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Welcome in to This Week in Bitcoin, episode 98.

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My name is Chris, ChrisLAS.com, JupiterBroadcasting.com.

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Okay, let's just get this out of the way.

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No April Foolin' in this episode, I promise.

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There's just way too much going on for that.

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But if you do see some funny Bitcoin-related April Fools, boost them in.

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We could have a good laugh next week.

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But this week, I think the joke's kind of on everyone else.

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The mood in the wider market is shifting fast.

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It's like a new existential panic is setting in.

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And it might be the creeping realization that you just can't fight the waves of history.

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But what I find remarkable is during all of this,

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Bitcoin demand is being built by the chaos itself, one event at a time.

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And this week, more groundwork was laid for that future demand.

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And I'll get to that in a second.

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But first, we have to go to the start of this week, when Fed Chair Powell sat down during

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a little Q&A and gave perhaps his clearest warning yet.

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The U.S. debt is on an unsustainable path, and he used the most plain language he's ever

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used.

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Before I play that, just a little context.

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We just hit April, so as of March 2026, the U.S. national debt now sits at over $39 trillion.

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Just constantly fueled by a flywheel of chronic deficits and rising interest payments.

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Well, this flywheel of problems, well, you see, it's not the Federal Reserve's problem.

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Oh, no, you see, they have their mandate, and they're doing everything right.

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At least, that's according to J-PAL.

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What's clear is that our debt is growing much faster.

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The federal government debt is growing substantially faster than our economy, and that ratio is going up.

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And, you know, in the long run, that's kind of the definition of unsustainable.

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The level of the debt is not unsustainable, but the path is not sustainable.

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We'll come back to that.

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And so it's really important that we get back to we don't have to pay the debt down.

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We just need to have primary balance and begin to have the economy actually growing better, growing more quickly than the economy.

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It will not end well if we don't do something fairly soon.

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This is not the Fed's job, of course, and I pretty much limit myself to those high-level points, which essentially everyone ignores.

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Okay, you said a couple of really important things in there, but first I just have to address the irony of it all.

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It's as if the central banks all over the world have not been enabling their governments.

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Just look at during the COVID years.

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The U.S. government ran massive deficits via stimulus packages like the CARES Act, the American Rescue Plan, etc.

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The Treasury issued trillions in new debt to fund payments for business bailouts, unemployment boosts, and more.

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And so the Federal Reserve didn't just sit there from the sidelines and just do nothing.

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It stepped in as the buyer of last resort through quantitative easing at an unprecedented scale.

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They printed about 40% of the money supply.

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And their balance sheet exploded from $4 trillion pre-COVID to about $9 trillion.

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And what that did is it suppressed interest rates.

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And it kept borrowing costs artificially low for businesses and for the government.

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So without the Fed vacuuming up all that debt, yields, they would have spiked.

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they would have made deficit spending way more politically expensive.

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Instead, it was politically free.

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So it's not like central banks are completely blameless here,

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but I guess they're technically correct.

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Powell is right on the economics of it.

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The Fed's mandate is price stability and maximum employment.

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Yes, they have two primary mandates.

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Not fiscal policy.

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That's Congress.

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But pretending like the Fed was a passive bystander?

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It just ignores how all the central banks have become the de facto backstop for government borrowing.

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So the governments just keep going.

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It's this classic case of how the central bankers, they want credit for when things are stable.

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And then they want no blame when the long term math doesn't work in their favor.

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If they do this all the time.

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But there's an unspoken aspect of this that was in the room.

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And it didn't really need to be said out loud because everyone is on the same page.

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And that is with the war in Iran, the math for the wonks is looking real bad.

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So let's bring in NBC's business correspondent, Brian Chung.

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Brian, good morning.

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So we've crossed the threshold now, $4.

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How much higher do people expect these to go?

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Yeah, we were just talking yesterday about the possibility of breaching this.

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And here we are.

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First time we've seen prices over $4 a gallon on average nationally since August of 2022.

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As you point out, in a number of states, it's already well above that.

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states like Arizona, California, Florida, just I think $4.12 this morning. Again, what's so

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remarkable? I would kill for $4.12. It's funny how Washington never gets a mention. About this,

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though, is the speed by which this happened. The war has been going on for about a month or so,

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but gas prices during that period of time have risen by over a dollar per gallon now.

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Actually, the real issue, I mean, gas prices that hurts consumers, it matters, but what really

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impacts the economy is diesel. I want to point out that all of this has to do with the Strait

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of Hormuz. Looking forward, the question about whether or not gas prices will continue to rise

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from where they've already risen. Well, the question is whether or not more ships are going

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to be able to travel through the Strait of Hormuz, as you see on that live map. There's just not a lot

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of action there. And now that we're hearing that the president says he's willing to end this war,

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even if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, will furrow a passageway where 20 percent of the world's

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oil goes through. That means prices could remain elevated, if not even go higher from here.

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So with oil and gas increasing, what about some of the wider ripple effects that you think might

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play out here. Yeah, well, if you think prices at the pump are crazy, take a look specifically

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at diesel costs, where prices are on average well above $5 a gallon. They're above $6 here.

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I do see a couple of places where it's like $5.96, but I've seen multiple places where diesel is over

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$6 a gallon. $1.70 from where it was prior to this war beginning. And you think about diesel,

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that's what those big rigs that transport things across this country, food, things at your local

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retailer. Well, if the cost of transporting gets more expensive, then guess what? So will everything

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else. So what they're focused on is sort of the inflation anxiety of this entire thing. But I

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think really gas prices going up, that matters. It could be a temporary, temporary could be six

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months, temporary could be a year, you know, but it's temporary. But what it does do is it puts a

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drag on GDP growth. So even when the U.S. pulls out, it's not quite clear how the flow will be

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after the U.S. pulls out. What JPAL was saying earlier that I said we wanted to come back to

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is they don't really care that the debt is $39 trillion. It's not the number that matters,

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even though $39 trillion scares the pants off me. It's about the ratio of debt to GDP.

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And that's why everyone is on the edge of their seats right now, because we need GDP to grow like

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crazy, because we know debt is going up like crazy, and there ain't no stop in that train.

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We know that. But we don't know what GDP looks like for 2026 yet. We don't have that data. It was going in a good direction. But with the Iran war spending, higher fuel prices, that drag has not been factored into the GDP price yet. We haven't gotten solid numbers yet.

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So the panic that's setting in for the market is that this could get to be a much worse ratio very soon, depending on how bad the situation in the strait goes.

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And that's why they're all having a bit of an existential panic.

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But as Bitcoiners, we had this figured out a long time ago.

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This is a casino style rat race that all these people are in.

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Today, it's an energy shock that everybody's concerned about.

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Last week, it was government shutdown and, of course, Middle East conflicts.

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The week before that, it was AI might be too good, software is over.

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The week before that, it was panic that AI might be total crap and it's a bubble.

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Right. It's just ridiculous.

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Bitcoiners figured it out.

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You buy Bitcoin, you hold it and you don't worry about the markets.

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And it would stand to reason that the banks would, A, see the upcoming financial situation and understand the math.

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I think that's a reasonable thing these banks could be doing, at least some of them.

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I think that's a reasonable assumption, A.

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And I think, B, another reasonable assumption is banks like making money.

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And they're going to find a way to sell a solution to any economic problem they can.

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And this weird alignment of your incentives and their incentives is what's building a market for Bitcoin.

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It starts to create more and more demand.

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And the inevitability of the fiscal situation becomes more obvious to people.

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It creates even more demand.

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So right now, people like you and me, we're the ones talking about these problems, not regular folks.

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But that is already beginning to change.

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Think about before COVID.

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Normies never talked about interest rates, inflation, the Federal Reserve.

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People didn't know who Jerome Powell was.

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All of that has begun to shift.

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There's a real Overton window that is shifting here.

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With yields, this is Fannie Mae prepares to accept crypto-backed mortgages.

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Diana Olick has the details on what crypto-backed mortgages are.

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Diana.

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That's right, Dom.

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It's not the first crypto-backed mortgage, but it is the first to comply with Fannie Mae requirements for purchase.

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Better Home and Finance, together with Coinbase, are offering a new mortgage that would allow homebuyers to use their crypto assets as collateral.

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It falls under Fannie Mae guidelines, so it can be bought and securitized by Fannie like any other conforming mortgage.

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All right, how does it work?

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It's a little tricky.

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The borrower takes out a regular mortgage with better and then a second loan backed by either Bitcoin or U.S. dollar coin and held in a Coinbase account.

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I believe she said Bitcoin. I'm pretty sure she said Bitcoin.

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I love that. I did not hear that the first time.

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This is what I'm trying to get at here is a big deal because you've got you've got Fannie Mae that is introducing a Bitcoin adjacent product that's baking it into the cornerstone of the American dream, the mortgage.

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I'll back it up a little bit because I got distracted by the Bitcoin.

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And I want you to kind of absorb what this means at a larger financial signaling level.

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...by Fannie like any other conforming mortgage.

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All right.

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How does it work?

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It's a little tricky.

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The borrower takes out a regular mortgage with better and then a second loan backed by either Bitcoin or U.S. dollar coin and held in a Coinbase account.

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The second loan would fund the down payment on the first loan.

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That way, the borrower doesn't have to sell their crypto.

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Both loans are held by better and the crypto assets once pledged cannot be traded.

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Even if the value of the crypto falls, nothing changes on the loans as long as the borrower keeps making the monthly payments.

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You know, I've seen versions of this where people take out a mortgage and then another loan.

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And I forget what those are called, but it's tied to the mortgage loan to pay for the down payment.

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And then you essentially have two payments you're making per month, but you hope that the overall payment is still affordable.

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And I guess that aspect, the down payment now, is going to be done with secured Bitcoin.

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And so you could, you know, if you had $50,000 worth of Bitcoin or $30,000, whatever it would be for a down payment.

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I don't know, probably a lot more than that with a modern house.

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But you could use your Bitcoin, you could put it down as collateral, and you don't have to sell it.

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And there, of course, is a period of time where they have it on lockdown, so that way you can't trade it.

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But you do get it back eventually.

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The crypto falls, nothing changes on the loans as long as the borrower keeps making the monthly payments.

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We have now finally created the infrastructure rails to enable any tokenized asset in America

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to be able to be pledged to help someone afford to buy a home.

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So it starts with Bitcoin, starts with USDC, but going forward, it can be Apple stock or Amazon stock or any publicly traded mutual fund.

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Now why do you suppose they need to do this Because the dollar is not serving this function anymore So you going to see experimentation like this This is just going to be one of many products In fact it one of many that is already in the works that are just experimenting with different

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iterations on this idea. It's probably going to be years before there's a version of this that

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appeals to you and myself. That's just the reality of it. But Fannie Mae getting into the game is

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definitely a signal to other players. And we're going to see more and more of these kinds of

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products. The system is going to be incentivized to let you use whatever scarce thing you have,

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and Bitcoin is going to be the purest version of that. This is just going to be a market demand

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created by the macro conditions. And here's the ironic part. I got to get the bell out for this.

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The ironic part is most people are not even going to understand the dynamics that are driving them.

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They're going to respond to protect their resources, and they're going to go where their

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resources are treated best and where they can get the most. For a lot of people, that's going to be

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Bitcoin. Not for everybody, but for a lot of people. And I really want you to understand the

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inevitable market that's building. Even if Bitcoin's trading below its all-time high right now,

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and even if it were to decline a bit further, it doesn't mean any of these fundamental market

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conditions have changed. And Lynn Alden was on Peter's podcast recently. I'll put a link in the

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notes. And this clip is a collection of moments from that podcast where I think Lynn really

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zeroes in on the point I'm trying to make here. Do you believe we're living through a

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slow financial collapse that the majority of people don't even recognize is happening?

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I do. Yeah. And people kind of look around and say, why does it seem like everything's

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more expensive? I'm still earning money, but it just doesn't feel like it goes as far.

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And a lot of times they're right. Every currency system in the world has to grow or die,

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at least the way they're currently designed.

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People feel it not just through taxes,

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but then through their wages getting debased

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and their savings,

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if they're holding currency and bonds getting debased.

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And you kind of keep adding new layers to the system

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until by the end, it resembles theft.

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The best product Coca-Cola ever sold was their bonds,

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not their Coke.

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And what they're basically doing

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is they're shorting the currency.

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You know, they're literally shorting

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the thing that you're holding your bank account

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and that you're saving in

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Governments are shorting it.

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Corporations are shorting it.

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Wealthy individuals are shorting it.

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The system is based on having people hold the currency in the bonds while other people

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are literally shorting it.

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And the least able to short it are ironically those at the bottom of the income stack.

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They're kind of getting the full damage of the inflation.

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So they're socializing the debt that the private sector has built up onto the public

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to protect the private sector to keep the economy going.

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take the risk away and lock in all the gains you've had and socialize the losses.

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Once you get to the part where there's this much debt on the sovereign ledger,

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there's really no way out of it other than they're going to default.

212
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The lever you have pulled breaks is not in service.

213
00:15:46,508 --> 00:15:47,628
Please make a note of it.

214
00:15:47,628 --> 00:15:50,728
The course is locked in and the math, unfortunately, doesn't lie.

215
00:15:51,448 --> 00:15:54,348
It's just going to take time for people to realize they're being slowly boiled.

216
00:15:54,688 --> 00:15:58,728
And Bitcoin will be a cold glass of non-sovereign risk.

217
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You know, and the thing is, is like we can't underestimate the power of the ability for people in this situation to buy fractions on their phone or earn this through their work or receive it as gifts.

218
00:16:11,388 --> 00:16:15,268
You're going to be able to do that more and more as they tokenize absolutely everything.

219
00:16:15,568 --> 00:16:17,308
But that's native to Bitcoin.

220
00:16:17,308 --> 00:16:32,008
It always will be. There will always be copycats. But this is a native aspect. The fractional aspect of Bitcoin, the sovereignty, the scarceness of it, the fact that there are so many ways to get it safely and securely on your phone or, of course, through a web browser.

221
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This stuff makes a difference and it will all add up as more and more demand gets developed just simply by the inevitability of the macro situation.

222
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All right, I got a question for you. I'd like you to boost in and give me your take.

223
00:16:48,228 --> 00:16:53,328
This week, David Sachs announced that his time as Trump's crypto and AI czar has ended.

224
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Trump's AI and crypto czar David Sachs said his role as special government employee came to an end,

225
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but he will remain as part of the president's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology.

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00:17:03,828 --> 00:17:09,248
Sachs told Bloomberg Thursday that he had, quote, used up his 130 days as special government employee

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and is joining the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology.

228
00:17:12,888 --> 00:17:13,788
Here's a quote from Sachs.

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He said, quote,

230
00:17:14,948 --> 00:17:17,608
I think moving forward as co-chair of PCAST,

231
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I can now make recommendations on not just AI,

232
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but an expanded range of technology topics.

233
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So yes, this is how I will be involved moving forward.

234
00:17:28,068 --> 00:17:30,528
Okay, so we have David transitioning to a new role,

235
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and he didn't even mention crypto.

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00:17:32,548 --> 00:17:34,928
And then he had an interview with Bloomberg shortly after this,

237
00:17:34,928 --> 00:17:38,548
and he never mentioned crypto in the entire 10-minute interview.

238
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And yet he's leaving when the Clarity Act and other reforms are still unresolved.

239
00:17:43,368 --> 00:17:46,448
We never did get a count on the U.S. government's Bitcoin balance.

240
00:17:46,928 --> 00:17:51,648
So all of this feels like maybe a shift in priority from the Trump administration.

241
00:17:52,348 --> 00:18:01,948
And just as people were speculating about that, your buddy Donald Trump took a moment in front of the microphone to seemingly try to signal that they're still thinking about Bitcoin at least.

242
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And Bitcoin, superpower of the world, Bitcoin's very powerful.

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It's all becoming powerful.

244
00:18:07,148 --> 00:18:09,828
So many people now, they want to pay you in crypto.

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00:18:10,008 --> 00:18:11,088
They want to pay you in Bitcoin.

246
00:18:12,128 --> 00:18:18,148
And we have to be at the top of it in all of these, call it an industry.

247
00:18:19,108 --> 00:18:20,148
So let me have it.

248
00:18:20,668 --> 00:18:24,868
Let's give David Sachs a TWIB exit interview as the crypto czar.

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How do you grade the U.S. government's first ever and maybe only ever crypto czar boost in?

250
00:18:31,128 --> 00:18:31,888
And let me know.

251
00:18:31,888 --> 00:18:37,228
I'll read it in next week's episode along with your favorite April Fool's Bitcoin jokes.

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00:18:37,608 --> 00:18:40,528
Should be a fun boost segment if you actually do it.

253
00:18:41,148 --> 00:18:45,208
I'll try to remember to put it in the show notes because I'd love to hear your take on David Sachs' tenure.

254
00:19:01,888 --> 00:19:10,168
Well, coming up on the show, it's your boost, a little FUD busting, some big updates, and a final clip of the week.

255
00:19:10,508 --> 00:19:14,348
So I'll just mention, you can support the show just by doing what you're probably already going to do.

256
00:19:14,588 --> 00:19:19,108
If you want to start stacking sats with River in the U.S., use my link in the show notes.

257
00:19:19,168 --> 00:19:20,748
It's a great way to stack sats in the U.S.

258
00:19:21,108 --> 00:19:26,468
If you're in the U.S. or Canada and you're all about self-custody, you don't even want the service to have a wallet for you,

259
00:19:26,588 --> 00:19:30,288
check out the Bitcoin Well, an amazing automatic self-custody Bitcoin platform.

260
00:19:30,288 --> 00:19:35,888
If you want to stack sats while you're paying your bills and doing your whatnots, it's the fold card link in the notes.

261
00:19:36,388 --> 00:19:41,928
Now, if you've got some sats on Lightning and you want to convert them to a gift card in just seconds, the Bitcoin company.

262
00:19:42,408 --> 00:19:47,968
Others offer this, but the Bitcoin company only does Bitcoin and they let you log in via Lightning so you don't have to create an account.

263
00:19:48,428 --> 00:19:55,508
And if it's time to get access to your Bitcoin value, your liquidity, without selling your Bitcoin, check out Salt Lending.

264
00:19:56,008 --> 00:19:58,668
They have some nice features in case the market gets a little rocky, too.

265
00:19:58,668 --> 00:20:00,888
Link for all of that in the show notes.

266
00:20:01,268 --> 00:20:03,588
Thanks for supporting the show just by doing what you do.

267
00:20:08,868 --> 00:20:11,488
All right, let's get to some of them boosts.

268
00:20:12,748 --> 00:20:17,328
And now, as the French say, it is time for le boost.

269
00:20:17,588 --> 00:20:23,508
And hybrid sarcasm is our baller booster this week with 50,000 sats.

270
00:20:23,508 --> 00:20:24,968
Hey, rich lobster!

271
00:20:28,668 --> 00:20:34,868
Ha! Sending you some of the sats I earned from my River cash dash in March.

272
00:20:35,108 --> 00:20:35,968
Thanks for the great show.

273
00:20:36,188 --> 00:20:38,628
Well, thank you, Hybrid, and I'm glad that's working out for you.

274
00:20:38,968 --> 00:20:40,708
I think that's one of the great features of River.

275
00:20:41,028 --> 00:20:43,608
And thank you for thinking of the show. Really appreciate that.

276
00:20:44,368 --> 00:20:47,428
Bobby Pin comes in with 21,000 sats.

277
00:20:47,548 --> 00:20:49,928
1.21 gigawatts!

278
00:20:50,528 --> 00:20:52,988
I loved having an episode with Wes and Brent.

279
00:20:53,128 --> 00:20:55,348
Now I have so many more things I want to do with my node.

280
00:20:55,568 --> 00:20:57,508
Yeah, it's a one-off. It was a one-off,

281
00:20:57,508 --> 00:21:01,128
but I really wanted to kind of capture some of the more advanced node operation stuff

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00:21:01,128 --> 00:21:03,748
available for Bitcoin nodes and Lightning nodes right now.

283
00:21:04,268 --> 00:21:08,708
Now, why we did not get to beginner stuff, well, I'll talk about that in just a moment.

284
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Gene Bean's here with 4,896 sets.

285
00:21:12,828 --> 00:21:13,808
Everything's under control.

286
00:21:14,248 --> 00:21:18,408
This episode was fun to listen to, but I'm still hoping to hear one on setting up and running a node.

287
00:21:18,688 --> 00:21:21,328
Keep up the good work. This podcast always jumps in front of my listening queue.

288
00:21:22,028 --> 00:21:25,608
So, the reason why I opted not to do that, because that was my original plan,

289
00:21:25,608 --> 00:21:32,488
but it is a very it depends solution.

290
00:21:33,488 --> 00:21:35,528
There isn't a go-to,

291
00:21:36,428 --> 00:21:38,868
I don't just recommend you use Start9

292
00:21:38,868 --> 00:21:41,348
or just use Umbral or just use NixBitcoin

293
00:21:41,348 --> 00:21:43,488
or just have AlbiHub Cloud, right?

294
00:21:43,528 --> 00:21:44,808
Like it really depends.

295
00:21:45,068 --> 00:21:46,028
And so the problem is

296
00:21:46,028 --> 00:21:48,908
that is a research and discovery journey

297
00:21:48,908 --> 00:21:50,588
people kind of need to do on their own.

298
00:21:50,928 --> 00:21:52,328
But what I wanted to demonstrate

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00:21:52,328 --> 00:21:53,848
is once you have a node

300
00:21:53,848 --> 00:21:55,248
and Lightning node operational,

301
00:21:55,608 --> 00:21:59,428
There are new modern ways to manage it that are really not all that bad.

302
00:22:00,348 --> 00:22:01,288
I hope that makes sense.

303
00:22:01,368 --> 00:22:03,468
And it's not that I'm opposed to doing the newbie episode.

304
00:22:03,768 --> 00:22:10,928
I'm just not sure how to do it in a way that's useful and actionable, but is also agnostic to any particular implementation.

305
00:22:11,428 --> 00:22:11,728
You know what I mean?

306
00:22:11,748 --> 00:22:12,448
It's a really tough one.

307
00:22:12,848 --> 00:22:14,748
So that's kind of where I'm at.

308
00:22:15,128 --> 00:22:17,088
That's kind of where I'm at, but I'd like feedback on that.

309
00:22:17,548 --> 00:22:18,368
Gene Bean continues.

310
00:22:18,448 --> 00:22:19,448
Well, let's hear it, good buddy.

311
00:22:19,448 --> 00:22:24,048
In Linux Unplugged, you've been talking about the possibility of age verification stuff coming to Linux and elsewhere.

312
00:22:24,628 --> 00:22:27,028
What do you see this as a potential impact for Bitcoin not operators,

313
00:22:27,128 --> 00:22:29,428
if at minimum Umbrell and the likes have to start doing that?

314
00:22:30,268 --> 00:22:32,768
So the age verification stuff I've seen in Linux

315
00:22:32,768 --> 00:22:36,688
is more about creating an identifier in the user space

316
00:22:36,688 --> 00:22:39,408
and not really at the server level.

317
00:22:39,628 --> 00:22:41,988
So the implementations that probably are going to be the most common

318
00:22:41,988 --> 00:22:43,148
are going to be like SystemD,

319
00:22:43,248 --> 00:22:46,188
and it's a field for a user account not at the OS level.

320
00:22:46,928 --> 00:22:50,108
So I don't really think you're going to see much implementation at all

321
00:22:50,108 --> 00:22:52,448
on Linux server side, is my take on it.

322
00:22:52,448 --> 00:22:54,628
And then he had one more.

323
00:22:54,828 --> 00:22:55,368
He's a good guy.

324
00:22:55,588 --> 00:22:56,568
He's a real good guy.

325
00:22:56,728 --> 00:22:57,388
No, he's a great guy.

326
00:22:57,828 --> 00:23:03,208
I was recently thrown off by several lightning channels being opened inbound to my self-hosted Albie Hub.

327
00:23:03,308 --> 00:23:06,268
I thought something totally different was happening, and I closed them.

328
00:23:06,788 --> 00:23:09,288
Mad props to the team at Albie for helping me understand what's going on.

329
00:23:09,568 --> 00:23:11,108
Yep, that can happen, and it's a good thing.

330
00:23:11,188 --> 00:23:12,108
I'm glad they sorted it.

331
00:23:12,248 --> 00:23:12,968
That's really good to hear.

332
00:23:13,068 --> 00:23:15,888
Thanks for that report, Gene, and thank you for the boosts.

333
00:23:16,888 --> 00:23:18,468
JPEG81 is here with 2,000 sats.

334
00:23:19,328 --> 00:23:21,608
No message, just a value, which I always appreciate.

335
00:23:21,608 --> 00:23:22,968
Oh, Gene came in on another one.

336
00:23:22,988 --> 00:23:24,008
I wonder why I didn't get caught.

337
00:23:24,268 --> 00:23:27,708
But Gene Bean came in with 4,762 sats.

338
00:23:27,808 --> 00:23:28,428
Hey, oh, Gino.

339
00:23:28,588 --> 00:23:30,008
Coming in hot with the boost.

340
00:23:30,108 --> 00:23:31,088
Another hot boost.

341
00:23:31,828 --> 00:23:37,588
I've got a bid axe coming later this week, so I thought I'd drop a note here asking about the mining pool and any tips for getting it going until it's ready.

342
00:23:38,528 --> 00:23:39,208
Adversaries, what?

343
00:23:39,388 --> 00:23:39,768
Let's see.

344
00:23:39,868 --> 00:23:40,728
We talked about it.

345
00:23:40,748 --> 00:23:41,508
I wonder what I should say.

346
00:23:42,148 --> 00:23:43,328
There is something in the works.

347
00:23:43,448 --> 00:23:45,248
It's dependent on something upstream.

348
00:23:45,768 --> 00:23:46,828
Maybe I can say that right now.

349
00:23:47,688 --> 00:23:49,468
And maybe adversaries can update us soon.

350
00:23:49,868 --> 00:23:50,488
Or I will.

351
00:23:50,488 --> 00:23:56,268
but either way we'll have more gene continues i just read that tether was born on bitcoin 12 years

352
00:23:56,268 --> 00:23:59,468
later it's coming back and it sounds like some important things regarding lightning are happening

353
00:23:59,468 --> 00:24:04,008
particularly related to the first companies mentioned that is true and you know there has

354
00:24:04,008 --> 00:24:10,008
been work to to move tether again on lightning not that new it's been going on for a while

355
00:24:10,008 --> 00:24:15,928
and i think it's not a bad idea actually you know that's probably what a layer two is good for is

356
00:24:15,928 --> 00:24:19,988
that kind of if you want to experiment with that stuff do it on a layer two it's probably perfect

357
00:24:19,988 --> 00:24:24,088
for that. All right. Thank you again, Gene. I really do appreciate it. You're the best.

358
00:24:25,148 --> 00:24:30,348
Lee, Lee, Lee, Lee, Lee, Lee is here with 5,000 sats. I am programmed in multiple techniques.

359
00:24:30,968 --> 00:24:35,108
Moving from one digital asset to another digital asset is always a taxable event,

360
00:24:35,208 --> 00:24:38,388
regardless of whether you're gaining or losing based on a trading pair directly.

361
00:24:38,868 --> 00:24:42,848
The key is the cost basis for the asset at which you move. Let's say you bought some Bitcoin at

362
00:24:42,848 --> 00:24:48,528
100,000 and sell a portion of that Bitcoin for 110,000. Then your gap gain would be based on

363
00:24:48,528 --> 00:24:53,048
the difference between the original cost basis and the value at sale. That example would be a gain,

364
00:24:53,128 --> 00:24:59,808
however, if you buy some Bitcoin at 100 and I think it got cut off. Right, right, right, right,

365
00:24:59,868 --> 00:25:03,548
right, right. I'm thinking about that through, right? Because you could peg in at one price and

366
00:25:03,548 --> 00:25:08,028
peg out at another price, I suppose. We need to see, now that would be great clarity. Speaking of

367
00:25:08,028 --> 00:25:12,088
the Clarity Act, that's something that they really, well, at some point they're going to have to come

368
00:25:12,088 --> 00:25:22,535
up with actual clarity around that kind of stuff because swapping and pegging in and out are pretty common practices especially in the DFA which they seem to care a lot about Thank you Lili Lili

369
00:25:22,795 --> 00:25:23,915
Appreciate that clarification.

370
00:25:24,915 --> 00:25:26,015
You're doing a good job.

371
00:25:26,555 --> 00:25:30,736
Kiwi Bitcoin guides here with 4,657 Satoshs.

372
00:25:35,075 --> 00:25:36,175
I love that format.

373
00:25:36,175 --> 00:25:38,376
This would be a great model for a member's feed, I think.

374
00:25:38,476 --> 00:25:39,655
The next step on my node

375
00:25:39,655 --> 00:25:41,595
is to set up AlbiHub and NostraWall Connect,

376
00:25:41,595 --> 00:25:43,675
and then get it connected to my Primal wallet.

377
00:25:44,455 --> 00:25:45,175
Yeah, buddy.

378
00:25:45,636 --> 00:25:47,915
I'm still not zapping on Nostra yet, I know, shame.

379
00:25:48,535 --> 00:25:50,335
But I would like to hear more about OpenCode.

380
00:25:50,675 --> 00:25:52,755
Do you run that in a terminal or with a GUI?

381
00:25:52,876 --> 00:25:54,015
Which models do you connect to?

382
00:25:54,116 --> 00:25:56,595
You said you SSH into your node to review configs and settings.

383
00:25:56,675 --> 00:25:58,896
I'd love to hear more about how you're using OpenCode to manage your nodes.

384
00:25:59,835 --> 00:26:04,655
Okay, well, Kiwi, OpenCode is a terminal app,

385
00:26:04,655 --> 00:26:07,015
but it's a beautiful terminal app, very easy to use.

386
00:26:07,095 --> 00:26:09,455
It's what you call a TUI, a terminal user interface,

387
00:26:09,575 --> 00:26:11,476
but it's the very high end of them.

388
00:26:11,595 --> 00:26:12,855
So it's practically a GUI.

389
00:26:13,396 --> 00:26:20,035
And the brilliant thing about open code is there are several providers that are free.

390
00:26:20,455 --> 00:26:25,015
They're not the highest end model and they do have usage limits, but they give you a

391
00:26:25,015 --> 00:26:25,335
taste.

392
00:26:25,575 --> 00:26:30,955
And then once you get hooked on the token sauce, you can subscribe and then put your

393
00:26:30,955 --> 00:26:34,435
provider's API key in open code and get access to those models.

394
00:26:34,935 --> 00:26:39,755
And you could think of it as, you know, a prompt environment that runs locally on your

395
00:26:39,755 --> 00:26:39,995
machine.

396
00:26:39,995 --> 00:26:43,616
So you can actually tell it, use SSH and connect to this system.

397
00:26:44,175 --> 00:26:45,595
And I have SSH keys.

398
00:26:46,195 --> 00:26:47,835
And log in and check on things.

399
00:26:47,955 --> 00:26:50,415
And it will execute that command and go in and do it for you.

400
00:26:50,835 --> 00:26:52,935
And then come back with a nice, pretty formatted report.

401
00:26:53,655 --> 00:26:54,435
That's, you know, get started.

402
00:26:54,535 --> 00:26:55,476
Get OpenCode installed.

403
00:26:56,175 --> 00:26:58,595
Play around with the free Zen models that it provides.

404
00:26:59,175 --> 00:27:01,315
And see what you can figure out.

405
00:27:01,515 --> 00:27:02,915
And plan mode is your friend.

406
00:27:03,535 --> 00:27:05,015
Good luck, Kiwi, and let me know how it goes.

407
00:27:05,835 --> 00:27:08,775
Paranoid Coder's here with 2,000 SATs.

408
00:27:08,775 --> 00:27:10,716
because I'm the win

409
00:27:10,716 --> 00:27:13,455
no message just value though

410
00:27:13,455 --> 00:27:15,355
thank you very much appreciate that

411
00:27:15,355 --> 00:27:17,616
and Radman's here with 5000

412
00:27:17,616 --> 00:27:19,655
sats that's not possible

413
00:27:19,655 --> 00:27:21,656
nothing to do that oh Radman did

414
00:27:21,656 --> 00:27:23,035
he says great show

415
00:27:23,035 --> 00:27:25,335
and don't change a thing well thank you Radman

416
00:27:25,335 --> 00:27:27,455
appreciate that thank you everybody who supported that was

417
00:27:27,455 --> 00:27:29,435
definitely a one off I didn't expect even this much

418
00:27:29,435 --> 00:27:31,555
support and of course we are rounding

419
00:27:31,555 --> 00:27:33,535
the corner to 100 so I would

420
00:27:33,535 --> 00:27:35,555
love a little 100 celebration if you got

421
00:27:35,555 --> 00:27:37,495
it in you but let's say thanks to the people who

422
00:27:37,495 --> 00:27:43,195
supported episode 98. We had 28 of you stream stats as you listened, and you had a nice, you guys are

423
00:27:43,195 --> 00:27:49,255
actually the baller booster this week. You stacked 66,325 stats, you streamers. Thank you very much.

424
00:27:49,335 --> 00:27:53,236
Sometimes you are a baller, and I appreciate that. When you combine it with everybody who sent a

425
00:27:53,236 --> 00:28:02,775
message, then our grand total this week is 196,412 satoshis. Not too shabby. This is a value for

426
00:28:02,775 --> 00:28:07,795
value podcast. I give it out for free. There's no advertiser, but my focus is to make the audience

427
00:28:07,795 --> 00:28:12,476
the number one customer. And we do that with a boost. Fountain FM makes it real easy. You can

428
00:28:12,476 --> 00:28:15,435
also become a member in Fountain FM and put your support on autopilot.

429
00:28:15,435 --> 00:28:33,355
also a big shout out to the jupyter party members as part of your jupyter.party subscription you get

430
00:28:33,355 --> 00:28:38,476
access to twib and keep the show going and keep it ad free as well and of course you can boost

431
00:28:38,476 --> 00:28:41,915
with albi hub and choose from a plethora of applications or just boost from the podcast

432
00:28:41,915 --> 00:28:48,075
index website. Or if you really want to be a baller, try out Boost CLI. Not necessarily easy,

433
00:28:48,435 --> 00:28:51,736
but it's rewarding. Thank you, everybody, for supporting episode 98.

434
00:28:55,075 --> 00:28:59,976
And with that out of the way, what do you say? Should we get into a few updates?

435
00:28:59,976 --> 00:29:17,736
you might have noticed a lot of chatter about a new quantum research paper from google and the

436
00:29:17,736 --> 00:29:25,035
findings of this paper are that quantum technology could break bitcoin sooner than expected here's

437
00:29:25,035 --> 00:29:28,455
the main takeaway quote google just told the bitcoin and cryptocurrency industry

438
00:29:28,455 --> 00:29:32,195
that it has less time than it thought to prepare for quantum computing.

439
00:29:32,476 --> 00:29:36,136
In a white paper published on March 31st,

440
00:29:36,435 --> 00:29:38,835
Google quantum AI researchers demonstrated

441
00:29:38,835 --> 00:29:41,855
breaking the elliptic curve cryptography protecting Bitcoin,

442
00:29:42,495 --> 00:29:44,055
Ether, and most major cryptocurrencies.

443
00:29:44,636 --> 00:29:48,195
And it could require fewer than 500,000 physical qubits

444
00:29:48,195 --> 00:29:51,595
on a supercomputing, superconducting quantum computer.

445
00:29:51,595 --> 00:29:56,675
That's roughly a 20 times reduction from prior estimates,

446
00:29:56,675 --> 00:29:59,495
which pegged the figure in the millions.

447
00:29:59,656 --> 00:30:04,156
So they went from millions of qubits to 500,000 qubits.

448
00:30:04,835 --> 00:30:06,675
Pretty, pretty big reduction.

449
00:30:07,535 --> 00:30:10,275
So let's talk about the realities of this

450
00:30:10,275 --> 00:30:11,755
because before I get into this,

451
00:30:11,855 --> 00:30:12,976
I've always maintained,

452
00:30:13,136 --> 00:30:16,035
I do think it's worth us researching quantum solutions.

453
00:30:16,736 --> 00:30:17,855
Blockstream is doing so.

454
00:30:17,935 --> 00:30:20,156
There are other individuals that are actively doing so.

455
00:30:20,156 --> 00:30:22,935
Sailor set up his quantum superhero club.

456
00:30:23,396 --> 00:30:24,876
So there's progress being made.

457
00:30:24,876 --> 00:30:30,455
And I think it's really important we understand no quantum computer can execute this attack today.

458
00:30:30,955 --> 00:30:35,435
Google's most advanced chip, Willow, has 105 qubits.

459
00:30:36,175 --> 00:30:41,055
And this research paper is proposing 500,000 qubits.

460
00:30:41,675 --> 00:30:45,495
And our best, most advanced chip right now, 105.

461
00:30:46,156 --> 00:30:51,495
So what they're going to tell you is it's a big deal because Caltech recently showed off a 6,000 logic qubit array.

462
00:30:51,495 --> 00:30:54,295
Oh, 6,000. That's a lot more than 105.

463
00:30:54,876 --> 00:30:57,896
But what they don't tell you is those qubits were not entangled.

464
00:30:57,896 --> 00:31:03,195
And without entanglement, you're not running Shor's algorithm.

465
00:31:04,175 --> 00:31:07,955
So it's really kind of like all theoretical.

466
00:31:08,216 --> 00:31:09,876
I mean, it's important to pay attention to.

467
00:31:10,396 --> 00:31:15,515
But the actual state of art for entangled logical qubits is 96.

468
00:31:16,695 --> 00:31:17,376
96.

469
00:31:17,716 --> 00:31:18,195
That's it.

470
00:31:18,315 --> 00:31:18,915
Do you understand?

471
00:31:18,915 --> 00:31:26,116
they have a 6,000 logical qubit array that is not entangled in the works,

472
00:31:26,295 --> 00:31:33,396
and they need 500,000 physical qubits. And they need them to be entangled logical qubits.

473
00:31:34,156 --> 00:31:38,835
And right now they have 96 of those. And they have to hold their coherence for days in order

474
00:31:38,835 --> 00:31:44,815
to crack Bitcoin. And right now, these 96 state-of-the-art qubits, they last for about

475
00:31:44,815 --> 00:31:49,236
one to two seconds. That's how long they hold their coherence. So this new paper from Google

476
00:31:49,236 --> 00:31:54,275
says the algorithm that they designed would have to run for days and would need 500,000

477
00:31:54,275 --> 00:32:00,415
entangled qubits. So to get from where we're at to something that actually threatens Bitcoin,

478
00:32:00,976 --> 00:32:07,175
it's not a small improvement like the paper kind of tries to position. It's more than 100x

479
00:32:07,175 --> 00:32:13,636
entangled logical qubits than they have right now. And then they need coherence sustained

480
00:32:13,636 --> 00:32:19,595
for roughly 100,000 times longer than what they can do right now.

481
00:32:19,775 --> 00:32:21,136
I went and looked all these numbers up.

482
00:32:21,216 --> 00:32:21,995
It's bonkers.

483
00:32:22,995 --> 00:32:25,175
This is not a near-term engineering gap.

484
00:32:25,636 --> 00:32:28,376
It is practically an unsolved problem.

485
00:32:28,716 --> 00:32:33,636
We're nowhere close to breaking Bitcoin, no matter how breathless this paper sounds.

486
00:32:34,055 --> 00:32:39,255
So why is the paper focused on Bitcoin and not other low-hanging fruit?

487
00:32:39,795 --> 00:32:41,415
That's the question you should be asking.

488
00:32:41,415 --> 00:32:44,315
And the answer is, yeah, mostly headlines.

489
00:32:44,495 --> 00:32:45,896
They get engagement for sure.

490
00:32:46,775 --> 00:32:50,636
And the paper is co-authored by someone employed by the Ethereum Foundation, Justin Drake.

491
00:32:51,136 --> 00:32:59,116
And this paper happened to also drop on the same week that Ethereum launched and announced its quantum resistance portal.

492
00:33:00,195 --> 00:33:03,636
So appearances are that Google coordinated with the Ethereum Foundation.

493
00:33:03,636 --> 00:33:09,476
and isn't it interesting that this paper concludes that ETH is better longer off

494
00:33:09,476 --> 00:33:13,815
because it has a governance that can make unilateral decisions

495
00:33:13,815 --> 00:33:19,636
and Bitcoin is worse because there's no coordinated response, no central management

496
00:33:19,636 --> 00:33:25,095
and it doesn't even really address the fact that ETH's consensus protocol

497
00:33:25,095 --> 00:33:28,376
is vulnerable to a quantum attack and Bitcoin's is not.

498
00:33:28,376 --> 00:33:31,055
the issue with Bitcoin would be old keys

499
00:33:31,055 --> 00:33:32,376
and it would be, you know,

500
00:33:33,015 --> 00:33:34,095
several million of them.

501
00:33:34,455 --> 00:33:35,455
Where with ETH,

502
00:33:35,535 --> 00:33:37,315
it's the entire consensus protocol.

503
00:33:37,535 --> 00:33:39,415
But the paper concludes that ETH is better off

504
00:33:39,415 --> 00:33:41,195
because it has central management.

505
00:33:42,075 --> 00:33:43,976
And the narrative just conveniently lands

506
00:33:43,976 --> 00:33:44,835
hardest on Bitcoin.

507
00:33:45,595 --> 00:33:46,376
Isn't that interesting?

508
00:33:47,216 --> 00:33:48,416
I don't know what kind of crap

509
00:33:48,416 --> 00:33:49,136
Google's putting out.

510
00:33:49,236 --> 00:33:49,995
I think it's really,

511
00:33:50,455 --> 00:33:51,555
you know, I think honestly,

512
00:33:51,736 --> 00:33:53,335
it's people with an agenda

513
00:33:53,335 --> 00:33:55,236
and a company that just wants to make headlines

514
00:33:55,236 --> 00:33:56,455
and look like a market leader.

515
00:33:56,455 --> 00:33:58,876
well the tau

516
00:33:58,876 --> 00:34:01,376
pain will continue until

517
00:34:01,376 --> 00:34:03,595
the degens get wrecked

518
00:34:03,595 --> 00:34:05,195
guys I could play you a dozen

519
00:34:05,195 --> 00:34:07,255
clips of various rich investors and

520
00:34:07,255 --> 00:34:09,175
former ETH heads that have been burned out

521
00:34:09,175 --> 00:34:11,356
and given up on ETH that are now pumping tau

522
00:34:11,356 --> 00:34:13,295
and if you didn't hear last week's update

523
00:34:13,295 --> 00:34:14,916
segment you need to go listen to that

524
00:34:14,916 --> 00:34:17,015
so I'm only going to play you one this week because

525
00:34:17,015 --> 00:34:19,115
it also hits on a classic

526
00:34:19,115 --> 00:34:21,235
anti-bitcoin trope that I

527
00:34:21,235 --> 00:34:23,215
think we should address in this episode

528
00:34:23,215 --> 00:34:25,235
so in this clip we got Jason

529
00:34:25,235 --> 00:34:31,995
Calacanis again on This Week in Startups, and he's laying out some classic FUD that Bitcoin

530
00:34:31,995 --> 00:34:35,715
often gets to pump Tau. And I think we should talk about it.

531
00:34:35,715 --> 00:34:41,956
One thing I've learned in 40 years in tech from the 80s till today is that everything gets

532
00:34:41,956 --> 00:34:47,775
replaced at some point. Or almost everything gets replaced at some point. A better version

533
00:34:47,775 --> 00:34:53,635
of almost everything comes out. Whether it's BlackBerry giving way to iPhone, giving way to

534
00:34:53,635 --> 00:35:00,876
android yeah whether it's you know the you know craigslist giving way to you know facebook

535
00:35:00,876 --> 00:35:04,635
marketplace it's always going to be competition there was a time things will let people were

536
00:35:04,635 --> 00:35:09,396
like friendster in myspace that's it there's never going to be another social network after

537
00:35:09,396 --> 00:35:13,835
friendster in myspace right man how many versions of this conversation have you heard

538
00:35:13,835 --> 00:35:20,755
god it's it's incredible that we are still saying these same things it's all dharmok

539
00:35:20,755 --> 00:35:26,655
and Jalada Tanagra. And we just repeat it back and forth to each other. Anyways, I think you can

540
00:35:26,655 --> 00:35:30,535
see what's happening here. So we're making a subtle equivalent. We haven't gotten there yet.

541
00:35:30,575 --> 00:35:34,755
They haven't landed the plane yet, but we know it's coming. They're making an equivalent that

542
00:35:34,755 --> 00:35:41,335
technologies often get disrupted. And you see it with Facebook disrupting the MySpaces and whatnot.

543
00:35:41,956 --> 00:35:45,795
And Jason makes a comment that, you know, he's been in tech since the 80s, although it's funny

544
00:35:45,795 --> 00:35:49,595
because he often claims that he wasn't a nerd and that anyways. But anyways, he's been watching

545
00:35:49,595 --> 00:35:54,376
tech since the 80s and the 90s, and it's just a universal truth that you see this happen over and

546
00:35:54,376 --> 00:35:59,876
over again, right? That's the case they're making. So it's not heresy to say something will come

547
00:35:59,876 --> 00:36:04,896
along that's better. Now, what you have to understand is what time frame and how long does

548
00:36:04,896 --> 00:36:09,675
the network effect last? Because there are moats in technology. One of the moats in technology is

549
00:36:09,675 --> 00:36:15,416
brand, okay? AOL had a great brand for a while. You said online, it meant AOL. But then sometimes

550
00:36:15,416 --> 00:36:22,476
the performance and the actual better mousetrap is what is defensible. That would be the internet

551
00:36:22,476 --> 00:36:29,896
and broadband. Sometimes it's the combination of, you know, the brand, the network effect,

552
00:36:30,376 --> 00:36:32,315
like Uber or DoorDash, right? They have...

553
00:36:32,315 --> 00:36:35,835
So you can see what we're continuing to do, right, is we're making equivalents to products,

554
00:36:36,095 --> 00:36:39,695
tech products. He got there almost for a moment when he talked about broadband.

555
00:36:40,755 --> 00:36:45,175
The products, if you look at it in that sense, yeah, Internet Explorer eventually gets

556
00:36:45,175 --> 00:36:51,456
replaced with Chrome and then Edge comes along. Like products only last for so long. Protocols,

557
00:36:52,195 --> 00:36:59,995
platforms, that's a bit different. TCP IP has been around since the 80s. HTTP has been around

558
00:36:59,995 --> 00:37:05,075
since the 90s and late 80s, right? These are protocols that everything else has been built

559
00:37:05,075 --> 00:37:09,755
on top of. They are a layer, a foundational layer that things get built on. They don't get

560
00:37:09,755 --> 00:37:29,356
They don't get replaced. They get adopted. They get wider and wider adopted and people build on top of them. He should be thinking of Bitcoin as TCP IP. But he's thinking of Bitcoin as MySpace and Facebook because in his world, crypto is just a tech stock. It's just another tech thing you invest in.

561
00:37:29,356 --> 00:37:36,936
And for large portions of the crypto industry, quote unquote, that would be true.

562
00:37:37,115 --> 00:37:40,956
And so you could understand how a VC like himself would get that impression over time.

563
00:37:40,956 --> 00:37:47,735
Are we at that point, whatever number of years later, 14, 15 years later, that a better version could come along that would be more exciting?

564
00:37:47,815 --> 00:38:02,123
Now when I say it better I think it better at an incentive system to provide value to consumers He talking about Tau versus Bitcoin here To businesses That what I think it better at And I think all that compute will at some point

565
00:38:02,643 --> 00:38:08,583
let's say, Lon, Templar provides a better use case

566
00:38:08,583 --> 00:38:12,783
for compute and transport on the internet than Bitcoin does.

567
00:38:13,323 --> 00:38:14,963
What do you think Bitcoin miners will do?

568
00:38:15,323 --> 00:38:16,943
They'll take 10% of their compute

569
00:38:16,943 --> 00:38:19,463
and they'll move it over to Templar or to another subnet

570
00:38:19,463 --> 00:38:22,323
and say, okay, yeah, let me see if I can make more money here.

571
00:38:22,643 --> 00:38:24,063
That's the rational thing to do.

572
00:38:24,163 --> 00:38:26,783
I think that's the moment that we're in right now

573
00:38:26,783 --> 00:38:29,183
is that people are going to start looking at their infrastructure

574
00:38:29,183 --> 00:38:31,123
and say, hey, maybe I should put infrastructure,

575
00:38:31,603 --> 00:38:34,423
bandwidth, storage, compute towards this project.

576
00:38:34,503 --> 00:38:35,183
I feel like that's-

577
00:38:35,183 --> 00:38:36,403
Well, especially as people pump it,

578
00:38:36,463 --> 00:38:37,743
that will happen to a degree, right?

579
00:38:37,763 --> 00:38:39,303
Because you're going to have companies

580
00:38:39,303 --> 00:38:41,023
that they're not Bitcoin companies.

581
00:38:41,323 --> 00:38:43,183
They're making money mining Bitcoin

582
00:38:43,183 --> 00:38:44,983
and they've become large corporations

583
00:38:44,983 --> 00:38:46,863
and they're going to chase whatever makes them money.

584
00:38:46,863 --> 00:38:53,383
but the bitcoin mining system is designed for these ebbs and flows and it's designed to respond

585
00:38:53,383 --> 00:38:59,283
to that lack of mining or increased mining demand but again he's misunderstanding because he's

586
00:38:59,283 --> 00:39:03,883
thinking of now like it's like it's an amazon web services product another disconnect that's

587
00:39:03,883 --> 00:39:08,563
happening here a lot of people you know they're seeing you talk about tau is so interesting i like

588
00:39:08,563 --> 00:39:14,443
all these subjects and they assume that you're doing the pump and dump meme coin rug pull trick

589
00:39:14,443 --> 00:39:18,203
which is like, you know, like Hawk to a girl starts a coin.

590
00:39:18,563 --> 00:39:19,503
They start selling the coin.

591
00:39:19,583 --> 00:39:25,803
But then before anybody else gets a chance to sell, she dumps all of her coins and then makes the money and then walks away.

592
00:39:25,903 --> 00:39:27,663
Like, no, no, not doing that.

593
00:39:27,743 --> 00:39:28,443
Never doing that.

594
00:39:28,503 --> 00:39:29,183
Of course not.

595
00:39:29,603 --> 00:39:30,023
No, no.

596
00:39:30,103 --> 00:39:30,483
We know.

597
00:39:30,583 --> 00:39:31,803
Let's move right along from that.

598
00:39:31,843 --> 00:39:32,043
Right.

599
00:39:33,163 --> 00:39:34,603
Here's an interesting update.

600
00:39:34,763 --> 00:39:38,443
Bitcoin Core 31 is making some mempool updates.

601
00:39:38,583 --> 00:39:44,363
In fact, pretty significantly, the mempool has been re-implemented with a new design called Cluster Mempool.

602
00:39:44,443 --> 00:39:47,643
to facilitate better decision-making when constructing block templates,

603
00:39:48,103 --> 00:39:51,763
evicting transactions, reanalyzing or relaying transactions,

604
00:39:51,963 --> 00:39:55,223
and validating replacement transactions, a.k.a. RBF.

605
00:39:55,683 --> 00:39:57,743
So just to really quickly break this down,

606
00:39:58,143 --> 00:40:00,803
the old ancestor and descendant limits are out.

607
00:40:01,223 --> 00:40:03,023
Core now thinks in clusters.

608
00:40:03,783 --> 00:40:08,983
A max of 64 transactions, a max of 101 kilobyte V-size by default.

609
00:40:08,983 --> 00:40:10,243
Of course, you can change these things.

610
00:40:11,003 --> 00:40:14,283
Mining, relay, and eviction decisions are now based on how transactions pay

611
00:40:14,283 --> 00:40:17,403
as an entire package, not just one by one anymore.

612
00:40:17,843 --> 00:40:19,603
There's also been some cleanup around RBF.

613
00:40:20,123 --> 00:40:23,723
Replacements only pass if they make the mempool's fee picture

614
00:40:23,723 --> 00:40:27,263
look better overall, which is better for you as a node operator.

615
00:40:27,943 --> 00:40:30,063
There's some new tools for node nerds in there as well.

616
00:40:30,603 --> 00:40:31,883
So I think, you know, it's funny.

617
00:40:32,323 --> 00:40:34,063
The world hasn't come to an end,

618
00:40:34,063 --> 00:40:37,343
and Core 30 seems to be well adopted,

619
00:40:37,603 --> 00:40:41,103
and 31 is making some improvements to mempool policy that,

620
00:40:41,583 --> 00:40:43,083
I mean, it's really a whole new design.

621
00:40:43,083 --> 00:40:45,343
I think it looks pretty decent, and I'd like your take.

622
00:40:46,743 --> 00:40:51,523
Lightning got a major adoption boost that officially went live on Monday.

623
00:40:51,743 --> 00:41:00,043
Square began automatically enabling Bitcoin Lightning payments for millions of eligible U.S. small businesses that use the Square terminal already.

624
00:41:00,383 --> 00:41:02,343
It's just on by default now.

625
00:41:02,823 --> 00:41:06,903
Miles Sutter, which is Block's head of Bitcoin product, confirmed the deployment on X, saying,

626
00:41:07,383 --> 00:41:12,583
Sellers who accept the cryptocurrency will receive fiat by default, so they don't even really have to care about it.

627
00:41:12,763 --> 00:41:14,963
However, they can go in there and switch however they like.

628
00:41:15,243 --> 00:41:19,443
He said, quote, we're making it easier for millions of businesses to accept Bitcoin.

629
00:41:19,843 --> 00:41:25,583
This is how Bitcoin, this is how Bitcoin as everyday money begins, he said.

630
00:41:26,143 --> 00:41:27,163
It's pretty darn cool.

631
00:41:27,743 --> 00:41:29,263
I have not yet seen this.

632
00:41:29,263 --> 00:41:33,843
If you see one of these in the live, in the wild, I suppose, let me know.

633
00:41:33,943 --> 00:41:35,883
And when I do see one, I'll report back on the show.

634
00:41:36,903 --> 00:41:52,323
This final clip of the week, and yes, we're here already, is from James Lavish.

635
00:41:52,323 --> 00:41:57,483
And he talks about an age of information symmetry that we find ourselves in.

636
00:41:57,803 --> 00:42:04,943
And really kind of encapsulates from kind of that meta level what I've been talking about this entire episode.

637
00:42:04,943 --> 00:42:11,543
What we are experiencing right now, Danny, is an information or a knowledge arbitrage.

638
00:42:11,843 --> 00:42:21,503
And so people just do not yet understand how Bitcoin is different and why it is the ultimate store of value and the ultimate debasement asset.

639
00:42:21,923 --> 00:42:23,643
They just don't understand it yet.

640
00:42:23,823 --> 00:42:24,763
There's a lot of confusion.

641
00:42:25,583 --> 00:42:31,563
The mainstream media puts out confusing and hit pieces about it all the time.

642
00:42:31,563 --> 00:42:34,903
They commingle it with all the other cryptocurrencies,

643
00:42:34,903 --> 00:42:37,063
and they just call them all the same thing.

644
00:42:37,063 --> 00:42:38,063
And so I have friends who say,

645
00:42:38,063 --> 00:42:40,063
oh yeah, I own that, I own Bitcoin.

646
00:42:40,063 --> 00:42:42,403
I own the Solana one.

647
00:42:42,403 --> 00:42:44,403
And it's like, they just don't get it.

648
00:42:44,403 --> 00:42:46,403
And it's okay, it's not their fault.

649
00:42:46,403 --> 00:42:51,323
They're just not interested in doing the research themselves.

650
00:42:51,323 --> 00:42:52,623
They're listening to mainstream media

651
00:42:52,623 --> 00:42:55,323
and getting their news off of Facebook

652
00:42:55,323 --> 00:42:56,623
or their research off of Facebook.

653
00:42:56,623 --> 00:42:57,723
They're just not getting it.

654
00:42:57,723 --> 00:43:00,423
And so there is an information arbitrage

655
00:43:00,423 --> 00:43:02,383
that you and I are experiencing right now.

656
00:43:02,663 --> 00:43:05,703
It feels bad and it makes you feel like,

657
00:43:05,703 --> 00:43:06,743
am I an idiot?

658
00:43:07,383 --> 00:43:08,823
Am I just stupid?

659
00:43:09,263 --> 00:43:11,143
How early am I here?

660
00:43:11,903 --> 00:43:13,663
And the answer is you're still pretty early

661
00:43:13,663 --> 00:43:16,503
because I think that Bitcoin is going to trade

662
00:43:16,503 --> 00:43:19,283
above a million dollars in early 2030s.

663
00:43:19,883 --> 00:43:22,703
2032, 2033, I would be very surprised

664
00:43:22,703 --> 00:43:24,703
if we're not touching million dollar Bitcoin.

665
00:43:25,883 --> 00:43:26,703
That's me.

666
00:43:26,943 --> 00:43:27,763
That's my thesis.

667
00:43:27,963 --> 00:43:29,843
That's where I believe this thing is going.

668
00:43:30,423 --> 00:43:36,503
But I also believe that part of that is that knowledge arbitrage will close.

669
00:43:36,503 --> 00:43:55,163
And as that does, you're going to have the Harvards and the Yales and the University of Texas and the CalPERS and the Texas teachers and every pension and fire fund out there taking positions in Bitcoin as a core asset.

670
00:43:55,163 --> 00:44:00,843
And when they do that, that's when that knowledge begins to really spread.

671
00:44:00,923 --> 00:44:02,843
And people are like, oh, so Bitcoin is different.

672
00:44:02,903 --> 00:44:04,063
Okay, so Bitcoin is different.

673
00:44:04,163 --> 00:44:05,743
It's not just this moonshot thing.

674
00:44:06,223 --> 00:44:07,643
It's digital gold.

675
00:44:07,803 --> 00:44:09,463
Okay, then I should probably own some.

676
00:44:09,983 --> 00:44:14,963
And funny enough is I think that that's going to be a much healthier rise for Bitcoin in

677
00:44:14,963 --> 00:44:16,603
price and a much more stable rise.

678
00:44:16,863 --> 00:44:19,263
It's not going to be this massive, volatile thing.

679
00:44:19,323 --> 00:44:21,243
It's going to be like, people are like, oh, I get it.

680
00:44:21,263 --> 00:44:22,163
Okay, I get it.

681
00:44:22,503 --> 00:44:23,203
Oh, okay.

682
00:44:23,283 --> 00:44:24,163
I understand now.

683
00:44:24,163 --> 00:44:24,603
I understand.

684
00:44:24,603 --> 00:44:25,903
I understand how it's different.

685
00:44:26,663 --> 00:44:37,363
And then we'll feel vindicated and, you know, we'll look like we're 143 years old when we're just in our 50s or, in your case, 30s.

686
00:44:48,103 --> 00:44:50,663
Let's check in on the state of the network.

687
00:44:50,663 --> 00:44:55,163
I'm wrapping up at block height $943,254.

688
00:44:55,823 --> 00:45:00,783
The price for one Bitcoin in U.S. dollars is $68,080.

689
00:45:01,003 --> 00:45:02,563
But here's something pretty great.

690
00:45:03,243 --> 00:45:09,703
13 years ago this week, Bitcoin reached $100 for the very first time.

691
00:45:10,643 --> 00:45:12,183
So that's what it was doing 13 years ago.

692
00:45:13,243 --> 00:45:16,863
Satoshis per dollar right now, $1,468.

693
00:45:16,863 --> 00:45:21,603
All-time high was 176 days ago.

694
00:45:22,183 --> 00:45:24,123
Retarget date, April 3rd, 2026.

695
00:45:24,623 --> 00:45:29,003
And our estimated difficulty adjustment is an upward adjustment of 4.5%.

696
00:45:29,003 --> 00:45:31,843
Nodes on the network still declining a little bit.

697
00:45:32,083 --> 00:45:33,823
23,081.

698
00:45:36,223 --> 00:45:40,403
Core 30.2.0 has the largest share by far.

699
00:45:40,743 --> 00:45:42,283
And that is the state of the network.

700
00:45:42,403 --> 00:45:43,603
And it is strong.

701
00:45:46,863 --> 00:45:56,863
Well, if you made it this far, I got links in the show notes for you over at thisweekinbitcoin.show.

702
00:45:56,963 --> 00:45:59,203
Sometimes some stuff I didn't get to is also in there.

703
00:46:00,083 --> 00:46:02,643
And additional context around some of this stuff.

704
00:46:02,983 --> 00:46:04,603
Also, let me know how I did with the boost.

705
00:46:04,683 --> 00:46:07,663
I try to focus on what's really going on and not get distracted by the emotions.

706
00:46:07,663 --> 00:46:12,203
Focus on the signal for your friends, your family, your future, yourself, whatever it might be.

707
00:46:12,523 --> 00:46:14,163
Let me know how I did with a boost.

708
00:46:14,163 --> 00:46:21,163
Also, I want your grade report on how old Saxipoo did as our first and maybe only ever crypto czar.

709
00:46:21,363 --> 00:46:22,903
You can send that in as well.

710
00:46:23,323 --> 00:46:23,543
All right.

711
00:46:23,603 --> 00:46:24,783
That's it for me this week.

712
00:46:24,843 --> 00:46:26,803
I'm going to wrap you up with the value for value track.

713
00:46:26,903 --> 00:46:29,503
If you boost 95% of the sats, we'll go to the artist.

714
00:46:29,983 --> 00:46:32,843
And this week, it's I Need a Little by the Retrograde.

715
00:46:44,163 --> 00:46:50,363
I make the music in my head

716
00:46:50,363 --> 00:46:52,743
That makes you want to tap your shoe

717
00:46:52,743 --> 00:46:57,623
I paint the feelings in my shed

718
00:46:57,623 --> 00:47:00,143
47, 80, cobalt blue

719
00:47:00,143 --> 00:47:05,303
Ooh, my love, I'm picking up

720
00:47:05,303 --> 00:47:07,723
The things we used to do

721
00:47:07,723 --> 00:47:12,443
Ooh, my love, oh, my heart

722
00:47:12,443 --> 00:47:14,603
I guess that's over too

723
00:47:14,603 --> 00:47:18,183
One time

724
00:47:18,183 --> 00:47:21,383
I need a little

725
00:47:21,383 --> 00:47:23,403
I need to get up

726
00:47:23,403 --> 00:47:25,023
Strong and over nothing

727
00:47:25,023 --> 00:47:26,743
Keep me by your side

728
00:47:26,743 --> 00:47:28,663
I need a little

729
00:47:28,663 --> 00:47:30,663
I need to get up

730
00:47:30,663 --> 00:47:32,263
Trying to race for someone

731
00:47:32,263 --> 00:47:33,763
You can never hide

732
00:47:33,763 --> 00:47:36,063
Do you tell me that you want it?

733
00:47:36,283 --> 00:47:37,903
I'm always thinking of it

734
00:47:37,903 --> 00:47:40,323
Never leaving it behind

735
00:47:40,323 --> 00:47:43,223
I need a little

736
00:47:43,223 --> 00:47:45,223
I need to get up

737
00:47:45,223 --> 00:47:46,823
Never mind

738
00:47:46,823 --> 00:48:05,943
If it's enough for choosing

739
00:48:05,943 --> 00:48:07,903
You never want it

740
00:48:07,903 --> 00:48:09,683
Then you're falling chain

741
00:48:09,683 --> 00:48:13,983
And now I don't know what to do

742
00:48:13,983 --> 00:48:16,583
When you tell me I'm the one to blame

743
00:48:16,583 --> 00:48:21,683
Ooh, my love, I'm thinking of

744
00:48:21,683 --> 00:48:24,203
The things we used to do

745
00:48:24,203 --> 00:48:28,823
Ooh, my love, oh, my heart

746
00:48:28,823 --> 00:48:31,523
I guess that's over too

747
00:48:31,523 --> 00:48:33,603
Too tight

748
00:48:33,603 --> 00:48:37,783
I need a little

749
00:48:37,783 --> 00:48:40,423
I need to get out of something

750
00:48:40,423 --> 00:48:43,183
Open up that keeps me by your side

751
00:48:43,183 --> 00:48:45,003
I need a little

752
00:48:45,003 --> 00:48:47,023
I need to get out

753
00:48:47,023 --> 00:48:50,143
Try to raise your soul but you can never hide

754
00:48:50,143 --> 00:48:52,343
Till you die without your warning

755
00:48:52,343 --> 00:48:54,263
Always thinking of it

756
00:48:54,263 --> 00:48:56,703
Never leaving it behind

757
00:48:56,703 --> 00:48:59,583
I need a little

758
00:48:59,583 --> 00:49:01,563
I need to get out

759
00:49:01,563 --> 00:49:03,303
But never mind

760
00:49:03,303 --> 00:49:09,543
Till you take it back to say

761
00:49:09,543 --> 00:49:16,803
I will never fly away

762
00:49:16,803 --> 00:49:24,723
No, no, I won't take all the blame

763
00:49:24,723 --> 00:49:29,503
If you go

764
00:49:29,503 --> 00:49:32,303
I need a little

765
00:49:32,303 --> 00:49:34,323
I need to get up

766
00:49:34,323 --> 00:49:35,863
Something over nothing

767
00:49:35,863 --> 00:49:37,723
Keeps me by your side

768
00:49:37,723 --> 00:49:39,563
I need a little

769
00:49:39,563 --> 00:49:41,583
I need to get up

770
00:49:41,583 --> 00:49:43,103
Try to race no soul

771
00:49:43,103 --> 00:49:44,703
But you can never hide

772
00:49:44,703 --> 00:49:46,983
Till you tell me that you want me

773
00:49:46,983 --> 00:49:48,803
Always thinking of me

774
00:49:48,803 --> 00:49:51,263
So I don't believe in me behind

775
00:49:51,263 --> 00:49:54,223
I need a little

776
00:49:54,223 --> 00:49:56,103
I need to get up

777
00:49:56,103 --> 00:49:57,783
Never mind

778
00:50:02,303 --> 00:50:17,843
I need a little, I need a little

779
00:50:17,843 --> 00:50:25,343
I need a little, I need a little

780
00:50:32,303 --> 00:51:02,283
Thank you.
