

237
00:16:55,966 --> 00:17:00,486
That's when the Fed last hiked rates. And today they announced they're staying

238
00:17:00,486 --> 00:17:01,566
where they're at for longer.

239
00:17:02,726 --> 00:17:05,166
Many, especially the degens, expected

240
00:17:05,166 --> 00:17:09,326
rate cuts by now. So they have to internalize this new adjustment.

241
00:17:09,666 --> 00:17:13,106
Also, while we're just going for a few bonus rounds this week,

242
00:17:13,306 --> 00:17:15,246
fears of stagflation are rising.

243
00:17:15,346 --> 00:17:19,246
More reports of stagflation are coming out. The construction spending report

244
00:17:19,246 --> 00:17:20,946
came out, and construction is down.

245
00:17:21,146 --> 00:17:25,146
The employment cost index report came out, and the cost of employees is up.

246
00:17:25,306 --> 00:17:28,586
Consumer confidence report came out this week, and it's down.

247
00:17:29,086 --> 00:17:32,186
Employment is also hotter than expected, which the rich hate,

248
00:17:32,286 --> 00:17:34,686
because that means it's going to prolong rate cuts even more.

249
00:17:34,866 --> 00:17:38,346
Whenever employment's hot, that means rate cuts are going to be further out,

250
00:17:38,466 --> 00:17:40,026
and that impacts the market too.

251
00:17:40,686 --> 00:17:45,506
All of that in just the last week.

252
00:17:46,726 --> 00:17:50,486
So I think the question is, what does all of this mean for Bitcoin?

253
00:17:52,166 --> 00:17:55,286
Bitcoin shows us how all of this is connected.

254
00:17:56,326 --> 00:18:00,666
So many idiots throw the word Ponzi scheme at Bitcoin.

255
00:18:01,266 --> 00:18:06,806
Meanwhile, they are living in one of the greatest Ponzi schemes ever constructed by humanity.

256
00:18:07,446 --> 00:18:11,886
But it's important for us to remember, in everything I just ran down,

257
00:18:12,046 --> 00:18:16,306
nothing has changed internally about Bitcoin.

258
00:18:16,726 --> 00:18:20,766
There has been no hack. There has been no major flaw discovered.

259
00:18:21,026 --> 00:18:22,846
There has been no big outage.

260
00:18:24,086 --> 00:18:27,326
All of this going on is external to Bitcoin.

261
00:18:28,506 --> 00:18:33,026
The entire Western world is experiencing liquidity problems.

262
00:18:33,706 --> 00:18:38,366
And that impacts only one aspect of Bitcoin.

263
00:18:39,326 --> 00:18:42,906
The external aspect. The fiat price peg.

264
00:18:43,726 --> 00:18:49,386
That's what's been impacted, which means everything in Bitcoin remains fundamentally

265
00:18:49,386 --> 00:18:51,886
the same. Eventually, the price will correct.

266
00:18:52,426 --> 00:19:00,306
And Bitcoin, it's once again on sales. It's on sales. It's on sales for us plebs. That's what it means.

267
00:19:02,646 --> 00:19:08,246
The recent dumping we've seen in price, the drop in wallet creations that have

268
00:19:08,246 --> 00:19:10,386
happened recently, that's not because of some problem with Bitcoin.

269
00:19:11,126 --> 00:19:13,366
That's what we have to remember. Remember, when everybody starts freaking out,

270
00:19:13,446 --> 00:19:15,906
the fundamental analysis remains the same.

271
00:19:16,240 --> 00:19:30,960
Music.

272
00:19:30,819 --> 00:19:34,819
Of the chilling effect, federal prosecutors are examining financial transactions

273
00:19:34,819 --> 00:19:37,239
at Block, the owner of Cash App and Square.

274
00:19:37,799 --> 00:19:42,199
Internal documents indicate the Block-processed crypto transactions for terrorist

275
00:19:42,199 --> 00:19:48,519
groups and Square-processed transactions involving nations subject to economic arbitrary sanctions.

276
00:19:49,099 --> 00:19:52,539
Federal prosecutors are digging into internal practices at Block,

277
00:19:52,859 --> 00:19:56,999
which of course is the technology firm launched by the Twitter co-founder Jack Dorsey.

278
00:19:56,999 --> 00:20:02,959
This all comes out, allegedly, because an internal whistleblower told the feds

279
00:20:02,959 --> 00:20:09,479
that they didn't have enough controls and good enough KYC inside Block's applications.

280
00:20:10,399 --> 00:20:13,419
The former employee provided prosecutors from the Southern District of New York

281
00:20:13,419 --> 00:20:18,179
documents that they say show these insufficient information controls and insufficient

282
00:20:18,179 --> 00:20:19,799
information collected by Square.

283
00:20:20,859 --> 00:20:28,079
Roughly 100 pages of documents by the former employee were provided to NBC News,

284
00:20:28,339 --> 00:20:30,419
and NBC News has verified this.

285
00:20:30,699 --> 00:20:34,599
It seems that many of the amounts are very small dollar amounts involving entities

286
00:20:34,599 --> 00:20:38,399
and countries that appear to be subject to U.S. sanctions and restrictions like

287
00:20:38,399 --> 00:20:44,159
Cuba, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, just as recently as last year.

288
00:20:45,339 --> 00:20:49,139
And that, too, along with Roger Ver,

289
00:20:49,139 --> 00:20:55,499
getting arrested in spain for selling bitcoin that he supposedly didn't fully

290
00:20:55,499 --> 00:21:01,099
account for when he exited the united states these are not direct chilling effects

291
00:21:01,099 --> 00:21:07,959
but people are watching people notice i think it does kind of have an effect i don't know um.

292
00:21:09,817 --> 00:21:13,517
How do you feel when companies like Square get investigated or when Elizabeth

293
00:21:13,517 --> 00:21:17,697
Warren comes out? Does it hamper your enthusiasm? I doubt it. I doubt it does.

294
00:21:17,997 --> 00:21:22,217
But I bet you could understand why investors who don't truly understand what

295
00:21:22,217 --> 00:21:25,837
Bitcoin is, but just think it's a way to make a quick buck, why they start to panic.

296
00:21:26,717 --> 00:21:28,817
Put all that together. I think that's where we're at right now.

297
00:21:30,097 --> 00:21:34,177
All right, standby. Coming up on the show, your boosts and one heck of a clip

298
00:21:34,177 --> 00:21:36,417
of the week. You're not going to believe this thing.

299
00:21:36,577 --> 00:21:44,057
But first, I want to thank Podhome.fm, my sponsor, and I think the best podcasting 2.0 platform.

300
00:21:44,557 --> 00:21:48,437
It's my hosting platform of choice with unlimited shows and episodes powered

301
00:21:48,437 --> 00:21:49,897
by unlimited Podhome AI.

302
00:21:50,157 --> 00:21:53,517
They have tools that will balance your audio, transcribe your podcast,

303
00:21:53,757 --> 00:21:58,797
automatically create chapters, clips, and they'll even suggest episodes and title descriptions.

304
00:21:59,177 --> 00:22:02,877
It's easy to go live, too, if you want to do a little podcasting 2.0 streaming

305
00:22:02,877 --> 00:22:04,437
or do some value for value music.

306
00:22:04,737 --> 00:22:07,637
And new features have just rolled out for Clips and Chapters,

307
00:22:07,657 --> 00:22:11,717
a new beautiful visual audio helper, a new transcript editor,

308
00:22:11,937 --> 00:22:16,717
a beautiful way to just note things right there in the browser,

309
00:22:16,817 --> 00:22:18,757
super quick, make a marker and go.

310
00:22:18,977 --> 00:22:22,617
That's what Podhome FM is all about. If you use the promo code TWIB,

311
00:22:22,617 --> 00:22:26,697
you'll get the first three months for free.

312
00:22:26,737 --> 00:22:31,177
That's a great deal and you can really kick the tires. Podhome FM, TWIB.

313
00:22:31,920 --> 00:22:48,400
Music.

314
00:22:48,117 --> 00:22:52,937
We got some boosts this week. Our first one is a baller boost from Wise Hoddle

315
00:22:52,937 --> 00:23:01,557
coming in at 34,567 sats. That's a great show.

316
00:23:01,697 --> 00:23:06,477
I can't remember what I was doing last having exactly, but this last Epoch has

317
00:23:06,477 --> 00:23:07,677
been an amazing journey.

318
00:23:07,797 --> 00:23:10,817
And zooming out, I'm doing way better than I was then.

319
00:23:10,997 --> 00:23:14,177
Looking forward to saying the same thing next happening.

320
00:23:14,297 --> 00:23:19,937
I hope so, sir. You know, before I move on from your boost, something that I've

321
00:23:19,937 --> 00:23:25,597
thought about is how much better is an Epoch goal than like a New Year's resolution?

322
00:23:25,597 --> 00:23:31,337
Resolution. Four years is a real chunk of time to actually execute change in your life.

323
00:23:31,957 --> 00:23:38,017
And so I am starting to like the idea of measuring things in four-year increments

324
00:23:38,017 --> 00:23:42,417
at the happening as a way, as a reflection point and a point to reorient and goal,

325
00:23:42,617 --> 00:23:47,177
but to be able to actually commit to real life changing things over a four-year

326
00:23:47,177 --> 00:23:50,177
period, not just like some silly one-year new resolution.

327
00:23:50,937 --> 00:23:53,797
I guess as I get a bit older and I got more things going on in life,

328
00:23:53,797 --> 00:23:55,897
It takes more time to turn the ship, I think.

329
00:23:56,900 --> 00:24:03,840
And so I love that sentiment, wise hodl. I think that's, well, if you will, very wise.

330
00:24:03,940 --> 00:24:09,660
And I see that Spaceballs boost in there, too. So the combination is 1, 2, 3, 4, 5.

331
00:24:10,880 --> 00:24:15,040
That's the stupidest combination I ever heard in my life. And he sent a row

332
00:24:15,040 --> 00:24:18,000
of McDucks, too, 22,222 sats.

333
00:24:18,060 --> 00:24:22,200
This old duck still got it. I have my Bitcoin tech stack fairly set in stone,

334
00:24:22,280 --> 00:24:24,260
but I appreciate the recommendations for new users.

335
00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:27,340
It's good to know what I can recommend to others. Yeah, I think that's great.

336
00:24:27,500 --> 00:24:31,760
I love that idea of still being open to new implementations for other folks,

337
00:24:31,820 --> 00:24:34,180
but finding something that works for you long term.

338
00:24:35,100 --> 00:24:37,980
Bitcoin lizards way up there in the baller boost this week, too,

339
00:24:38,080 --> 00:24:41,920
with 25,000 sats. I hoard that which all kind covet.

340
00:24:42,140 --> 00:24:47,100
He writes from Podverse, I have no interest in what I believe are imaginary rare sats.

341
00:24:47,240 --> 00:24:51,320
I asked if you'd buy a Satoshi sat, like one of Satoshi's actual sats.

342
00:24:51,940 --> 00:24:58,780
I would, however, love to get my hands on the under-reamed Caucasian coin. I'm so awful.

343
00:24:59,320 --> 00:25:02,920
These are physical. Oh, oh, oh, these physical Bitcoin representations from

344
00:25:02,920 --> 00:25:04,380
the early on in Bitcoin history.

345
00:25:04,960 --> 00:25:07,760
The Caucasus coin, right? No, that wasn't it. What was it called?

346
00:25:08,360 --> 00:25:09,300
Gosh, I can't remember the name.

347
00:25:10,380 --> 00:25:13,020
Unfortunately, the denominations are one Bitcoin and higher,

348
00:25:13,100 --> 00:25:15,900
and the coins carry a premium to spot. I wonder if I can find this right now.

349
00:25:16,480 --> 00:25:18,900
So that's a physical thing you'd be willing to spend a little extra on,

350
00:25:18,940 --> 00:25:21,040
even though back in the day they were pegged to one Bitcoin.

351
00:25:23,360 --> 00:25:28,380
I don't know that to me actually feels less appealing because then it's something I could lose,

352
00:25:29,902 --> 00:25:33,462
The nice thing about digital is that I can always restore it with a seed phrase.

353
00:25:34,482 --> 00:25:38,842
But that's an, you know what, Lizard? I had completely forgotten about those.

354
00:25:38,902 --> 00:25:41,722
And if I could remember the name of them, I'd love to find a picture of that.

355
00:25:42,762 --> 00:25:45,442
Thank you, sir, for the boost. I really appreciate it. No second best comes

356
00:25:45,442 --> 00:25:49,342
in with 5,555 sets. B-O-O-S-T.

357
00:25:49,842 --> 00:25:53,942
You were on top of that Samurai Waltz story. The first place I heard of it was from you.

358
00:25:54,362 --> 00:25:58,882
Thank you very much, sir. And he says boost. B-O-O-S-T. Dang right.

359
00:25:58,882 --> 00:26:00,642
Right. Thank you. Appreciate that.

360
00:26:01,142 --> 00:26:04,562
Faraday Fedora sends in a row of ducks.

361
00:26:06,542 --> 00:26:11,442
2,222 sats. I see these special sats as kind of like old quarters that are worth

362
00:26:11,442 --> 00:26:12,642
more than a current quarter.

363
00:26:13,202 --> 00:26:14,942
Hmm. Hmm.

364
00:26:16,082 --> 00:26:19,342
Yeah, you know, I hadn't even made that connection. You know,

365
00:26:19,482 --> 00:26:22,702
that, if anything, is the proof that this isn't going away.

366
00:26:23,342 --> 00:26:26,922
Is that there always are people out there that, even like with U.S.

367
00:26:26,942 --> 00:26:30,362
Quarter, which is technically worth less, They'll pay more for it.

368
00:26:31,282 --> 00:26:34,102
I don't know how I like... I don't think I like that is what I'm saying.

369
00:26:34,282 --> 00:26:39,262
The more I talk about this issue, the more I just think one sat should equal one sat.

370
00:26:40,122 --> 00:26:44,882
But I realize how much we are not walking this back. I just think,

371
00:26:45,002 --> 00:26:47,422
yeah, Faraday Fedora, you got me there.

372
00:26:48,062 --> 00:26:50,202
Of course, if we're doing it with quarters, we're going to do it with sats.

373
00:26:50,722 --> 00:26:55,242
Anonymous comes in with 8,976 sats. Coming in hot with the boost.

374
00:26:55,462 --> 00:26:58,122
I was sad to hear about Samurai. It was a useful privacy tool.

375
00:26:58,122 --> 00:27:01,982
After the show, I opened up Samurai Wallet and discovered that I couldn't even show my balance.

376
00:27:02,582 --> 00:27:07,542
Seems the DOJ sees Samurai's infrastructure rendering their wallet non-functional

377
00:27:07,542 --> 00:27:11,202
in the absence of a self-hosted backend like the Samurai Dojo.

378
00:27:11,542 --> 00:27:15,802
So, a PSA for anyone else in this situation. You can easily regain access to

379
00:27:15,802 --> 00:27:20,162
your funds by importing your Samurai Wallet into the Sparrow Wallet.

380
00:27:20,162 --> 00:27:25,482
In Sparrow, select File, Import Wallet, then choose the BIP39 option.

381
00:27:26,679 --> 00:27:30,399
Input your 12 seed words. If you lost the seed words in the Samurai app,

382
00:27:30,539 --> 00:27:32,859
you can tell it how to show them to you in the settings view.

383
00:27:33,239 --> 00:27:38,079
After inputting these words, be sure to tick the quote use passphrase box and

384
00:27:38,079 --> 00:27:41,279
input the passphrase which was specified when Samurai Wallet was created.

385
00:27:42,159 --> 00:27:46,319
Passphrases are optional in BIP39, but Samurai Wallet UI unconditionally asks

386
00:27:46,319 --> 00:27:48,139
for one when a wallet is created.

387
00:27:48,439 --> 00:27:52,019
So it is necessary to provide it to Sparrow or the import will fail.

388
00:27:52,559 --> 00:27:55,339
Unlike seed words, the Samurai app cannot show the passphrase.

389
00:27:55,339 --> 00:27:57,939
So hopefully you wrote it down or remember it.

390
00:27:58,199 --> 00:28:02,439
You could instead import to another wallet that supports BIP-39 passphrases,

391
00:28:02,439 --> 00:28:05,659
but Sparrow Wallet has the advantage that it is a Samurai Whirlpool client,

392
00:28:06,159 --> 00:28:10,699
so it understands the structure of the Samurai Wallet from which it is derived.

393
00:28:11,079 --> 00:28:15,339
That is a great tip. Thank you very much. Boost!

394
00:28:15,859 --> 00:28:21,559
That's a great boost. I had read that online, but I had not planned to put that

395
00:28:21,559 --> 00:28:25,619
in the show just because it was, Well, it seemed like a thick thing to go through,

396
00:28:25,659 --> 00:28:26,739
but you did a great breakdown there.

397
00:28:27,039 --> 00:28:30,639
It's really about the fact that you can import your old Samurai wallet into

398
00:28:30,639 --> 00:28:35,399
Sparrow wallet and that we'll understand the structure of the Samurai wallet.

399
00:28:35,599 --> 00:28:40,479
That seems like a huge win. Sparrow is really great too. So it's a recommendation anyways.

400
00:28:40,959 --> 00:28:44,379
Even if you weren't going to make a migration and you just wanted to start fresh,

401
00:28:44,439 --> 00:28:45,179
I would recommend Sparrow.

402
00:28:46,379 --> 00:28:53,739
Jordan Bravo comes in with a suspicious 6,666 sats. I am programmed in multiple techniques.

403
00:28:54,199 --> 00:29:01,859
That's because he sent 3,333 sats twice and said I'd never pay for more than one sat for a sat.

404
00:29:01,999 --> 00:29:04,579
There's no such thing as rare Satoshis.

405
00:29:04,979 --> 00:29:09,919
I think I agree other than obviously than people are doing it.

406
00:29:09,979 --> 00:29:12,639
He says ordinal theory is a complete fiction projected onto Bitcoin.

407
00:29:13,039 --> 00:29:16,619
Agree with that. It's a game played by those who choose to participate in it,

408
00:29:16,639 --> 00:29:20,599
but it doesn't actually exist in the Bitcoin protocol. I agree with all of that.

409
00:29:23,178 --> 00:29:25,718
Doesn't mean they won't do it. He also sent his current software stack.

410
00:29:26,358 --> 00:29:28,898
He says, I buy non-KYC on RoboSats.

411
00:29:28,978 --> 00:29:33,498
I use Strike to send that fiat to the seller. Then I receive the sats in my Phoenix wallet. Uh-oh.

412
00:29:34,378 --> 00:29:37,978
Oh, no. Oh, no. What are you doing about Phoenix wallet?

413
00:29:38,538 --> 00:29:40,978
I repeat this until the amount in Phoenix gets to a certain size,

414
00:29:41,058 --> 00:29:44,538
at which point I swap into a cold storage multisig, which I use Sparrow wallet

415
00:29:44,538 --> 00:29:46,058
to manage. That is brilliant.

416
00:29:46,338 --> 00:29:50,138
Minimizes on-chain fees. Nice and secure. I like all of that except for Phoenix

417
00:29:50,138 --> 00:29:53,278
wallets on the out. So I'm curious what you're going to replace.

418
00:29:53,358 --> 00:29:54,178
Are you going to try a Zeus wallet?

419
00:29:54,778 --> 00:29:59,358
I think it's pretty good. Jin from Matik comes in with 2,000 cents.

420
00:30:01,318 --> 00:30:04,318
Hi, Chris. Thank you for another great episode. I started with a paper wallet

421
00:30:04,318 --> 00:30:07,718
last year, and to me, I still think it's...

422
00:30:07,718 --> 00:30:11,398
Oh, he says, I still... I started with a paper wallet last year,

423
00:30:11,438 --> 00:30:14,618
and to me, it's still a think, because you have border wallets,

424
00:30:14,638 --> 00:30:18,858
borderwallets.com. After explaining your Bulletproof Stacker self-custody guide

425
00:30:18,858 --> 00:30:21,358
last week, what would be your take on this guide?

426
00:30:21,558 --> 00:30:24,278
You know, the Border Wallets idea is brilliant. I don't have time to go into

427
00:30:24,278 --> 00:30:27,098
it right now, but I do think Border Wallets is something people should look into.

428
00:30:27,458 --> 00:30:31,998
There's also, he points out, Bitcoiner.guide with tons of resources on Bitcoin to discover.

429
00:30:33,058 --> 00:30:40,718
That's Bitcoiner.guide and BorderWallets.com. Border Wallets is a really neat idea.

430
00:30:41,458 --> 00:30:46,018
It's a way to quickly and reliably memorize your Bitcoin seed phrase so you

431
00:30:46,018 --> 00:30:49,058
can cross the border with all of your money in your head.

432
00:30:49,918 --> 00:30:51,718
Which, how are they going to stop that?

433
00:30:52,798 --> 00:30:54,598
How are they going to stop that?

434
00:30:55,718 --> 00:31:00,718
Oppie1984 comes in with 4,000 sats. I have been told paper wallets are unsafe,

435
00:31:00,978 --> 00:31:04,278
but I just prefer to trust something I created on a permanently air-gapped machine.

436
00:31:04,718 --> 00:31:07,278
I just can't feel secure with a hardware and software wallet.

437
00:31:07,318 --> 00:31:09,818
Just because I'm paranoid doesn't mean they're not out to steal my Bitcoin. coin.

438
00:31:09,858 --> 00:31:14,578
I'd asked him last week if he was how he felt about paper wallets. I agree with you there.

439
00:31:15,787 --> 00:31:23,767
The way I like to think about my wallet security is you want to get it right,

440
00:31:23,807 --> 00:31:27,327
but you don't want to overdo it so that you never actually take action.

441
00:31:28,327 --> 00:31:31,007
And when you're building towards your ultimate wallet security,

442
00:31:31,327 --> 00:31:33,907
you want to think about what you would do to protect something that's worth

443
00:31:33,907 --> 00:31:35,347
millions of dollars one day.

444
00:31:35,607 --> 00:31:40,047
When Bitcoin is worth a lot of money, the incentives for everybody around you

445
00:31:40,047 --> 00:31:42,967
are going to change. So that's just something to keep in mind.

446
00:31:42,987 --> 00:31:47,347
And who you tell today might not concern you, but in 10 years,

447
00:31:47,527 --> 00:31:49,507
you might have a different feeling about that.

448
00:31:49,607 --> 00:31:53,147
So these things when I'm designing my Bitcoin wallet security are also things

449
00:31:53,147 --> 00:31:54,027
I take into consideration.

450
00:31:54,227 --> 00:31:58,267
But I hesitate to overemphasize that because I don't want to scare people away.

451
00:31:58,267 --> 00:32:00,707
From self-custody. Anything's better than nothing, really.

452
00:32:01,187 --> 00:32:04,747
Halleck comes in with 10,000 sats. It's over 9,000!

453
00:32:05,827 --> 00:32:09,307
I wouldn't pay for a rare sat, but people will. It's human nature.

454
00:32:09,327 --> 00:32:12,407
People are going to do degen things with money, but I would like to hear more

455
00:32:12,407 --> 00:32:14,007
about how it hurts us when they do.

456
00:32:14,447 --> 00:32:19,067
We all know scaling solutions are needed, so aren't they ultimately pushing us where we need to go?

457
00:32:21,147 --> 00:32:25,007
Halleck, that's a take that some people argue.

458
00:32:25,427 --> 00:32:30,267
I think the other side is that non-monetary uses of the Bitcoin network are immoral.

459
00:32:31,407 --> 00:32:34,647
I'd love to know where people fall on that. I think it's a good question.

460
00:32:34,807 --> 00:32:41,287
Dexord comes in with 4,567 sats and says, I am boosting for the show.

461
00:32:41,407 --> 00:32:44,587
Well, thank you very much. Keep the change, you filthy animal.

462
00:32:44,867 --> 00:32:48,627
On rare sats, while I don't particularly like to compare Bitcoin to fiat,

463
00:32:48,647 --> 00:32:51,427
humans love rare coins, bills, etc.

464
00:32:52,207 --> 00:32:56,047
A rare quarter is, well, worth more than a quarter. A rare sat is going to be

465
00:32:56,047 --> 00:32:57,407
worth more than a regular sat.

466
00:32:57,827 --> 00:33:04,047
If anything, it's more proof that the true acceptance of Bitcoin coin as a global currency. Hmm. Hmm.

467
00:33:05,552 --> 00:33:07,792
I'd love you to expand on that a little bit if you wouldn't mind.

468
00:33:08,592 --> 00:33:11,492
Adversary 17's back again with 2,000 sats. Boost!

469
00:33:11,832 --> 00:33:17,412
No, I would not trade for uneven sat amounts. I like that, uneven sat amounts.

470
00:33:17,652 --> 00:33:22,492
They're all worth the same to me, and really to the Bitcoin network. One equals one.

471
00:33:24,232 --> 00:33:29,892
You know what? Nailed it. Crashmaster comes in with Spaceballs Boost.

472
00:33:30,372 --> 00:33:34,172
One, two, three, four, five. Yes. That's amazing. I've got the same combination

473
00:33:34,172 --> 00:33:36,632
on my luggage. I think Episode 8 was the best yet, Chris.

474
00:33:36,732 --> 00:33:39,212
Great, tight coverage of Bitcoin news, mainstream media narratives,

475
00:33:39,312 --> 00:33:41,812
and software stacks, with an added bonus of a nice how-to.

476
00:33:42,452 --> 00:33:44,472
Occasionally, if you could cover mining news and software stacks,

477
00:33:44,612 --> 00:33:47,832
you have a winner. I know you need a certain scale to mine efficiently,

478
00:33:48,052 --> 00:33:50,212
but that might be a good topic as well.

479
00:33:50,672 --> 00:33:54,472
Many of us do a lot of uneconomical things just for fun. Crashmaster,

480
00:33:54,712 --> 00:33:56,972
are you mining at home just for fun?

481
00:33:58,372 --> 00:34:02,172
That's what I take from that. You know, I've got an old S9 in a box that I'm

482
00:34:02,172 --> 00:34:05,372
thinking about maybe hooking up if I get cheap power somewhere that,

483
00:34:05,412 --> 00:34:09,672
you know, I don't feel guilty about because I just want to add some hash.

484
00:34:09,912 --> 00:34:14,752
You know, I just want to add some hash. And if I got lucky, I don't know.

485
00:34:14,812 --> 00:34:18,292
I saw a post this morning that looked back at the last six years and about once

486
00:34:18,292 --> 00:34:24,052
a year or so, some lone rando, you know, gets a block reward.

487
00:34:24,252 --> 00:34:25,812
So maybe that could be you.

488
00:34:26,752 --> 00:34:30,372
What? I wonder where I could get more information on that.

489
00:34:30,472 --> 00:34:34,392
Mining is definitely an area I'd love to dig into more, and it's an area I would

490
00:34:34,392 --> 00:34:35,672
love to hear more from the audience.

491
00:34:35,772 --> 00:34:39,772
What are you doing with mining, if anything? Maybe nothing.

492
00:34:41,312 --> 00:34:47,092
But I have also felt like perhaps I should get into it, even if I didn't do

493
00:34:47,092 --> 00:34:50,372
it for profit, if I just did it for the experience, if I just did it,

494
00:34:50,392 --> 00:34:54,432
I don't know, to get back into the network to computing, which is kind of what

495
00:34:54,432 --> 00:34:56,232
got me into it a long time ago.

496
00:34:57,212 --> 00:34:59,792
I was, I mean, what brought me into Bitcoin originally was mining.

497
00:35:00,792 --> 00:35:02,012
And then I just kind of went from there.

498
00:35:03,373 --> 00:35:07,633
Mega Strike 3 comes in with 7,777 sats. Tough little ship.

499
00:35:08,433 --> 00:35:11,613
Little. Thanks for your explanation about your stacking methodology.

500
00:35:11,893 --> 00:35:14,513
I have a question, though. How does running a lightning node play into this?

501
00:35:14,553 --> 00:35:18,693
Since lightning nodes need inbound and outbound channels, are nodes more for

502
00:35:18,693 --> 00:35:20,733
using sats than stacking sats?

503
00:35:21,393 --> 00:35:24,633
You don't really need a lightning node in your stacking setup.

504
00:35:25,053 --> 00:35:27,873
And you've got to remember, to have a lightning node, you have to have channels.

505
00:35:27,933 --> 00:35:31,053
To open up channels, you need to have funds to put in those channels.

506
00:35:31,133 --> 00:35:32,393
Sats to put in those channels.

507
00:35:32,993 --> 00:35:37,393
You could absolutely use a Lightning node to move funds around to make your

508
00:35:37,393 --> 00:35:39,973
transactions more private, especially if it's on your own node,

509
00:35:40,093 --> 00:35:42,013
but you wouldn't so much use it for stacking.

510
00:35:42,773 --> 00:35:45,813
And the fees that you'd generate from the Lightning network probably aren't

511
00:35:45,813 --> 00:35:47,833
going to amount to much on a small node these days.

512
00:35:48,273 --> 00:35:51,193
So I think that's where something like the Aqua Wallet comes in nice,

513
00:35:51,213 --> 00:35:54,813
because you can take advantage of the Lightning network without having to stand

514
00:35:54,813 --> 00:35:58,533
up a node, because you're just doing a quick peg into liquid, peg out of liquid.

515
00:35:59,153 --> 00:36:00,913
And they do Lightning swaps for that.

516
00:36:01,693 --> 00:36:06,533
Running your own node is a good idea for a lot of reasons, but stacking over

517
00:36:06,533 --> 00:36:09,113
Lightning is probably not one of them.

518
00:36:09,493 --> 00:36:13,633
Probably not, although I'd be totally willing to have anybody else's opinions

519
00:36:13,633 --> 00:36:16,133
or thoughts on that if you feel differently.

520
00:36:16,453 --> 00:36:19,313
And our last boost that goes on air this week comes from Torped,

521
00:36:19,413 --> 00:36:21,933
5,150 sats. This is the way.

522
00:36:22,693 --> 00:36:27,493
Wouldn't trampoline payments help alleviate the title of money transmitter off

523
00:36:27,493 --> 00:36:28,953
of all Lightning nodes? nodes.

524
00:36:29,193 --> 00:36:33,773
So trampoline payments are a way of moving funds between nodes as kind of like

525
00:36:33,773 --> 00:36:37,033
a relay. It does increase fees, but it also increases privacy.

526
00:36:37,633 --> 00:36:42,293
I don't know if they're very economical. And I don't think that solves the problem

527
00:36:42,293 --> 00:36:45,673
of being a money transmitter so much, because the issue that the government

528
00:36:45,673 --> 00:36:51,093
seems to be putting forward is that if you make the infrastructure and code available,

529
00:36:51,553 --> 00:36:54,953
you're essentially a money transmitter business, a money services business,

530
00:36:55,133 --> 00:36:58,433
an MSB, as they put it. Not an MTB, but an MSB.

531
00:36:59,473 --> 00:37:06,913
And that, I think, balloon, I should say balloon, trampoline payments would not solve.

532
00:37:07,013 --> 00:37:10,853
It would cover up some of the source and destinations.

533
00:37:11,213 --> 00:37:15,913
It's an interesting technology. I don't think it solves the case that the federal

534
00:37:15,913 --> 00:37:16,933
government, the DOJ, is making.

535
00:37:17,513 --> 00:37:20,273
At least in my opinion, I would love to be wrong about that,

536
00:37:20,313 --> 00:37:21,873
but unfortunately, I don't think I am.

537
00:37:22,693 --> 00:37:25,013
Good technology, though. Thank you, everybody who boosted in.

538
00:37:25,093 --> 00:37:28,633
We had 24 boosters. Not bad at all, really. Nice to hear from all of you.

539
00:37:28,873 --> 00:37:32,493
I have a 2,000-sat cutoff just to kind of keep it tighter on air,

540
00:37:32,593 --> 00:37:34,373
but I really do appreciate it.

541
00:37:34,413 --> 00:37:37,853
We stacked 136,184 sats.

542
00:37:38,053 --> 00:37:40,993
Thank you very much. And here's something for your trouble.

543
00:37:41,593 --> 00:37:43,953
There you go. You get a little sonic ding for your troubles.

544
00:37:44,593 --> 00:37:47,533
Appreciate everybody who boosted in. If you would like to boost in,

545
00:37:47,613 --> 00:37:51,653
all you got to do, get a new podcast app, podcastapps.com.

546
00:37:51,873 --> 00:37:55,013
Something like Fountain or Podverse, Cast-O-Matic.

547
00:37:55,553 --> 00:37:58,433
Fountain has easy integration with Strike if you're already going that route.

548
00:37:58,533 --> 00:37:59,893
Something to definitely check out.

549
00:38:00,560 --> 00:38:10,800
Music.

550
00:38:11,008 --> 00:38:17,728
Okay, our last clip of the week's a doozy. If you have stuck with me this long, you have earned it.

551
00:38:18,508 --> 00:38:22,968
I'm about to play for you the godmother of modern monetary theory.

552
00:38:23,288 --> 00:38:29,068
And she's going to explain to you why it is childish to expect that a government

553
00:38:29,068 --> 00:38:32,928
would have budgetary constraints of a household or a business.

554
00:38:33,148 --> 00:38:36,608
We live in the future where we have MMT, baby.

555
00:38:36,988 --> 00:38:40,528
Economics is widely known as the dismal science, right? Right.

556
00:38:40,528 --> 00:38:42,088
Because you've got to get better branding.

557
00:38:42,448 --> 00:38:46,248
Well, that's what MMT is trying to do. Better branding. Because,

558
00:38:46,488 --> 00:38:49,788
you know, in the dismal science, it's all about scarcity.

559
00:38:50,168 --> 00:38:54,288
And we can never have the things that we want because there's always this really

560
00:38:54,288 --> 00:38:57,588
intrusive problem, which is how are you going to pay for it?

561
00:38:57,648 --> 00:38:59,408
Where is the money going to come from?

562
00:38:59,668 --> 00:39:04,528
Yeah, it's so hard when you have limits and actual resources that are tied to

563
00:39:04,528 --> 00:39:08,168
real world things and that you have constraints on what you can actually do.

564
00:39:08,168 --> 00:39:13,048
You can't have nice things like endless wars and you can't have nice things

565
00:39:13,048 --> 00:39:15,868
like crazy government programs that are rife with corruption.

566
00:39:16,128 --> 00:39:19,608
So you need unlimited money that isn't tied to anything scarce, clearly.

567
00:39:19,768 --> 00:39:23,408
Of the things that we want, because there's always this really intrusive problem,

568
00:39:23,688 --> 00:39:27,288
which is how are you going to pay for it? Where is the money going to come from?

569
00:39:27,388 --> 00:39:32,448
And the problem is that we treat money like just any other scarce good or service

570
00:39:32,448 --> 00:39:35,408
in the economy. And what MMT is doing is saying, hold on a second,

571
00:39:35,488 --> 00:39:37,928
we're not on a gold standard anymore.

572
00:39:38,248 --> 00:39:42,748
We have this thing called a fiat currency. And it does make people nervous because

573
00:39:42,748 --> 00:39:46,848
a fiat currency sort of opens up space.

574
00:39:46,888 --> 00:39:49,528
And it's kind of like, wait, is money real after all?

575
00:39:49,668 --> 00:39:53,848
It opens up space and it's like, wait, is money real after all?

576
00:39:55,164 --> 00:39:58,564
That's that's her explanation of why people are concerned about Fiat.

577
00:39:59,924 --> 00:40:05,884
This is the woman. This is the the godmother, as they say, of MMT.

578
00:40:06,244 --> 00:40:09,644
And this is how she explains Fiat. You can tell what I think is actually interesting

579
00:40:09,644 --> 00:40:14,624
is that she even has to address that people are aware of what Fiat is and have concerns about Fiat.

580
00:40:15,224 --> 00:40:19,044
That's relatively new. And now she has to deal with that.

581
00:40:19,164 --> 00:40:24,344
But that's that's not the part that's really, really making this a doozy of

582
00:40:24,344 --> 00:40:28,524
a clip. Currency sort of opens up space and it's kind of like,

583
00:40:28,524 --> 00:40:30,444
wait, is money real after all?

584
00:40:30,584 --> 00:40:36,024
And so MMT is an economic framework that tries to have an honest conversation,

585
00:40:36,284 --> 00:40:40,404
that talks to people like grownups, not insulting people by telling them that

586
00:40:40,404 --> 00:40:44,664
you have to treat the government's budget like a household budget and speaking down to people.

587
00:40:44,664 --> 00:40:47,664
But we want to be honest about the monetary system we have today,

588
00:40:47,924 --> 00:40:52,304
the capacities of the government to spend when you have a fiat currency and

589
00:40:52,304 --> 00:40:56,624
you're not tying your currency to gold and promising to convert into something

590
00:40:56,624 --> 00:40:59,844
that you could run out of like physical gold.

591
00:41:00,384 --> 00:41:05,324
So we're opening up a conversation where there are still limits and you still have to make choices.

592
00:41:05,504 --> 00:41:09,904
But we can have an adult conversation about how the government can actually

593
00:41:09,904 --> 00:41:14,084
operate its budget when it doesn't face the same kinds of constraints that a

594
00:41:14,084 --> 00:41:15,544
household or a business face.

595
00:41:16,704 --> 00:41:20,164
I just feel so childish now thinking that my government should have had to follow

596
00:41:20,164 --> 00:41:22,404
constraints and have a balanced budget.

597
00:41:22,604 --> 00:41:27,764
I should have remembered that they can just print money and it has absolutely zero ramifications.

598
00:41:28,144 --> 00:41:32,704
There's no problems at all. I better go back and just undo the whole top of

599
00:41:32,704 --> 00:41:36,244
the show that laid out the seven things that are causing us problems this week

600
00:41:36,244 --> 00:41:37,524
that just happened in one week.

601
00:41:37,584 --> 00:41:40,644
I should probably just go delete all of that, cut all that out from the show.

602
00:41:41,204 --> 00:41:45,284
I am so grateful that Stephanie set me straight.

603
00:41:45,464 --> 00:41:49,424
Stephanie Kilton is her name. She was on The Daily Show, and she was making

604
00:41:49,424 --> 00:41:54,264
the case for MMT and why governments should not have to have the same financial

605
00:41:54,264 --> 00:41:56,064
constraints of businesses and households.

606
00:41:56,224 --> 00:41:58,584
And if you think otherwise, well, that's just childish.

607
00:41:59,384 --> 00:42:02,744
I'll put a link to that in the show notes if you'd like to get it for yourself.

608
00:42:03,124 --> 00:42:04,984
Maybe you listen to it again and just shake your head.

609
00:42:06,384 --> 00:42:11,244
That'll be over at thisweekinbitcoin.show along with all of the previous shows.

610
00:42:11,384 --> 00:42:14,124
Please do boost in. Let me know what you like, didn't like, or would you like

611
00:42:14,124 --> 00:42:18,084
to hear more of in the show or any responses or thoughts on anything I talked about today.

612
00:42:18,504 --> 00:42:23,844
I'd love for this to be the number one Bitcoin news podcast for the JB audience,

613
00:42:24,044 --> 00:42:27,924
for the podcasting 2.0 community, et cetera. And one of the ways you can do

614
00:42:27,924 --> 00:42:30,804
that is by boosting because it helps us get discovered on the fountain charts.

615
00:42:31,524 --> 00:42:36,164
Every boost goes up there to just click, click, click up that chart and helps

616
00:42:36,164 --> 00:42:37,564
others discover it when they go search.

617
00:42:37,924 --> 00:42:41,164
I really appreciate that. Thank you so much for joining me. I'm going to wrap

618
00:42:41,164 --> 00:42:43,144
it up today with a value for value song.

619
00:42:43,264 --> 00:42:46,744
If you boost in during the song, your sats go to support the track directly.

620
00:42:47,324 --> 00:42:49,124
And this week it's self-destruct.

621
00:42:49,840 --> 00:45:34,410
Music.
