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Are you expecting a recession this year? I hate to predict things like that.

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There is a period of transition, because what we're doing is very big.

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We're bringing wealth back to America. That's a big thing.

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And there are always periods of... It takes a little time.

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It takes a little time.

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But I think it should be great for us. I mean, I think it should be great.

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Music.

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Welcome in to episode 49 of This Week in Bitcoin. My name is Chris ChrisLAS.com

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JupyterBroadcasting.com It is very good to be back The last couple of weeks were wild.

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And it's times like this that it's a core belief of mine that a really great

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investor tries to separate out the emotion as much as possible and focus on the signal.

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So that's what I'm going to strive for today. And that means we'll be getting

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into some topics that might be emotionally charged for some of you.

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So what I'm going to do is I'm going to ask that we all strive to separate out

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the emotion and stay focused because there is big things developing.

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And I think the vast majority of people analyzing the situation are completely

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using the wrong lens and they're missing the mark.

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And one of the things we have to start with, of course, is always the macro

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picture, because as I go on air today, the U.S. has new inflation data.

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Finally, we have some good news on the economy and really the number one issue

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for many Americans, the cost of living.

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So we just learned that consumer prices in February increased by 2.8 percent

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year over year, 0.2 percent month over month.

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Both of these figures were a step in the right direction and both were better than expected.

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So this is definitely very encouraging to see because it's going to,

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I think, relieve some fears that inflation was perhaps reaccelerating because

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this actually breaks a streak of four straight months where I think you could

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see it on the chart all the way to the right where the inflation rate was going

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in the wrong direction. Right. It was going higher and higher.

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Finally, we're seeing it dip. What? What is this?

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What's going on here? Yeah, this marks the slowest pace of inflation in four months.

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And technically, the first cool down after four straight months of increases.

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That's why we've been talking about the possibility of stagflation.

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But this entire time, I've been wanting to talk to you about this trend that

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I find really curious, and maybe we're going to soon get the answer to.

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I don't know if you follow this, but there's the Truflation Index,

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and they have a dashboard that tracks inflation in the United States sourcing

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in-market real-time prices.

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And for the last week or two, it says inflation is in the 1% range,

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like 1.3, 1.5% inflation.

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Today, as I record, Truflation says that the inflation rate in the United States is 1.32%.

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And if you look at their charts, starting in late February, it just drops off

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a cliff from like a high two, which is already lower than the CPI,

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but it was around there, to now 1.3. It just drops off a cliff at the end of February.

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Now, what I think is notable here is Truflation nailed the real inflation in

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the economy when it was going up.

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When we were cooking up inflation, it nailed it.

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Well before the Fed, well before the CPI reflected the impact of inflation, Truflation called it.

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And now we maybe are on the other side, but we still see many calling for stagflation.

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So I don't know what to make of what the CPI says and what the Truflation dashboard says.

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I tend to agree more with Truflation because they're sourcing it from the actual

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market, where CPI, you know, it's always kind of been fiddled with.

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I'd like to know what you think is going on here.

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Send me a boost and share your thoughts.

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Why do we see this massive drop-off on the Truflation dashboard?

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And is inflation maybe actually going to get tamed?

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That's the thing. I just, I can't square why we have such a gap in the data right now.

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Something, something seems to be up. So I'd like to know your opinion on it,

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too. Maybe we can put it together.

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Music.

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Stock markets on both sides of the border saw steep declines again today.

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In New York, the Dow, the Nasdaq, and the S&P 500 each saw sell-offs.

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For more on this, I want to bring in Christina Parsinevilos.

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She's the Nasdaq reporter with CNBC, and she joins us live in New York.

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So, Christina, just how bad was it on the markets today?

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Well, bad enough that on CNBC, we had a red banner saying markets sell off the

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entire day. And I admittedly wore red, but the Nasdaq was down 4 percent.

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The S&P down to about 2.7 percent and the Dow closing 2 percent lower.

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And much of that selling was just across the board. Individual names,

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Apple falling 5 percent.

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I mentioned Apple because it has the biggest point impact on the Nasdaq 100,

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where I am right now, followed by NVIDIA.

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Tesla, another name, falling 15 percent today. It's worst day since September 2020.

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Tech overall down from its peak in December, about 14%. And then lastly,

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just really, if we look at the NASDAQ 100, which is just the biggest 100 firms

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traded at the NASDAQ, you're seeing just a drop.

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You can compare it to COVID, for example. During COVID, those stocks fell about

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13% from mid-February to March.

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Right now, we're at down 12% during that same time frame.

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So to us in Bitcoin, the numbers seem small. But to the mainstream market,

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you know, those are pretty significant numbers. Those are COVID-level numbers.

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And poor Elon, he sure is a dummy, huh? If he went to go work in Doge to enrich

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himself and become even more wealthy, he sure is doing a bad job at that.

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I can't say. It's just not working out too well for him. So I want to talk about

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this quote-unquote volatility that we've been seeing.

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We knew this was coming. The market went crazy.

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But not all of us foresaw it. I think in Bitcoin terms, it's interesting what

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lettuce hands the ETF holders have had.

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The ETFs, IBIT, which in some previous drawdowns had zero outflows,

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has been selling off thousands of Bitcoin a day.

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And then in other places like River or Bitcoin Well and Strike,

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the vast majority of customers are buying the dip.

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I think River's buy side was almost 80% of the volume.

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Also, statistically interesting, wallets that hold over one Bitcoin or more

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have been buying the dip like crazy.

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So it seems that those that have conviction are not spooked by this,

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but the short-term holders are fleeing like crazy.

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And I actually kind of think there is a plan at work here.

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I don't know exactly if we should call it a master plan, but I think I figured

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out the game plan at least.

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Let's start with the big Bitcoin announcement while I was away.

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The Bitcoin strategic reserve and the digital asset stockpile, two separate things.

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And as I record a week later, the news is still not priced in on this.

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I've read the executive order.

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I did a quote unquote deep dive into this.

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And I don't think the rest of the market is fully understanding what a big deal this is.

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And one of the better breakdowns that happened in the last few days was crypto

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and AI czar for President Trump went on his old podcast, the All In podcast,

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and explained several aspects and details that I don't think have been out in the public.

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It's a pretty popular podcast, so you might have heard this,

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but I actually think these clips are historic in nature and worth playing on the show.

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And I also want to start with David Sachs' explanation of why Bitcoin is special,

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because these are the words of the crypto czar who is informing crypto policy

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directly for the White House.

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So his understanding of Bitcoin is extremely relevant.

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Bitcoin is the original cryptocurrency. It's the first one. It's the only one

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that doesn't have an issuer, right? It's very decentralized.

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It's, you know, in crypto, they call this the immaculate conception.

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We don't really know how it got here. We don't know who Satoshi is.

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It's almost mystical, you would say. Yes.

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It's the most valuable one. I will say the individual who interjects too often

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is his co-host, and this is just the two of them, Jason Calacanis.

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Sorry, Jason, I did try to cut around you as much as possible.

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It's a $2 trillion market cap, and it's the most secure.

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It's ever been hacked, right? So we're now over 15 years into this journey,

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and there's been a lot of people who've been skeptical along the way,

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and there's been a lot of ups and downs.

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But here it is. I mean, I remember back in 2011, I think it's the first time

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I bought a Bitcoin. I think it was at $120.

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Now it's at $90,000. Again, there have been all sorts of wild swings along the way.

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But this thing just keeps chugging along. And you can think of that $2 trillion

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market cap as like a $2 trillion bug bounty.

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If there was a way to hack this, there's every incentive in the world.

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And by hack, I mean, like, to double spend, create basically a counterfeit Bitcoin,

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I guess, would be the way for people to think about it.

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It is a miracle. It hasn't been compromised. I think we can all say that.

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Well, I don't know if it's a miracle. I think it's exceptional design.

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Sure. And so I think what you could say is that it's been tested in a very robust

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way, and there's been every incentive to basically break the encryption,

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and it continues to chug along.

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And so I think the price has gone up as the protocol has gotten more acceptance.

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And this is another point, is that Bitcoin is the most widely accepted as a

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store of value throughout the world.

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Yeah. So we do believe it should be treated special. I have to say,

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I actually was relieved hearing that since David Sachs is a noted former Solana

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investor. I just wasn't quite sure.

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I know he's also an early Bitcoin investor before he even bought Solana,

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but I just wasn't quite sure where he stood on his understanding of Bitcoin.

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And the thing that stood out to me in that clip is when Calacanis is like,

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oh, it's just, you know, it's lucky it hasn't been hacked yet. It's lucky.

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And Sachs actually corrects him there with an appropriate understanding,

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which I thought was really good.

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And then the other thing that became clear in their conversation is it seems

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the Trump administration has realized selling Bitcoin has been a mistake.

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Think of it as like a digital Fort Knox for digital gold. We want to put the

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digital gold in there. We want to keep it secure. We never want to sell it.

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He's, of course, talking about the Bitcoin reserve, separate from the digital

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asset stockpile. That's the goal of the reserve.

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And you're right that we've made the mistake in the past of selling this stuff.

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At one point in time, we had about 400,000 Bitcoin on the federal balance sheet.

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We sold roughly half of that for something like $360 million total.

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If we had held all of that, it would be worth just that the portion we sold

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would be worth over $17 billion.

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So we made this mistake of prematurely selling Bitcoin when we should have held

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it. We don't want to make that mistake with regard to the rest of it.

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We think there's around 200,000 coins left on the federal balance sheet.

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But the truth is that nobody knows because we've never done a proper audit.

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So part of what this executive order provides is that we're going to do for

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the first time a government-wide accounting of the digital assets that we actually have. They don't know.

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They don't know how much Bitcoin they have. They don't know how much ETH they

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have. They really don't know.

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I think that's something that we need to understand is they're saying roughly

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200,000 Bitcoin for this reserve, but they don't actually know how much Bitcoin they have.

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Additionally, and I think this is the right thing to do, I've raised this concern

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before on the show, they're going to make sure that everything's gone through

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a legal process and that if someone who is a victim of a crime is due their coins back,

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those victims of crimes are going to get their coins back. They're not going to go in the reserve.

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They'll be legally required to report it, and then they'll go in the reserve.

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If there's a final adjudication.

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So obviously, if those coins could go back as restitution to victims,

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or if the person who they were seized from wins their court case and gets them

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back, they're not going to go into the Federal Reserve.

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But if there's been a final adjudication and a final forfeiture,

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yes, those will go into the Reserve.

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That's the right policy. I was concerned about incentives that essentially just

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incentivize various federal agencies to just seize Bitcoin at every opportunity.

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Now, I want to make sure we understand the key differences between the Bitcoin

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reserve and the digital asset stockpile, because it's huge.

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And there's confusion since they were announced at the same time.

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TLDR, and I'm going to let Sachs explain it, but the TLDR, because it's key

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that you understand, is a huge difference.

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The Bitcoin reserve, we cannot sell. We cannot sell the Bitcoin in the reserve.

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The digital asset stockpile, which is everything that's not Bitcoin,

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we can sell. And we can sell it to buy Bitcoin.

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That's Bitcoin. Okay, so then you got the stockpile. Let me just talk about that.

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So first of all, like I said, we don't know exactly what digital assets the

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federal government has.

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I've seen reports that it might have, for example, 50,000 ETH, which is Ethereum.

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But again, we need to get to the bottom of that. when we figure out exactly

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what the assets are, we're going to move them into the digital stockpile.

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The purpose of the stockpile is responsible stewardship. It's a place for safekeeping.

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It's a centralized, you could say, account under the direction of the Secretary of the Treasury.

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And the Secretary of the Treasury will figure out how to maximize the values

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of these holdings. Now, there's a couple of important differences between stockpile and reserve.

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So one is the reserve, the executive order actually provides that the secretary.

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Of the treasury will not sell the Bitcoin.

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Okay. We're, we're prohibited from selling the Bitcoin.

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There's no such prohibition with respect to the stockpile.

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If the secretary of the treasury decides that's in the long-term interest of

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the U S to rebalance the portfolio or change the portfolio, the secretary has

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the discretion to do that. I think the secretary will.

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And so I just think that's fascinating too, because one of the rules of the

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EO is they can acquire Bitcoin if it's revenue neutral.

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Well, selling the shit coins would be revenue neutral. So with respect to reserve,

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the EO provides that the secretaries that I'm talking about,

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Treasury and Commerce, they're allowed to figure out strategies to accumulate

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more Bitcoin for the reserve if those strategies are budget neutral and don't

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cost the taxpayer anything.

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Okay. So it's possible that we could, I'm not saying that we will, but it gives them,

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it authorizes them to acquire more Bitcoin if they can figure out a way to do

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it that doesn't impact the federal budget or the deficit or taxpayers, right?

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I think that's key to help the public swallow this.

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Their initial reaction has been very poorly. The coverage has been very bad.

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But at the end of the day, it's revenue neutral for, well, it's going to be

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revenue positive for the taxpayer. Let's be real.

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There's another thing that's been really awful in the coverage of all of this.

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It's because not only does that seem like a very reasonable structure.

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But instead of attacking that structure, some of the half-wit journalists have

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gone directly after David Sachs, claiming that he's cooking different cryptos to pump his bags.

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I mean, it's a legitimate concern. If he's the crypto czar, you don't want him

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influencing crypto policy to make himself rich.

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And so Sachs went on the record about that.

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It's a longish clip, but I actually think, again, it's historically important

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that we document this on the podcast.

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Well, people came out right away and were saying that somehow I was engaged

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in a scheme to pump my bags or to basically create exit liquidity for myself

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and billionaire stuff like that.

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You have to understand that those accusations, I mean, they're accusing me of a crime.

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A serious crime. A serious crime. And they're doing it with no evidence whatsoever.

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So these things are basically, it's borderline- Slander.

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Slander and defamation. It's slanderous, yeah, I would say so.

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In any event, what they didn't know and what I then proceeded to put out there

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is that I sold all my cryptocurrency prior to day one of the administration

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because I didn't want to even have the appearance of a conflict.

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And by the way, I could have waited. I didn't have to do it like that,

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but I decided to do it and take it upon myself to do that because you just know

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that when it comes to crypto, there's going to be a lot of fluctuations in the market.

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You never want someone to be able to point at one of those fluctuations and

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say somehow that the cryptos are benefited from that and create a conspiracy

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theory, which is exactly what basically happens.

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So first of all i got rid of all my cryptocurrency prior to

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day one craft also sold and craft is the venture firm that you funded that's

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done a lot of great work supporting founders here right so we basically sold

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i think it was around 200 million dollars of crypto of which around 85 million

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dollars was personally attributable to myself and we cleared that before day one,

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paid taxes on it and basically so there wouldn't be a conflict so then.

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The sphere shifted in another direction was, okay, well, maybe he doesn't own

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crypto, but he's in crypto funds.

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Okay. And so they pointed to Bitwise and multi-coin capital,

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and I was also in blockchain capital.

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And so then the fund managers came out and one by one all said,

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actually, David called us over two months ago and said, he's going to need to divest from our funds.

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And so we also did that. But yeah, look, I think it's a lazy and stupid narrative

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to say that the reason why someone who's already successful in business goes

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into government is to somehow make more money. I was making money before.

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This involves a substantial disruption of my business interests,

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and I have to divest a lot of those business interests.

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And in divesting, I have to be either a taxpayer or I have to take a significant

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discount and it costs you money.

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It's just a lazy narrative that people create, but there's no truth to it.

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And just to underscore a point that you made a second ago, you were one of the

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funds i divested from not because you're a crypto fund but because you might

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have a crypto position we went through i think the launch fund's holdings and

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i think there was something crypto related in there and so one or two that pivoted

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into crypto yes right so i just didn't want to have any problem there so.

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Music.

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An executive order is good and all But as we very well know at this point,

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the next guy can come in, or gal, and just undo the previous executive orders.

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So to get this thing to really stick, we need an all-of-government buy-off.

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You can kind of set the course and set the tone and send a signal to the Senate

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and the House of the priorities.

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But to really lock it in, we need a law.

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And I have to say, the momentum there is a lot stronger than I initially reported.

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Yesterday, as I record, which is the 12th of March, 2025, the Bitcoin Policy

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Institute had a very fancy event with lots of heavy hitters there,

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like your boy Sailor, Jack Maulers, tons of Bitcoin friendly Congress critters.

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And they made two big announcements pertaining to this very issue of locking it in as law of the land.

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First, was an individual that I'm not very familiar with, but I perhaps need

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to get more familiar with, is U.S. Congressman Nick Belch.

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That's probably not right, but I love it. It's like it's B-E-G-I-C-H.

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So there's no L in there at all.

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And the bill is to introduce a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the house,

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in the house, to buy a million Bitcoin.

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Today, I'm here to make a historic announcement, one that will shape America's

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economic future for generations to come.

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Today, I will be introducing the Bitcoin Act of 2025 in the United States House.

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Now, you know, this is a bold and forward-looking legislative initiative designed

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to ensure the United States secures its financial independence and maintains

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its leadership in the global digital economy.

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Before I continue, I want to take a moment and recognize the tireless efforts

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of my colleague in the Senate, Senator Cynthia Lummis of Wyoming.

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Actually, the second announcement is going to pertain to her.

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I just thought it was noteworthy that the bill there in the House already has six co-sponsors.

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Now, speaking of Senator Lummis, here is the second announcement.

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She's reintroducing her Bitcoin Act with vigor. I'm so pleased to announce that

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today I will be reintroducing the Bitcoin Act.

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And I'll be joined here shortly by Senator Justice of West Virginia,

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who is one of the co-sponsors.

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And we have several other additional co-sponsors. And a lot of it is a result

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of the excitement that's been building.

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And when I checked, she had seven co-sponsors now. So that seems pretty significant to me.

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That is moving faster than I expected to have bills both in the House and in the Senate.

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Both of them have pretty good sponsors. The House has six co-sponsors.

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The Senate bill has seven co-sponsors.

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That seems like momentum to me. And we've had a clear signal from the White

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House that they'd sign something like that.

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So now, with all of this in mind, the strategic reserve, the volatility in the

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market, the recent drop in inflation rates, and the momentum behind the bills

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in both the House and the Senate, we have to bring it all together,

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zoom out, and just look at where the signal takes us.

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Music.

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Trump said rates would be coming down one way or another. The interest rates will come down.

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You said that you would demand that the interest rates come down.

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I would put in a strong statement. Do you expect the Fed to listen to you?

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Yeah. All right. So I think I played that clip on the show.

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And then more recently, I think just two days ago, he was interviewed by Fox Business.

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And he's clearly, clearly on the same trajectory as that clip from January.

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Before you came into the Oval Office the first time, you were a very successful

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businessman, very successful real estate executive.

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And a lot of people said, oh, this is the business president.

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This is it. He's watching the stock market. He knows all about,

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you know, he doesn't want the market to go down. And now we've got tariffs and

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the market has been going down.

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Well, not much. I mean, in all fairness. You said, look, we're going to have

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a disruption, but we're OK with that.

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Is that what you meant? The stock market going down was the disruption.

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What other disruption were you alluding to? Look, what I have to do is build a strong country.

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You can't really watch the stock market. If you look at China,

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they have a hundred year perspective. We have a quarter.

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We go by quarters. That's true.

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And you can't go by that. You have to do what's right.

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What we're doing is we're building a tremendous foundation for the future.

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Tremendous foundation. Wall Street did not like that answer at all.

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But he's right. U.S. mortgage rates have dropped their sixth consecutive week

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to the lowest level since December of 2024.

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And here's the big one. The 10-year U.S.

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Treasury yield has decreased by approximately 35 basis points from early January to now.

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This is key for you to understand.

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Over the last two months, the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond yield has shown a general downward trend.

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This is critical to understand the entire strategy and the mess.

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When demand for bonds goes up, like during a flight-to-safety moment when there's

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market volatility, prices rise because more investors are buying.

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That then pushes yields down since the fixed interest is spread over a higher

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price. So in terms of market stress, if investors are freaked out,

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they tend to ditch riskier assets like their NVIDIA stock or their Apple stock,

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and they pile into government bonds.

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That rush drives up the bond prices and pulls yields lower, which is exactly

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what we've been seeing since January.

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They're getting the bond yields lower. Now, why would they want to do that?

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I think there's a few reasons. Treasury Secretary Bassinet, as I put it,

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went into some detail. I think this was on CNBC.

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If we ever went down 20% on the NASDAQ or 15% on the S&P, with people that want

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Trump to fail, that's going to be splayed across every newspaper in the world.

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I'm just wondering whether the tolerance for something like that for the administration.

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00:25:15,731 --> 00:25:20,011
Well, look, as you said, Joe, the market was up 20% last year,

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20% a year. So there is some house money you're planning on. No, no, no.

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I'm going to put it another way. Okay. Did the Biden administration succeed?

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The American people weren't buying it. Just because the market was up,

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they voted out the Democrats.

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Question related to the regulatory or deregulatory agenda, which I think is...

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Here's another statement, and we can stop there.

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Here's another statement from the White House. Quote, want to emphasize that

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we're seeing a strong divergence between animal spirits of the stock market

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and what we're actually seeing unfold from businesses and business leaders.

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And the latter is obviously more meaningful than the former on what is in store

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for the economy in the medium to long term.

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So Trump says he's not watching the market.

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Bassinet there says, we have seen 20, we've seen two 20% years in a row and

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it hasn't helped Main Street.

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In other words, the people that voted the Trump administration into office are

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not necessarily benefiting.

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So the strategy is to inject volatility into the market, which brings down inflation

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and causes also, secondarily, a flight to safety, i.e.

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Bonds, which pulls the bond yields lower.

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So why would the president of the United States, who in the past seemed to live

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and die by the stock market in his first term, be willing to watch it slide and everyone panic?

387
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Why would the White House be intentionally injecting market volatility around

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tariffs, sometimes multiple times a day?

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Because they have a much, much bigger problem than billionaires making more money on their assets.

390
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The U.S. government faces a critical refinancing challenge in this year, in 2025,

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with $9.2 trillion of existing debt, not even new debt, $9.2 trillion of existing

392
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debt that is maturing and requiring refinancing this year.

393
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I believe $2 trillion of it needs to be refinanced in April alone.

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So a decline in something like the 10-year treasury bond yields directly reduces

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the refinancing costs for the government.

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Now, my math, who knows? But this is based on my math.

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If that lower rate holds that we have right now, when the government needs to

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refinance, they could save about $32 billion a year on $9.2 trillion in debt

399
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just at the current bond rates.

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Since January, where they fall into, they could save $32 billion on the refinancing.

401
00:27:42,179 --> 00:27:49,019
Every 1% reduction in interest rates could save over $1.7 trillion.

402
00:27:49,639 --> 00:27:55,899
Every 1% reduction in interest rates, $1.7 trillion in interest costs over a

403
00:27:55,899 --> 00:27:57,439
decade for the entire debt stock.

404
00:27:57,639 --> 00:28:02,679
So that's the scale of the problem, and it has to happen right now.

405
00:28:03,139 --> 00:28:09,379
And Trump has a clear focus on those market numbers, on the yield rates.

406
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And getting, I think, my suspicion is, cheap debt above all else.

407
00:28:15,079 --> 00:28:19,319
And he seems to be locked in on it. But you may get it again with these tariffs, right?

408
00:28:19,399 --> 00:28:23,059
I mean, one CEO said to me, my input costs have already started to go up.

409
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I'm going to have to raise prices. In the meantime, guess what?

410
00:28:26,219 --> 00:28:30,119
Interest rates are down for the last three, four days at good levels.

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I mean, you know, when you add interest rates, you're talking about it's gone down.

412
00:28:35,819 --> 00:28:41,199
I've been saying, let's get interest rates down. You know, nobody ever gets

413
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rich when the interest rates are high because people can't borrow money.

414
00:28:45,059 --> 00:28:47,239
Interest rates are going down. You know what else is going down?

415
00:28:47,599 --> 00:28:50,319
What have I been trying to get down? Energy.

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Energy's going down. I'd love to see energy go down.

417
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You know, energy is really what caused it. They screwed up my energy.

418
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I had the most energy and they screwed it up. Then they went back to it.

419
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It was going through the roof. They went back to some drilling,

420
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but it was gone. It was hopeless. It was lost, but energy's gone down and interest

421
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rates have gone out over the last week. That's a big thing. I love that.

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They have the best energy, the biggest energy.

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00:29:18,319 --> 00:29:23,099
So we're doing some math, I think, right now. We're looking at this massive refinance cost.

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Inflation slash stagflation seems to be a threat.

425
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And the White House has decided that they can essentially take a hard correction

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right now, deflate the Meg 7,

427
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perhaps rebalance trade relations a bit, but mostly inject volatility with tariff

428
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talks, and spin it as a focus on Main Street for the medium term.

429
00:29:50,167 --> 00:29:54,087
Listen to the signaling in just this short clip from the Treasury Secretary.

430
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I think over the medium term, which is what we're focused on.

431
00:29:59,687 --> 00:30:03,387
Okay, so the medium term, i.e. this isn't their long-term plan.

432
00:30:03,767 --> 00:30:09,207
This isn't an agenda to refocus the federal government on making Middle America

433
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prosper. This is just a short-term plan.

434
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It will benefit Middle America and hurt the rich temporarily for the short term.

435
00:30:18,287 --> 00:30:23,807
Q1. I think over the medium term, which is what we're focused on,

436
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It's a focus on Main Street.

437
00:30:25,887 --> 00:30:29,267
Wall Street's done great. Wall Street can continue to do fine.

438
00:30:29,427 --> 00:30:31,347
It's a focus on Main Street.

439
00:30:31,847 --> 00:30:36,747
But we have a focus on small business and the consumers.

440
00:30:36,807 --> 00:30:41,947
So we are going to rebalance the economy. We're going to bring manufacturing jobs home.

441
00:30:42,167 --> 00:30:44,327
Is that realistic? Probably not.

442
00:30:44,827 --> 00:30:46,447
Can they achieve some of it?

443
00:30:46,987 --> 00:30:52,347
Likely. They likely can. And if they can even just get the yield rates to a

444
00:30:52,347 --> 00:30:56,227
cheaper spot, so that debt, that debt is as cheap as possible.

445
00:30:55,920 --> 00:31:05,360
Music.

446
00:31:06,447 --> 00:31:09,027
All right, so let's bring it all together. All right.

447
00:31:09,846 --> 00:31:12,446
The Trump administration is telling us a few things directly.

448
00:31:12,986 --> 00:31:16,286
For now, they're not letting the market steer the ship.

449
00:31:16,426 --> 00:31:19,366
We're not even watching the market. Of course, that's not true.

450
00:31:19,966 --> 00:31:24,166
But that's the messaging. But what we do know is that Trump has now said,

451
00:31:24,326 --> 00:31:27,606
on multiple occasions, rates must come down one way or another.

452
00:31:28,126 --> 00:31:33,566
Now, when he said that, a lot of us have been focused on the federal fund rates and J-PAL.

453
00:31:34,486 --> 00:31:38,526
Really, he just needs to get those bond rates in the right sweet spot.

454
00:31:39,106 --> 00:31:42,526
So the best case might be to lower bond rates without the Fed even having to

455
00:31:42,526 --> 00:31:46,506
lower the fund rate, which if they did, could stoke inflation,

456
00:31:46,506 --> 00:31:48,866
which we probably may end up with them doing that anyways.

457
00:31:49,426 --> 00:31:55,526
But the White House is also telling us directly, buy Bitcoin and never sell your Bitcoin.

458
00:31:55,706 --> 00:32:00,086
From this day on, America will follow the rule that every Bitcoin knows very

459
00:32:00,086 --> 00:32:03,566
well, never sell your Bitcoin. That's a little phrase that they have.

460
00:32:03,606 --> 00:32:06,866
I don't know if that's right or not. Who the hell knows, right?

461
00:32:11,986 --> 00:32:15,586
Who knows who knows but so far it's

462
00:32:15,586 --> 00:32:18,306
been right and well let's keep it that way i mean you can

463
00:32:18,306 --> 00:32:23,006
quibble it that he didn't nail your pet tagline but the signal is clear from

464
00:32:23,006 --> 00:32:27,306
the white house buy bitcoin hold bitcoin they're making it clear what their

465
00:32:27,306 --> 00:32:31,546
target is they need cheap debt they're making it clear to the market buy bitcoin

466
00:32:31,546 --> 00:32:36,186
hold bitcoin stand by for volatility and their biggest tool.

467
00:32:36,586 --> 00:32:41,846
Their largest leverage is Trump can play the crazy.

468
00:32:42,206 --> 00:32:46,586
He can shift positions on tariffs as needed and inject volatility on demand.

469
00:32:47,006 --> 00:32:50,626
That lowers the market. It puts pressure on trade partners.

470
00:32:51,066 --> 00:32:53,466
And here's the thing that people aren't thinking about.

471
00:32:54,066 --> 00:32:59,526
Trump can turn that up or down just by job owning, just like the Fed does.

472
00:33:00,086 --> 00:33:05,026
And when the White House needs to, they can turn it off altogether and essentially

473
00:33:05,026 --> 00:33:08,346
begin to immediately remove the volatility from the market.

474
00:33:09,414 --> 00:33:12,054
And the people that get burned the most in the process are the asset holders,

475
00:33:12,474 --> 00:33:17,854
stockholders, people who own multiple investment homes, CEOs that are rich because

476
00:33:17,854 --> 00:33:18,994
they've outsourced the labor.

477
00:33:19,614 --> 00:33:23,934
The average folks don't own stocks. A lot of people don't even own homes anymore.

478
00:33:24,674 --> 00:33:27,634
Maybe they have a retirement plan that gets temporarily impacted.

479
00:33:27,934 --> 00:33:32,374
But for many of Trump voters, that's small ball compared to fixing the rest of this.

480
00:33:33,014 --> 00:33:37,794
My bet would be that the White House hopes to have results by the midterms.

481
00:33:37,794 --> 00:33:45,154
And if my math is right, there's about 386 or 385 U.S. business days until the midterms.

482
00:33:45,614 --> 00:33:49,774
So we need to think about what comes next. Because by the time most market experts

483
00:33:49,774 --> 00:33:53,614
wrap their noodles around all of this, we'll probably be mostly on the other

484
00:33:53,614 --> 00:33:55,534
side and maybe even on to the next thing.

485
00:33:55,794 --> 00:33:58,934
So this could be a signal to watch for, actually. But remember this.

486
00:33:59,734 --> 00:34:04,434
Bitcoin is a global liquidity indicator. It matters more than the cycles.

487
00:34:05,214 --> 00:34:09,034
It's liquidity. And when the current market dynamics resolve,

488
00:34:09,594 --> 00:34:11,954
liquidity is probably going to be in a pretty good position.

489
00:34:12,134 --> 00:34:16,994
We're probably going to see a lot of money start moving and Bitcoin will be

490
00:34:16,994 --> 00:34:20,114
the first to recover and it will recover the fastest and the strongest,

491
00:34:20,114 --> 00:34:22,794
more so than anything else, more than any tech stock.

492
00:34:23,474 --> 00:34:26,174
And you have to wonder if the AI hype begins to continue. Well,

493
00:34:26,414 --> 00:34:31,234
I'd say continues to fade, not begins, but continues to fade more into a pragmatism,

494
00:34:31,394 --> 00:34:33,214
pragmatism, which happens so often with tech.

495
00:34:33,214 --> 00:34:35,854
There's like i mean i remember just a

496
00:34:35,854 --> 00:34:38,774
few years ago iot and edge

497
00:34:38,774 --> 00:34:41,634
devices were the next wave and and

498
00:34:41,634 --> 00:34:45,814
all the tech conferences i went to by industry were all about iot and edge devices

499
00:34:45,814 --> 00:34:51,274
and edge compute this is before you know ai really before the blockchain hype

500
00:34:51,274 --> 00:34:56,894
too and that really materialized in a lot of vendors having better and edge

501
00:34:56,894 --> 00:35:01,334
products like firewalls you know it ended up we maybe got a little bit better,

502
00:35:02,434 --> 00:35:05,114
IOT devices, I suppose, right? But we got a lot of crap too.

503
00:35:06,227 --> 00:35:09,107
Tech always goes through these cycles where there's this massive promise,

504
00:35:09,107 --> 00:35:12,907
and then we kind of settle into an actual reality.

505
00:35:13,147 --> 00:35:18,167
And I suspect as AI goes through that natural process where we kind of realize,

506
00:35:18,267 --> 00:35:23,567
OK, LMs are great at this and they're not great at that, that funding is going to kind of mellow out.

507
00:35:23,787 --> 00:35:27,527
And you have to wonder what these companies will do. And a really simple strategy

508
00:35:27,527 --> 00:35:30,287
would be to start putting Bitcoin on their balance sheets.

509
00:35:30,947 --> 00:35:35,507
We also know that it's extremely likely the U.S. government will start putting

510
00:35:35,507 --> 00:35:37,047
more Bitcoin. on their balance sheet.

511
00:35:37,607 --> 00:35:42,347
And it seems that at least multiple states will also start putting Bitcoin in

512
00:35:42,347 --> 00:35:45,107
their own independent reserves from the federal government.

513
00:35:45,587 --> 00:35:50,327
It also appears that China and Middle Eastern countries are considering a Bitcoin

514
00:35:50,327 --> 00:35:52,287
buying strategy, as CNBC reports.

515
00:35:52,527 --> 00:35:55,627
I was talking to Brian Armstrong last night ahead of this summit today,

516
00:35:55,687 --> 00:36:00,747
and he's one of the members who's been advising the Trump transition team since the campaign trail.

517
00:36:00,887 --> 00:36:04,287
And he made the point that he thinks a lot of countries are going to follow.

518
00:36:04,407 --> 00:36:07,747
I know I know of already Middle Eastern countries, Gulf states that have been

519
00:36:07,747 --> 00:36:09,367
looking into a Bitcoin buying strategy.

520
00:36:09,667 --> 00:36:13,207
There's also reportedly, you know, conversations within the Chinese government

521
00:36:13,207 --> 00:36:15,667
to look to follow suit if the government in the U.S.

522
00:36:15,727 --> 00:36:20,527
Makes this move to roll out a purchase plan. But there is no purchase plan.

523
00:36:21,207 --> 00:36:23,867
Yeah, exactly. Well, I mean, if you have a strategic Bitcoin reserve,

524
00:36:24,407 --> 00:36:26,987
you know, China used to be one of the epicenters for Bitcoin mining.

525
00:36:27,127 --> 00:36:30,867
It's very easy for them. They have all of this hydropower. And so they already

526
00:36:30,867 --> 00:36:33,027
have all the facilities and they banned it a couple of years ago,

527
00:36:33,127 --> 00:36:34,687
but it takes nothing to turn it back on.

528
00:36:34,807 --> 00:36:38,387
And then, I mean, similar to Iran evading sanctions by just mining Bitcoin,

529
00:36:38,547 --> 00:36:39,527
they already have it on hand.

530
00:36:42,487 --> 00:36:45,347
The point is not bad. They may already have Bitcoin on hand.

531
00:36:45,587 --> 00:36:47,367
They could convert that into a reserve pretty quickly.

532
00:36:46,160 --> 00:36:52,240
Music.

533
00:36:52,427 --> 00:36:57,187
All right. What do you think of my hypothesis? Boost in and tell me,

534
00:36:57,307 --> 00:37:01,687
is there a master plan in play here to get cheap debt for the federal government?

535
00:37:02,167 --> 00:37:03,887
Or is it all just chaos?

536
00:37:04,387 --> 00:37:08,487
And some of these rates coming down is just a natural consequence of that chaos.

537
00:37:08,987 --> 00:37:13,147
I'd like to know what you think. Boost in, tell me what's going on and your take.

538
00:37:13,807 --> 00:37:18,687
Because either one could be right. But the more data that I take in,

539
00:37:18,867 --> 00:37:21,387
I'm starting to form this hypothesis.

540
00:37:22,667 --> 00:37:30,047
Cheat debt over everything else. And then you secure that. Maybe you onshore a few more things.

541
00:37:31,547 --> 00:37:35,907
Get a few trade things restructured. Get liquidity moving again.

542
00:37:36,747 --> 00:37:41,227
And latter half of the year, perhaps we rip or we slide into a giant recession.

543
00:37:41,507 --> 00:37:44,807
Either one could happen. So you tell me which one it's going to be.

544
00:37:45,547 --> 00:37:48,387
I won't say I'll hold you to it, but I think it'd be fun to get it on the record.

545
00:37:48,400 --> 00:38:06,800
Music.

546
00:38:08,235 --> 00:38:12,315
Well, I'd like to say thank you everyone who supports the show just by doing

547
00:38:12,315 --> 00:38:13,875
what you're already going to be doing.

548
00:38:14,115 --> 00:38:17,255
You want to stack sats? The best place in the U.S. is River.

549
00:38:17,855 --> 00:38:19,715
Jupiterbroadcasting.com slash river.

550
00:38:20,795 --> 00:38:25,375
That's where I'm stacking my sats. I think their cash savings account at 3.8%

551
00:38:25,375 --> 00:38:31,095
interest in sats where you can keep cash and then smash buy on the dips or DCA from that. Oh, man.

552
00:38:31,635 --> 00:38:35,655
So sweet. Great UI, lightning support, tons of awesome features,

553
00:38:35,875 --> 00:38:37,795
plus proof of reserves. That's River.

554
00:38:38,235 --> 00:38:42,535
Now, if you're in Canada or you love a system that supports 100% self-custody,

555
00:38:42,715 --> 00:38:44,095
that's the Bitcoin Whale.

556
00:38:44,255 --> 00:38:46,595
All these links are in my show notes. You click them, you support the show.

557
00:38:47,035 --> 00:38:50,175
The Bitcoin Whale is an amazing automatic self-custody platform.

558
00:38:50,395 --> 00:38:52,135
They also support Lightning. It's great.

559
00:38:52,515 --> 00:38:57,235
Now, if you're ready to earn sats by buying whatever you're buying,

560
00:38:57,255 --> 00:39:00,275
like with your debit card or paying your bills, the Fold Card,

561
00:39:00,415 --> 00:39:02,015
massively popular in our community.

562
00:39:02,215 --> 00:39:04,375
Pay your bills, stack sats, link in the show notes.

563
00:39:04,615 --> 00:39:07,275
You want to just spend sats via Lightning? The Bitcoin company.

564
00:39:07,715 --> 00:39:11,595
The Bitcoin company lets you load up a gift card, hundreds of companies via

565
00:39:11,595 --> 00:39:14,635
Lightning. You don't even have to have a login. You can log in via Lightning.

566
00:39:15,075 --> 00:39:18,375
I love that. Last but not least, you need to get access to your Bitcoin value

567
00:39:18,375 --> 00:39:20,035
without selling. Right now I don't

568
00:39:20,035 --> 00:39:22,935
see a better deal than Salt Lending out there. Salt Lending is great.

569
00:39:23,773 --> 00:39:27,593
There's a lot of features I like, including loan stabilization and other things.

570
00:39:27,693 --> 00:39:29,973
So check them out. And they do not rehypothecate your Bitcoin.

571
00:39:30,293 --> 00:39:33,553
Links to Salt Lending and all of the others in the show notes.

572
00:39:33,693 --> 00:39:38,193
But with that said, it's time to get in to those delicious boosts. And we have a good batch.

573
00:39:39,913 --> 00:39:44,153
And look at this right here. Our baller booster needs to set their user profile.

574
00:39:44,353 --> 00:39:49,093
But I really appreciate the boost. It's user 20497192.

575
00:39:49,773 --> 00:39:51,073
Hey, rich lobster.

576
00:39:53,193 --> 00:39:56,393
Hey, Chris, I got to say how much fun it was meeting you and everybody at the

577
00:39:56,393 --> 00:39:58,573
Planet Nix meetup in Pasadena last weekend.

578
00:39:58,813 --> 00:40:02,973
My goal is to learn as to run a Gene Bean Nix Bitcoin node.

579
00:40:03,893 --> 00:40:08,233
Gene Bean, you got a brand now. The Gene Bean Bitcoin Nix node.

580
00:40:08,513 --> 00:40:11,893
I'm getting close. Thanks for keeping it excellent and real.

581
00:40:12,073 --> 00:40:15,873
I shared the secret Thousand Oaks meetup guys this week that you might be meeting

582
00:40:15,873 --> 00:40:18,633
up with them, and they can't wait for you to visit the next time you make it

583
00:40:18,633 --> 00:40:21,273
down this way. We all listen and love the show.

584
00:40:21,433 --> 00:40:28,193
Oh, well, that's awesome. And yeah, my goal would be to road trip down to California

585
00:40:28,193 --> 00:40:32,813
next time and come back up Highway 101 on the coast, swing by,

586
00:40:32,953 --> 00:40:34,493
do the secret meetup. That'd be awesome.

587
00:40:35,293 --> 00:40:40,813
OB comes in with 25,000 sats. My Hawk meme coin is love!

588
00:40:41,453 --> 00:40:44,653
Yes, I would like a bite bit. Break down more content, always better.

589
00:40:45,013 --> 00:40:49,393
Reference, the check and chain, digital gold, is a bad analogy. Okay, here we go.

590
00:40:49,893 --> 00:40:52,733
Bob Burnett will talk people through the block space, being the most powerful

591
00:40:52,733 --> 00:40:54,633
commodity in the world we'll ever know.

592
00:40:54,933 --> 00:40:58,173
I hope all is well with your health. I'm reminded everyone is dealing with something

593
00:40:58,173 --> 00:40:59,313
that no one else knows about.

594
00:40:59,873 --> 00:41:03,493
Isn't that always the case? The health has been a little rough recently,

595
00:41:03,713 --> 00:41:07,153
but it seemed to be on the mend. So I am doing okay.

596
00:41:07,753 --> 00:41:13,353
Now, here we go. Here's Gene Bean. Gene Bean's here with 4,444 sets. That's a big old bird.

597
00:41:13,533 --> 00:41:16,413
Things are looking up for old McDuck. Well, let's hear it good,

598
00:41:16,533 --> 00:41:20,733
buddy. It says, are you aware of any reason not to use the Unchained IRA and

599
00:41:20,733 --> 00:41:26,433
a pair of Trezor 1s as the way to make better use of a 401k from a previous employer? I am not.

600
00:41:26,933 --> 00:41:30,293
I hear good things about Unchained, and I hear very practical,

601
00:41:30,433 --> 00:41:32,273
pragmatic reasons to use the IRA.

602
00:41:32,573 --> 00:41:34,973
I cannot speak to the pair of Trezor 1s.

603
00:41:35,313 --> 00:41:37,673
I don't really have any major issue with that.

604
00:41:38,213 --> 00:41:41,393
Probably wouldn't be the first. I would probably go with a cold card first or

605
00:41:41,393 --> 00:41:44,013
a jade if they support that. Probably would go with a jade.

606
00:41:45,333 --> 00:41:49,633
Better than nothing, man. And I really like overall Unchained's business.

607
00:41:49,773 --> 00:41:51,073
So I think it's probably a good one.

608
00:41:51,353 --> 00:41:54,193
He says, I just also finished The Bitcoin Standard. It was good,

609
00:41:54,753 --> 00:41:57,973
but I think Lynn Alden's Broken Money is a much better book overall because

610
00:41:57,973 --> 00:42:02,213
it was written post 2020 and incorporates all the associated debasement and inflation.

611
00:42:02,533 --> 00:42:06,133
Yeah, Gene and I had a chance to talk about the two books and compare and contrast

612
00:42:06,133 --> 00:42:08,353
them over lunch last week when I was gone.

613
00:42:08,833 --> 00:42:13,593
And Gene makes a good point that Lynn simply wrote her book after COVID and all the money printing.

614
00:42:14,093 --> 00:42:17,973
And while the Bitcoin standard is fantastic, it's kind of written like 2018,

615
00:42:18,153 --> 00:42:20,293
2019, before all of that happened.

616
00:42:20,433 --> 00:42:25,093
And it talks about what could happen, but Lynn in Broken Money is able to incorporate

617
00:42:25,093 --> 00:42:27,613
what did happen and use that as a data point.

618
00:42:27,813 --> 00:42:31,833
So I agree maybe nowadays you only had time to read one.

619
00:42:32,273 --> 00:42:36,813
You might want to consider reading Broken Money and then moving on to the Bitcoin standard.

620
00:42:37,053 --> 00:42:40,593
There's really nice things about both. Thank you, Gene. It was good to see you too.

621
00:42:41,273 --> 00:42:45,693
Oppie 1984 is here with 4,000 sats. Put some macaroni and cheese on there too.

622
00:42:45,873 --> 00:42:49,393
A metal plate's a good idea. Thanks. I'll look into that. Yeah, there's a lot out there.

623
00:42:49,913 --> 00:42:53,513
If anybody has any good recommendations of a vendor, please do boost those in

624
00:42:53,513 --> 00:42:55,753
because there's really too many to choose from.

625
00:42:56,233 --> 00:42:58,393
And it's good to hear from you. Thanks for boosting it, Oppie.

626
00:42:58,713 --> 00:43:00,353
Vault Bites here with the row of ducks.

627
00:43:01,433 --> 00:43:05,553
That's 2,222 sats. And he says, I'm great. Well, you're great.

628
00:43:05,793 --> 00:43:07,473
Thanks for the value vault. I really appreciate it.

629
00:43:08,013 --> 00:43:14,873
Oh, here we go. Here we go. So Amorphous Phage comes in with 3,333 sats.

630
00:43:15,073 --> 00:43:18,793
Oh my God, this drawer is filled with fruit. He says, I'm sorry about my username.

631
00:43:19,513 --> 00:43:23,553
You know, afterwards, I remembered we had actually figured it out on LEP.

632
00:43:24,333 --> 00:43:28,513
But he said, I consider changing it. Nah, you just have to be okay with me calling

633
00:43:28,513 --> 00:43:30,153
you Amorphous Sausage every now and then.

634
00:43:30,313 --> 00:43:33,013
Also, you absolutely nailed my opinion and my thought experiment boost.

635
00:43:33,213 --> 00:43:36,633
The fish out of water analogy is 100% true. Also, deflation will be a problem.

636
00:43:37,193 --> 00:43:40,733
We need to stop chasing record after record. Slow and steady is definitely better.

637
00:43:43,233 --> 00:43:45,993
Infinite growth? Yeah. Hmm. What could go wrong? Money printing?

638
00:43:46,173 --> 00:43:47,113
Nah, shouldn't be a problem.

639
00:43:47,793 --> 00:43:52,593
I have been kind of low-key watching the European Union gear up to fund the

640
00:43:52,593 --> 00:43:56,533
war in Ukraine on their own and the kind of schemes they're coming up with.

641
00:43:56,833 --> 00:43:59,313
And you could look this up because I didn't prep it for the show.

642
00:43:59,313 --> 00:44:03,213
But one of the things they're talking about doing is accessing all of the,

643
00:44:03,353 --> 00:44:04,833
quote, untapped private wealth.

644
00:44:05,513 --> 00:44:11,473
I don't know what that means, but when central bankers say they want to access

645
00:44:11,473 --> 00:44:18,393
untapped private wealth savings, I'm always kind of a little worried about that. So just...

646
00:44:19,002 --> 00:44:22,562
I don't know. The liquidity situation is going to be wild over the next two

647
00:44:22,562 --> 00:44:25,262
years. It takes a little while for that stuff to trickle down.

648
00:44:25,782 --> 00:44:27,942
Anyway, Sausage, good to hear from you. Thanks for boosting in.

649
00:44:28,522 --> 00:44:30,982
Cannabis Records comes in with 4,200 sats.

650
00:44:32,182 --> 00:44:35,022
Thanks for spinning Mookie's track. He saw it blow up this morning.

651
00:44:35,202 --> 00:44:37,882
A big thank you to Chris and everyone who boosted in. Very excited to see his

652
00:44:37,882 --> 00:44:38,882
work appreciated this way.

653
00:44:39,222 --> 00:44:43,202
It's the first time he ever made it in the top three. Oh, man, I love that.

654
00:44:46,882 --> 00:44:51,402
Thank you cannabis records good to hear from you glad to hear it gave them a thrill,

655
00:44:51,962 --> 00:44:54,762
jegs here with 10 000 sats just pump

656
00:44:54,762 --> 00:44:57,522
the brakes right there let's hear it good buddy love the

657
00:44:57,522 --> 00:45:00,822
song oh yeah thanks jeg thanks for supporting our artists there that's great

658
00:45:00,822 --> 00:45:05,882
shy fox also came in with 10 000 sats yeah i got answers and i want some questions

659
00:45:05,882 --> 00:45:10,522
for the federal worker contract ratio just as a side note i last episode i said

660
00:45:10,522 --> 00:45:14,922
it there's data out there that suggests for like Like every single federal employee

661
00:45:14,922 --> 00:45:16,782
that gets fired, two contractors lose a job.

662
00:45:17,122 --> 00:45:21,462
No idea if it's true. But Shy Fox says, I don't see firing fed workers,

663
00:45:21,462 --> 00:45:25,282
especially in the areas affected so far, having a real impact on spending.

664
00:45:25,682 --> 00:45:30,262
They'll probably be replaced by more contractors who cost even more while they're employed.

665
00:45:30,282 --> 00:45:33,802
And the government will become even less capable of doing basic functions by

666
00:45:33,802 --> 00:45:35,402
itself than it already is.

667
00:45:36,842 --> 00:45:43,222
Brutal, Shy Fox. Oh, man, if they replace those folks with contractors, I don't know, man.

668
00:45:43,762 --> 00:45:47,302
That just feels pretty shady. I'm going to keep an eye out for that.

669
00:45:47,562 --> 00:45:49,362
Thanks for the boost. Appreciate it, ShyFox.

670
00:45:49,982 --> 00:45:54,922
Adversary 17 is here with 17,000 sats. Banks are Ponzi schemes run by morons.

671
00:45:55,082 --> 00:45:59,062
And adversaries writes, I'm a few weeks behind on podcasts, but a great episode once again, Chris.

672
00:45:59,702 --> 00:46:02,762
As for, do I trust my mobile as my cold stash?

673
00:46:02,902 --> 00:46:06,582
No, absolutely not. It's too connected, too visible as a target for theft or

674
00:46:06,582 --> 00:46:07,702
even getting lost or damaged.

675
00:46:08,162 --> 00:46:12,202
But I'm also an old man and I prefer using a computer over my mobile as much as possible.

676
00:46:12,682 --> 00:46:16,802
Definitely part of what, why I don't think I trust my mobile device for my cold stash.

677
00:46:17,362 --> 00:46:20,482
Then I think the part I can't believe I hadn't thought of is you're right.

678
00:46:21,022 --> 00:46:25,642
These things have like built-in modems that have their own operating systems that I can't turn off.

679
00:46:26,142 --> 00:46:29,582
I mean, not practically and none of the phones out there that have the switches I'm going to use.

680
00:46:30,182 --> 00:46:32,702
And you're right, they also have things in the OS that I just don't know about.

681
00:46:32,762 --> 00:46:36,262
I feel like I know more about what my custom built Nixbox or Archbox is doing

682
00:46:36,262 --> 00:46:41,022
or even, you know, a well-maintained Ubuntu or Fedora box, than I do an Android machine.

683
00:46:41,362 --> 00:46:44,642
So I think that's what it is. It's a bit of me just preferring to use computers

684
00:46:44,642 --> 00:46:48,642
for real stuff and then quote-unquote real stuff, and then also just the unknown

685
00:46:48,642 --> 00:46:51,422
nature of Android's connectivity and that modem.

686
00:46:52,500 --> 00:46:56,020
But like most people say, as long as you're using an external wallet,

687
00:46:56,240 --> 00:46:59,960
something that has to sign the keys, you should be fine.

688
00:47:00,460 --> 00:47:03,000
Thanks for the boost. Ace Ackerman's here with a row of ducks.

689
00:47:03,960 --> 00:47:07,240
And he just says, boost. Thank you, Ace. Always good to hear from you.

690
00:47:08,360 --> 00:47:12,320
I'm trying to think if I've heard. I know. No, I know you've boosted before.

691
00:47:13,080 --> 00:47:16,120
Northern Hoddle is here. And I'm pretty. Yeah, this is like your second boost.

692
00:47:16,220 --> 00:47:18,440
I think it's good to hear from you again. Everything's under control.

693
00:47:18,520 --> 00:47:20,240
Missed a few weeks. So crazy boost incoming.

694
00:47:20,520 --> 00:47:24,680
Coming in from Tahoe. hence the ah, Northern Tahodl. I see, I'm Northern Tah.

695
00:47:25,100 --> 00:47:28,740
I see, Northern Tahodl. Good to hear from you, Northern Tahodl.

696
00:47:28,820 --> 00:47:30,760
Is that your first boost? It might be your first.

697
00:47:31,540 --> 00:47:33,960
I'm feeling like maybe it is, but it's great to hear from you.

698
00:47:34,120 --> 00:47:37,040
The traders love the vol. Atone's here with a Rodex.

699
00:47:38,040 --> 00:47:41,820
I think the gold comparison is an important one. So last week I asked if it's

700
00:47:41,820 --> 00:47:43,260
time to drop the digital gold narrative.

701
00:47:43,820 --> 00:47:47,940
Gold is the closest thing to trad fi in Bitcoin. It's real and it's hard money.

702
00:47:48,260 --> 00:47:52,320
Before Bitcoin, serious sound money advocates basically had to be for gold.

703
00:47:52,860 --> 00:47:55,840
It's where we'd still be today if Satoshi hadn't come along.

704
00:47:56,060 --> 00:47:59,940
Of course, Bitcoin is a massive technological improvement over the yellow rock,

705
00:48:00,080 --> 00:48:03,400
but I don't think it's a disservice to Bitcoin to draw comparisons to the most

706
00:48:03,400 --> 00:48:05,040
successful hard money in history.

707
00:48:06,540 --> 00:48:10,900
That was a 10,000 sat boost coming in at 2000. That's a great boost. I agree.

708
00:48:11,420 --> 00:48:14,040
Wow. Yeah. And you know, I was thinking about it more since the episode.

709
00:48:14,180 --> 00:48:17,520
I don't think we'd be here with the clarification that David Sachs had about

710
00:48:17,520 --> 00:48:19,540
the difference of Bitcoin and all the other crypto.

711
00:48:20,000 --> 00:48:23,540
If that digital gold narrative hadn't taken hold. I think it was absolutely necessary.

712
00:48:24,200 --> 00:48:27,060
Absolutely necessary. Here's another mind F for you.

713
00:48:27,760 --> 00:48:31,080
Get ready for this one, everybody. I should have made this a boost question.

714
00:48:31,180 --> 00:48:32,520
So boost in and tell me what you think about this.

715
00:48:33,440 --> 00:48:37,900
One of the reasons I believe the US government is embracing Bitcoin is because stablecoins.

716
00:48:38,100 --> 00:48:41,440
And when stablecoins rip, Bitcoin rips. When Bitcoin rips, stablecoin rips,

717
00:48:41,540 --> 00:48:44,080
et cetera. The two are sort of symbiotic in that way.

718
00:48:45,500 --> 00:48:48,840
Stablecoins represent digital dollar dominance around the world.

719
00:48:48,840 --> 00:48:50,700
Without the U.S. having to create a CBDC.

720
00:48:51,080 --> 00:48:55,800
It gives access to the digital dollar system for the entire world.

721
00:48:56,160 --> 00:49:00,700
And it'll extend the reach and utility of the dollar and thus the dominance of the dollar over time.

722
00:49:01,360 --> 00:49:06,580
And if not for that, perhaps the U.S. government would have had a much more

723
00:49:06,580 --> 00:49:07,980
hostile approach to Bitcoin.

724
00:49:08,580 --> 00:49:15,840
If not for that symbiotic relationship and a narrative that the U.S.

725
00:49:16,200 --> 00:49:17,300
Government desperately needs.

726
00:49:18,607 --> 00:49:24,227
So in a weird way, could it be said that we would not have a Bitcoin reserve

727
00:49:24,227 --> 00:49:28,907
and a bill in the House and a bill in the Senate if not for shit coins?

728
00:49:29,327 --> 00:49:31,267
Because stable coins require a shit coin network.

729
00:49:32,067 --> 00:49:35,547
Did that bake your noodle? Because it bakes my noodle, man. What if the very

730
00:49:35,547 --> 00:49:39,687
things Bitcoiners hate were necessary for the U.S.

731
00:49:39,767 --> 00:49:43,407
Government to adopt it? Because it was supposed to be first they laugh at you,

732
00:49:43,567 --> 00:49:49,527
then they fight you. And I expected, I mean, I expected a full-on war from the

733
00:49:49,527 --> 00:49:50,947
federal government to stop Bitcoin.

734
00:49:51,807 --> 00:49:55,027
And yet, they're the first government, large world government,

735
00:49:55,467 --> 00:49:58,787
Western world government, to embrace it. That's not what I expected.

736
00:49:59,627 --> 00:50:02,767
So I think digital gold played a role there, played an important role,

737
00:50:02,847 --> 00:50:04,807
and I think stablecoins did, which means shitcoins.

738
00:50:04,987 --> 00:50:07,867
And that just bakes my noodle. I'd love to know what you guys think about that.

739
00:50:08,127 --> 00:50:14,307
Also, thank you very much, Atone, for boosting in. Now, BMW Room Veru comes in with a Rodex.

740
00:50:15,287 --> 00:50:21,207
With a value-for-value boost. Coming in hot with the boost. And Chakalaka's here with a row of ducks.

741
00:50:24,187 --> 00:50:28,727
In response to Gene Bean's question from the last episode, a solid entry-level

742
00:50:28,727 --> 00:50:31,427
miner that won't break the bank is the Antminer S9.

743
00:50:31,647 --> 00:50:36,147
Now, that said, it is inefficient by today's standards, but it is best used,

744
00:50:36,327 --> 00:50:37,407
perhaps, as a space heater.

745
00:50:37,567 --> 00:50:40,047
I have an S9, and that's what I've been thinking, too. If I'm going to run a

746
00:50:40,047 --> 00:50:44,247
heater, and it's volted down or whatever, It has like a little unit,

747
00:50:44,327 --> 00:50:47,387
a little power supply on it that lets it run off 120 volt wall supply,

748
00:50:47,507 --> 00:50:49,127
which means it's going to run even slower.

749
00:50:50,027 --> 00:50:53,707
But, you know, I could run it off a regular outlet. You can remove two hash

750
00:50:53,707 --> 00:50:55,207
boards to cut down on power use and noise.

751
00:50:55,307 --> 00:50:58,747
You can pair it with a Brains firmware and Noctifans for a quiet setup.

752
00:50:59,287 --> 00:51:03,207
So this is key here. He says, you know, if you cut out two of the hash boards,

753
00:51:03,427 --> 00:51:07,167
then you reflash it with Brains, and then you put Noctifans on there,

754
00:51:07,447 --> 00:51:10,347
the thing's going to run a lot quieter. And with a little cron magic,

755
00:51:10,527 --> 00:51:13,767
you can dial the power anywhere from 300 watts to 1,400 watts.

756
00:51:14,667 --> 00:51:19,007
Now, more efficient options for the home user are the FutureBit and the BitAxe,

757
00:51:19,187 --> 00:51:23,767
which uses just one of the 190 chips found in the S21. So you get S21 level

758
00:51:23,767 --> 00:51:27,167
efficiency, but at a much lower hash rate than the S9.

759
00:51:27,567 --> 00:51:31,067
But he says, just remember that mining is proof of work. You can't have low

760
00:51:31,067 --> 00:51:32,987
upfront cost and low operational cost.

761
00:51:33,227 --> 00:51:35,887
There's always going to be trade-offs. Hope that helps.

762
00:51:36,707 --> 00:51:41,227
Chakalaka, that is such a great boost. That helped me. I hope it helps everybody

763
00:51:41,227 --> 00:51:43,707
else. Thank you very much for that boost.

764
00:51:44,227 --> 00:51:48,287
Curious, he is here with 5,000 sats. That's a Jar Jar boost. You're so boost.

765
00:51:48,747 --> 00:51:53,567
So the way the Navy deals with its massive abandoned salt mine in Utah, the U.S.

766
00:51:53,847 --> 00:51:57,507
Does operate some breeder reactors, also where every so often they will take

767
00:51:57,507 --> 00:52:00,587
some of the waste and burn it down to lead.

768
00:52:02,043 --> 00:52:05,263
The hippies tend to throw a giant fit about moving the stuff around.

769
00:52:05,443 --> 00:52:07,083
So this has all been limited.

770
00:52:07,423 --> 00:52:10,303
Ah, that's a little bit of great insights there. Thank you, Kirstie.

771
00:52:10,423 --> 00:52:11,283
It's good to hear from you.

772
00:52:11,963 --> 00:52:17,863
Lord Stabby is here with 2,722 sats.

773
00:52:18,123 --> 00:52:21,883
From now on, you will be my best friend and live by my side.

774
00:52:22,303 --> 00:52:25,843
He says, I just set up my umbral lightning node and opened two channels.

775
00:52:25,983 --> 00:52:29,943
And this was my first payment to Fountain. All right. Yes.

776
00:52:30,763 --> 00:52:34,983
I love it. We got our last boost before the 2000s at cutoff was about a node

777
00:52:34,983 --> 00:52:36,203
getting set up. Awesome.

778
00:52:38,243 --> 00:52:41,843
I'm glad we got one in there. Thanks, Tabby. And congratulations.

779
00:52:42,223 --> 00:52:45,603
Hope you enjoy. And thank you, everybody who also streamed sats.

780
00:52:45,763 --> 00:52:48,083
57 of you just streamed those sats as you listen.

781
00:52:48,243 --> 00:52:52,363
So collectively, you helped the show stack 92,600 sats.

782
00:52:52,703 --> 00:52:56,203
Thank you very much, sats streamers. Now, when you combine that with our 78

783
00:52:56,203 --> 00:53:03,623
unique boosters, we stacked a total of 268,796 sats for the last two weeks of the show.

784
00:53:04,963 --> 00:53:06,303
Thank you, everybody, very much.

785
00:53:07,723 --> 00:53:11,523
Now, Fountain FM is probably the easiest way you can combo it with like something

786
00:53:11,523 --> 00:53:14,103
Strike or anything else on the Lightning Network.

787
00:53:14,563 --> 00:53:17,583
Grab them sats and then just blast them over to your fountain wallet.

788
00:53:17,743 --> 00:53:21,903
But there are a lot of self-hosted options as well. Albie Hub and others.

789
00:53:22,543 --> 00:53:25,663
Newpodcastapps.com. Fountain FM and strike are probably the easiest way to get

790
00:53:25,663 --> 00:53:28,083
going. And then you can boost the show and support this episode.

791
00:53:28,323 --> 00:53:32,903
Thank you, everybody who supported episode 49 of this week in Bitcoin.

792
00:53:33,083 --> 00:53:36,863
And please do boost in and give feedback and respond to questions and all that.

793
00:53:36,943 --> 00:53:40,903
That engagement not only supports the show, but it makes for one of my absolute

794
00:53:40,903 --> 00:53:45,323
favorite segments. And it makes it feel like I'm doing a show for real people out there.

795
00:53:45,723 --> 00:53:48,903
And I'm having a conversation with you, which I absolutely love.

796
00:53:49,200 --> 00:53:58,960
Music.

797
00:53:58,802 --> 00:54:01,522
All right, I got a couple of updates for you.

798
00:54:02,462 --> 00:54:06,402
It's been a rough few weeks for the Bitcoin miners. They're really feeling the

799
00:54:06,402 --> 00:54:10,062
squeeze. They're taking a hit from low fees and, of course, falling prices.

800
00:54:10,742 --> 00:54:15,382
Mining profitability has dropped below $50 per petahash, marking the lowest

801
00:54:15,382 --> 00:54:18,122
level since mid-November.

802
00:54:18,622 --> 00:54:23,962
Ouch. According to the Miner magazine, transaction fees totaled just 163 Bitcoin

803
00:54:23,962 --> 00:54:29,322
in February. That's only 1.33% of the total block rewards.

804
00:54:29,862 --> 00:54:34,402
That's tough times in mining land for sure. Also, the SEC has made a lot of

805
00:54:34,402 --> 00:54:36,122
news since the last episode.

806
00:54:36,422 --> 00:54:39,602
Some of it's not so great, some of it is. It's a big shift. The U.S.

807
00:54:39,642 --> 00:54:43,262
SEC has closed investigations into several high-profile crypto players,

808
00:54:43,482 --> 00:54:50,262
including Coinbase, Gemini, Uniswap, Robinhood, Metamask, OpenSea,

809
00:54:50,502 --> 00:54:53,242
Richard Hart, and today, Ripple.

810
00:54:54,002 --> 00:54:58,362
The agency also issued a rare clarification on meme coins, stating that most

811
00:54:58,362 --> 00:54:59,382
are not considered securities.

812
00:54:59,722 --> 00:55:04,682
Somehow, quote, the offer and sale of meme coins does not involve an investment

813
00:55:04,682 --> 00:55:08,582
in an enterprise nor undertaken with a reasonable expectation of profits to

814
00:55:08,582 --> 00:55:12,282
be derived from the entrepreneurial or manageable efforts of others, said the SEC.

815
00:55:13,002 --> 00:55:17,282
So in other words, there's such an obvious bad investment and because you're

816
00:55:17,282 --> 00:55:20,422
not directly investing in a company and you don't really know what the team's

817
00:55:20,422 --> 00:55:22,702
doing for the investment, it's not a security.

818
00:55:24,182 --> 00:55:27,882
Okay. I don't see how any of these pass the Howey test, but I guess that just

819
00:55:27,882 --> 00:55:28,482
doesn't matter anymore.

820
00:55:28,662 --> 00:55:31,982
The agency also warned that the fraudulent conduct involving meme coins would

821
00:55:31,982 --> 00:55:33,102
still trigger enforcement.

822
00:55:33,342 --> 00:55:37,082
So, perhaps we shall see. I don't know about that.

823
00:55:38,722 --> 00:55:43,702
Now i got two yes two final clips of the week because i just liked them both

824
00:55:43,702 --> 00:55:48,742
so much now i've mentioned it once before on the show so i don't expect everybody

825
00:55:48,742 --> 00:55:50,442
to remember but meta planet,

826
00:55:51,182 --> 00:55:58,242
which was a hotel firm in japan has been employing the strategy bitcoin treasury

827
00:55:58,242 --> 00:56:03,642
strategy i don't like the new name and i said micro strategy was easier couldn't

828
00:56:03,642 --> 00:56:05,642
even change it to macro strategy or something.

829
00:56:05,982 --> 00:56:09,962
But anyways, their CEO is very bullish on Bitcoin.

830
00:56:10,022 --> 00:56:16,182
And he has a few behaviors around Bitcoin that I think some of you probably

831
00:56:16,182 --> 00:56:19,782
disagree with, but maybe we could open it up to a conversation here.

832
00:56:20,122 --> 00:56:24,122
He's all about spreading the Bitcoin evangelism to everybody.

833
00:56:24,282 --> 00:56:25,962
Sit down at dinner and be that guy.

834
00:56:26,182 --> 00:56:32,602
I think everyone has a role in helping to increase Bitcoin adoption in the world.

835
00:56:32,922 --> 00:56:35,642
And I know a lot of your viewers are already believers in Bitcoin,

836
00:56:35,702 --> 00:56:39,362
but there's a great impact, I think, when you're at a dinner or you're out with

837
00:56:39,362 --> 00:56:44,442
friends to talk about Bitcoin, share with them this amazing asset class,

838
00:56:44,762 --> 00:56:48,682
something that I think can be transformational for them if they adopt early.

839
00:56:49,102 --> 00:56:52,622
I will admit, I used to try this. I used to try to talk to my friends about

840
00:56:52,622 --> 00:56:55,302
Bitcoin, even as recent as a couple of years ago.

841
00:56:56,579 --> 00:57:00,559
But I've stopped for the most part. Every now and then I try to talk to my mom.

842
00:57:01,039 --> 00:57:03,659
It's just a little bit, just because I care about her.

843
00:57:05,339 --> 00:57:08,899
But it's not that I don't care about my friends. It's just that it never really landed.

844
00:57:09,639 --> 00:57:14,719
Because they need to understand so much more around Bitcoin to really get why Bitcoin is valuable.

845
00:57:15,279 --> 00:57:17,919
One of the first things you hear people say is, we can't do anything with it.

846
00:57:18,359 --> 00:57:20,759
They don't even understand what makes hard money hard money.

847
00:57:21,179 --> 00:57:24,619
They don't even get it. So why would they understand why Bitcoin is valuable?

848
00:57:25,159 --> 00:57:29,219
And I just, I tried, I guess, about a year ago with another good friend.

849
00:57:30,339 --> 00:57:34,319
And actually that has worked out, but it took about a year. It took about a

850
00:57:34,319 --> 00:57:35,819
year of kind of an ongoing conversation.

851
00:57:36,319 --> 00:57:40,559
So it's a lot of investment I've found. But I think the point that he's trying

852
00:57:40,559 --> 00:57:46,379
to make is that it's so important that we spend that energy and we tell as many

853
00:57:46,379 --> 00:57:48,639
people as possible because it is that important.

854
00:57:48,879 --> 00:57:51,739
And I'm wondering if you agree with that sentiment or not.

855
00:57:52,259 --> 00:57:55,159
I tell my friends to put 100% of their net worth into Bitcoin,

856
00:57:55,359 --> 00:57:56,699
but perhaps that's too far.

857
00:57:57,219 --> 00:58:02,259
But to start somewhere, everyone can invest 1%, 2%, 3%, 5%. But that means that

858
00:58:02,259 --> 00:58:06,159
95% that isn't invested in Bitcoin is in something that I think is inferior.

859
00:58:06,619 --> 00:58:10,219
But I think we can all play a very important role in orange pilling.

860
00:58:10,579 --> 00:58:16,159
I did one time sit down with a friend and we looked at ETFs and we looked at

861
00:58:16,159 --> 00:58:22,439
stocks and then we kind of zoomed out and looked at like, you know, over a year period.

862
00:58:22,879 --> 00:58:25,879
It's really hard to find something that beats Bitcoin.

863
00:58:26,139 --> 00:58:29,779
Every now and then, Nvidia comes along for a bit, but it's really,

864
00:58:29,919 --> 00:58:32,359
really hard to find another investment that beats Bitcoin.

865
00:58:32,479 --> 00:58:35,999
So when you're actually looking at, I have a limited amount of money and I need

866
00:58:35,999 --> 00:58:42,019
the best performance to risk ratio return, Bitcoin is surprisingly a safe bet

867
00:58:42,019 --> 00:58:44,179
over, you know, multiple years, of course.

868
00:58:45,182 --> 00:58:48,102
And you can actually sit down with people and you can look at the returns of

869
00:58:48,102 --> 00:58:50,622
stuff. You know, find a website that does this for you.

870
00:58:50,942 --> 00:58:54,802
And the data is there. It's obvious. And that does start a conversation. I've noticed that.

871
00:58:55,082 --> 00:58:57,902
Those around us. And one by one, I think the dominoes will fall.

872
00:58:58,062 --> 00:59:00,482
We're beginning to see that now, which is incredibly exciting.

873
00:59:00,742 --> 00:59:04,542
It's no longer a fringe asset. It's something that's definitely mainstream.

874
00:59:04,822 --> 00:59:09,522
And when Wall Street begins to embrace Bitcoin, that's a really good sign.

875
00:59:09,742 --> 00:59:13,022
So does this mean you're personally 100% in Bitcoin?

876
00:59:13,782 --> 00:59:17,402
You know, I just sold an apartment in Tokyo to buy Bitcoin.

877
00:59:17,742 --> 00:59:20,962
No. I still have an apartment in Bangkok, which I'm looking to sell.

878
00:59:21,102 --> 00:59:23,362
If I can sell it, that goes into Bitcoin as well. Yeah, man.

879
00:59:23,642 --> 00:59:26,342
Yeah. I mean, dude, the guy is all in.

880
00:59:26,662 --> 00:59:30,022
Speaking of somebody who's all in, we got to play a Mikey Saylor clip.

881
00:59:30,522 --> 00:59:35,802
So for context here, I actually, you know, I've owned two homes in my lifetime

882
00:59:35,802 --> 00:59:38,302
and I do technically own the studio.

883
00:59:38,542 --> 00:59:44,462
However, I do not live at the studio. I live by choice, mostly in an RV because

884
00:59:44,462 --> 00:59:47,222
it's very expensive in Washington state to buy home or land.

885
00:59:47,662 --> 00:59:51,342
And my intention is to one day go somewhere where it's cheaper and set up shop

886
00:59:51,342 --> 00:59:52,862
there and then like build a house.

887
00:59:53,362 --> 00:59:59,782
So for the last nearly 10 years, I have lived in a 40 foot class A RV.

888
01:00:00,302 --> 01:00:04,382
It's a nice RV, but it is 40 feet long. It's about 200 square feet.

889
01:00:04,722 --> 01:00:07,582
I also have three kids, a dog and a wife.

890
01:00:08,842 --> 01:00:13,042
Kids don't live with me full time, but they're often over. And that has been

891
01:00:13,042 --> 01:00:16,002
an interesting lifestyle. Let me put it that way.

892
01:00:16,122 --> 01:00:18,802
I do love traveling, but it has been an interesting lifestyle.

893
01:00:19,302 --> 01:00:23,862
And the thing that has always been really remarkable about where we travel and

894
01:00:23,862 --> 01:00:29,962
where we set up our camp, our home base, is there is property all around us

895
01:00:29,962 --> 01:00:32,462
that It sits empty. Acres of it.

896
01:00:33,422 --> 01:00:39,102
Even in towns. In fact, we're very lucky because we get to park on some of this from time to time.

897
01:00:39,362 --> 01:00:42,842
And we get to be sometimes downtown at certain places in Washington.

898
01:00:43,823 --> 01:00:49,783
There are just parcels or whatever of land that are just sitting there unused

899
01:00:49,783 --> 01:00:53,503
because they're simply a store of value for some rich businessman.

900
01:00:54,263 --> 01:00:58,043
And I don't really necessarily blame him or her.

901
01:00:58,163 --> 01:01:01,543
I happen to know the person in this case, so I know it's a him because this

902
01:01:01,543 --> 01:01:02,463
is their best option. What are

903
01:01:02,463 --> 01:01:04,623
they going to do? Put it in their savings account and watch it melt away?

904
01:01:04,763 --> 01:01:06,863
What are they going to do? Put it in the market and then have a week like this,

905
01:01:06,923 --> 01:01:09,043
wipe it out? No, they'd rather put it in real estate.

906
01:01:09,603 --> 01:01:13,043
That's what they do. And what I have looked forward to, and we've talked about

907
01:01:13,043 --> 01:01:17,003
it before, is when we do start to see mainstream adoption, this will only happen

908
01:01:17,003 --> 01:01:19,943
with tools through the banks that most of us Bitcoiners do hate.

909
01:01:20,283 --> 01:01:26,363
But as mainstream adoption begins, Bitcoin could very likely become a preferred store of value.

910
01:01:26,783 --> 01:01:32,443
If that were to happen, people like that MetaPlanet CEO I just played would

911
01:01:32,443 --> 01:01:37,363
divert their real estate investments into a better store of value like Bitcoin.

912
01:01:37,763 --> 01:01:42,523
And it may mean that housing becomes more available. And I think this clip from

913
01:01:42,523 --> 01:01:45,823
Saylor really kind of puts it into practical perspective.

914
01:01:46,323 --> 01:01:51,903
I know wealthy people. They own 16 estates on the eastern shore,

915
01:01:51,903 --> 01:01:54,283
and they live in two of them.

916
01:01:54,583 --> 01:01:57,303
Like, why do they buy them? They land banking.

917
01:01:57,683 --> 01:02:00,503
What does that mean? Well, the guy makes a lot of money every year,

918
01:02:00,563 --> 01:02:02,963
and he doesn't want to put it in a savings account.

919
01:02:02,963 --> 01:02:07,343
So he goes and he just buys a cool piece of property, and he buys another one.

920
01:02:07,343 --> 01:02:10,263
Well okay it sounds good but here's

921
01:02:10,263 --> 01:02:13,223
the problem the guy buys up the beautiful pieces of

922
01:02:13,223 --> 01:02:16,563
property and you so you can't afford it right and

923
01:02:16,563 --> 01:02:19,323
if the guy if the rich guy wasn't buying up all

924
01:02:19,323 --> 01:02:22,563
the beautiful houses they would cost half as much and you

925
01:02:22,563 --> 01:02:25,663
could live in a beautiful house so here's what happens some rich

926
01:02:25,663 --> 01:02:29,423
dude has 27 houses that are empty you don't

927
01:02:29,423 --> 01:02:32,483
have a beautiful house you have a family

928
01:02:32,483 --> 01:02:35,403
your kids your dog could use the beautiful

929
01:02:35,403 --> 01:02:39,043
house the rich dude doesn't even want the house he

930
01:02:39,043 --> 01:02:43,063
just wants a long-term capital preservation strategy

931
01:02:43,063 --> 01:02:45,923
right and so that's a prefer

932
01:02:45,923 --> 01:02:49,063
a perverse incentive and a distorted

933
01:02:49,063 --> 01:02:52,823
economy that's broken that's broken

934
01:02:52,823 --> 01:02:58,023
money that's because the rich dude is using an estate on the eastern shore of

935
01:02:58,023 --> 01:03:04,223
maryland as a piggy bank huh but the estate doesn't get renovated the house

936
01:03:04,223 --> 01:03:09,183
is falling down there's a beautiful pool on the water and you could have a great

937
01:03:09,183 --> 01:03:11,443
family picnic there every Sunday,

938
01:03:11,443 --> 01:03:15,063
but it's not going to happen because the rich dude has 16 other houses.

939
01:03:15,403 --> 01:03:18,203
He just bought that house because he thought it was a good investment.

940
01:03:18,800 --> 01:03:29,520
Music.

941
01:03:31,051 --> 01:03:33,691
Let's check the state of the network before I get out of here.

942
01:03:33,811 --> 01:03:38,411
This episode is wrapping up at block height 887,504.

943
01:03:38,611 --> 01:03:46,971
The current U.S. price for Bitcoin is $82,670, hovering right around that 200-day

944
01:03:46,971 --> 01:03:48,591
moving average, just like I said it might.

945
01:03:48,951 --> 01:03:58,011
That is a drawdown of 24.3% from our all-time high of $109,160 on January 19th, 2025.

946
01:03:58,891 --> 01:04:05,471
A 25-ish percent, even a 30 percent drawdown would be in line with a typical

947
01:04:05,471 --> 01:04:06,971
post-halving market run.

948
01:04:07,751 --> 01:04:14,671
So the timing of some of this overall reshaping is lining up almost exactly

949
01:04:14,671 --> 01:04:18,011
with where you'd expect it in Bitcoin's general price behavior.

950
01:04:18,411 --> 01:04:23,311
We are still totally within a normal margin of a drawdown.

951
01:04:23,771 --> 01:04:28,651
Not always easy to hear, but it's actually not that bad. Now, here's some good news.

952
01:04:29,551 --> 01:04:36,611
Totable, totable, totable reachable nodes on the Bitcoin network are now 21,918.

953
01:04:37,071 --> 01:04:40,471
We're getting so close to 22,000. So close.

954
01:04:40,791 --> 01:04:45,191
But we are 51 days away from an all-time high, and I'm doing just fine.

955
01:04:45,511 --> 01:04:50,951
The state of the Bitcoin network is chugging right along. Every 10 minutes, we get another block.

956
01:04:51,291 --> 01:04:56,231
The hash rate continues to cook. The difficulty is still way beyond my reach.

957
01:04:56,971 --> 01:05:02,971
We're looking really solid. We have 1,552 blocks to our next retarget.

958
01:05:04,091 --> 01:05:05,431
Enjoy the cheap sats.

959
01:05:04,560 --> 01:05:12,720
Music.

960
01:05:13,731 --> 01:05:19,691
Links this week at thisweekinbitcoin.show. My goal is that this show doesn't

961
01:05:19,691 --> 01:05:24,231
get distracted or extracted by the emotions around what is happening.

962
01:05:24,391 --> 01:05:25,831
You have to focus on the signal.

963
01:05:26,431 --> 01:05:30,371
So let me know how I did with a boost and boost in with what you'd like to hear

964
01:05:30,371 --> 01:05:31,931
from the show. Did I miss something?

965
01:05:32,471 --> 01:05:36,571
What do you think of my hypothesis? Is there a master plan at play here to get

966
01:05:36,571 --> 01:05:38,071
cheap debt for the federal government?

967
01:05:38,611 --> 01:05:42,151
Or is it just chaos and some of these rates coming down are just a natural consequence?

968
01:05:42,331 --> 01:05:45,071
Tell me what you think, what's going on out there with a boost.

969
01:05:45,151 --> 01:05:46,711
I always appreciate the support.

970
01:05:47,191 --> 01:05:50,891
Now, let's wrap it up with a value for value track. Now, this title,

971
01:05:50,891 --> 01:05:55,591
I think it just felt perfect with recent events going on. and it's currently

972
01:05:55,591 --> 01:05:58,211
number 10 on the podcast index top chart.

973
01:05:58,711 --> 01:06:03,731
I wonder if we could move that up the charts a little bit for them. It is Don't Count Me Out.

974
01:06:04,080 --> 01:09:14,933
Music.
